Identification of effective indicators on predicting trends of total index of Tehran Stock Exchange using feature selection and classification algorithms

Subject Areas : Stock Exchange

Mohammad Javad Sheikhzadeh ¹ , Sajjad Rahmany ²

1 - Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Damghan University, Damghan, Iran
2 - Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Damghan University, Damghan, Iran

Received: 2022-06-09 Accepted : 2022-09-12 Published : 2023-09-23

Keywords: Classification, Feature Selection, indicator, Total index,

Abstract :

Because of the numerous environmental, industrial, micro, and macro elements that influence the index and stock price trend, it is undeniably difficult to predict changes in the index and stock price trend. Although the aforementioned factors are difficult or impossible to measure in some cases, micro factors such as price history and trade volume are simply measurable and available. The goal of this research is to use feature selection and classification algorithms to find the most effective features and indicators for predicting the total index and total weighted index. Then we will examine the proposed model in the daily and weekly time period from January 2020 to May 2022. The results show that it is possible to predict the trend of changes with high accuracy using a limited number of indicators, and that the prediction accuracy is much higher in the weekly time interval than in the daily time interval.