The hidden variable and volatility of Iran's money demand function

Subject Areas : Computational economics

farshad parvizian ¹ , alireza erfani ²

1 - Faculty of Economic, Islamic Azad University-South Tehran Branch
2 - Professor Of Department of Economics @ Faculty of Economics, Management and Administrative Sciences, semnan university

Received: 2023-07-16 Accepted : 2023-09-26 Published : 2023-08-23

Keywords: Iran, ARDL, Stability of money demand function, money demand,

Abstract :

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Is Dependence with Shape, Stipulated and Stability the Functions of Money Demand and Liquidity. The Formation of Expected Inflation, can Be a Function of Knowledge, Information and Even Personal Understanding Based on Mental Patterns of Individuals from the Published Data Issue. The Economic Actors, Based on Expectations of Prices in the Future, Based on Knowledge and Information from the Economy, Deciding they Needed Information from Various Sources Directly or from the Media .In This Research, with the Introduction of the New Variable , the Presence of the Chairman of the Central Bank in the Media, the Demand Functions for the Short and Long Term for the Volume of Money M1, and Liquidity M2, Using Monthly Data of IRAN and Its Approach and Explain, Distributive ARDL Estimates we have. The Results Showed that the Entry Variable, the Presence of the Head of the Central Bank in the money demand Function, Causing Instability, this function will Be.