Presenting a Meta Synthesis Model for Predicting Inflationary Crises in Iran's Capital Market in the Algorithm of Distributive Functions of Investors Monetary Illusion
Homayoun Khosravi Golmetabadi
1
(
Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Accounting and Finance, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran
)
ali asghar taherabadi
2
(
Assistant Prof., Department of Accounting, Kangavar Branch,Islamic Azad University, Kangavar, Iran.
)
Attaollah Mohamadi Melgharni
3
(
Assistant Prof, Department of Accounting and Finance, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran
)
Ahmad Ali Jadidiyan
4
(
Assistant Prof, Department of Psychology, Kermanshah(kangavar) Branch, Islamic, Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran
)
Keywords: Dynamic psychological games, monetary illusion, meta synthesis model,
Abstract :
The general object of presenting a meta synthesis model of the data collection model using the Delphi-fuzzy method, the structural equation model method, the analysis of hypotheses and the method of component factor analysis to identify and predict the signal atmospheres of the stock and currency markets as a phenomenon of cognitive biases affected by the monetary illusion Investors are related to two categories of expected and non-expected inflation and in the framework of the theory of dynamic psychological games. In the stock and currency markets of Iran in the period from the beginning of 2015 to the beginning of 2020, the next object was to identify the critical foci of one-way and two-way signal chains in the form of herding behaviors that provide more optimal forecasts the analysis of leaving or remaining in the capital market by primary people in the directions and manner of changes and dynamics of stock price impulses. in terms of the innovation aspect of the research in using the algorithm of discrete distribution functions iDFT Fourier recurrence matrices related to the data collection model. The findings indicate that the exit after the creation of stock price bubbles, while in the atmosphere of the inflation signal of the currency market, persistence or entry and exit The primary investors in the balanced points of the two-way dynamic situations of the signal games will be affected by the adjustment of the unexpected monetary inflation and the inflation signal of the stock market.
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