The Role of Spatial Management Institutions in Area Resiliency with an Emphasis on Climatic Fluctuation Risks (A Case Study of Bonab)
Subject Areas :
javad Hajializadeh
1
,
asgar rashidi ebrahimhesari
2
1 - assistant professor of educational sciences department, Farhangian University, Tehran, Iran
2 - A PhD of geography and urban planning, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran
Received: 2017-07-16
Accepted : 2017-12-17
Published : 2020-08-22
Keywords:
resiliency,
Climatic factors,
Bonab,
urban- regional management,
Abstract :
We witness cities high risk taking in recent years as a result of climate changes. Climate changes result in higher temperatures, rising sea levels, severe storms and increased droughts. However, reduced risk and vulnerability were ignored. The research method is survey and its logic is inductive and its most important advantage is interoperability of the obtained results. The SPSS and Lisrel Software are used for data analysis and statistical tests and Arc GIS software were used in order to display spatial maps. In this study, spatial management institutions variable including institutions and stakeholders of Bonab city and surrounding villages management was considered as dependent and endogenous variable was measured and analyzed in thirteen dimensions based on Hyogo vision and Framework. The reduced risks of climate fluctuations were measured and analyzed in six dimensions in order to increase the region's resiliency as exogenous variable. Output calculations based on single-sample t-test (T) indicated that urban- regional management principles were unfavorable in the study area and generally in spatial management dimension. The casual network that is determined by structural equations is 2.32 based on X2 / DF value and since the obtained value is smaller than 3, it shows that the model fitness is appropriate. The root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) must be less than 0.08 that is equal to 0.063 in the proposed model. GFI (goodness of fit index) and (adjusted goodness of fit index) AGFI indices are equal to 0.91 and 0.90 respectively that must be greater than 0.80. The results of five indices are presented including increased comparative fit, relative fitness, Bentle Bonett normative fit, and Tucker-Lewis fit and comparative fit index based on data goodness of fit and structural model.
References:
بدری، سید علی.، رمضان زاده لسبوئی، مهدی.، عسگری، علی.، قدیری معصوم، مجتبی.، سلمانی، محمد. 1392. نقش مدیریت محلی در ارتقای تا بآوری مکانی در برابر بلایای طبیعی با تأکید بر سیلاب، مطالعهی موردی: دو حوضهی چشمه کیلهی شهرستان تنکابن و سردآبرود کلاردشت، فصلنامه علمی و پژوهشی مدیریت بحران، شماره سوم، صص50-39.
جزایری، الناز؛ صمدزاده، رسول؛ حاتمی نژاد، حسین(1398) ارزیابی ظرفیت تابآوری شهری در برابر خطر زمین لرزه با تأکید بر ابعاد اقتصادی و کالبدی زیرساختی(مطالعه موردی: منطقه 12 تهران)؛ فصلنامه آمایش محیط؛ دوره 12، شماره 45، صص 183-198.
حاجی علی زاده،جواد.1389. بررسی عملکرد طرحهای هادی روستایی و اصلاح و بهبود الگوی آن، مطالعه موردی روستاهای شهرستان بناب،رساله دکتری جغرافیا و برنامهریزی روستایی. دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات تهران.187صفحه.
رجبی، معصومه.1371. مقاله ژئومورفولوژی و شهرها: مطالعه موردی شهر بناب (آذربایجان شرقی)، مجله دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی. دانشگاه تبریز. شماره 45/144 صص102-107.
رضایی، محمدرضا. 1389.تبیین تابآوری اجتماعات شهری به منظور کاهش اثرات سوانح طبیعی(زلزله) مطالعهی موردی کلان شهر تهران. رسالهی دکتری رشتهی جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری دانشگاه تربیت مدرس.225صفحه.
رفیعیان، مجتبی.، رضایی، محمدرضا.، عسگری، علی.، پرهیزکار، اکبر.، شایان، سیاوش. 1390. تبیین مفهومی تابآوری و شاخص سازی آن در مدیریت سوانح اجتماع محور(CBDM). فصلنامه مدرس علوم انسانی. شماره 74.صص41-19.
عبداللهی؛ علی اصغر ؛ شرفی؛ حجت الله ؛ صباحی؛ یاسر(1397) تابآوری نهادی و کالبدی-محیطی اجتماعات شهری در جهت کاهش بحرانهای طبیعی، زلزله(مطالعهموردی: شهر کرمان)؛ فصلنامه آمایش محیط؛ دوره 11، شماره 42، صص165-187.
فرزاد بهتاش، محمدرضا.، پیر بابایی، محمد تقی.، کی زاد، محمد علی.، آقابابایی، محمد تقی.1391. تبیین ابعاد و مؤلفههای تابآوری شهرهای اسلامی.فصلنامه علمی و پژوهشی شهر ایرانی اسلامی.شماره 9، صص 121-113.
Adger, W. N. 2000. Social and ecological resilience. Are they related? Progress in Human Geograp,24(3), 347–364.
Ainuddin,S., Routray, Jayant Kumar. 2012. Community resilience framework for an earthquake prone area in Baluchistan. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,.2, 25-36.
Allan, P., Bryant, M .2010. The Critical Role of Open Space in Earthquake Recovery: A Case Study. NZSEE Conference,Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington New Zealand.231
Amaratunga, D., Haigh, R. 2011. Post-Disaster Reconstruction of The Built Environment Building for Resilience, Wiley-Blackwell, U.K.
Andersson, E. 2006. Urban landscapes and sustainable cities. Ecology and Society, 11, 34.
Barnett, J. 2001. Adapting to climate change in Pacific Island countries: The problem of uncertainty,World Development,29, 977–993.
Coaffee, J. 2009. Terrorism, Risk and the Global City: Towards Urban Resilience, Ashgate Publishing.
Colten, C,.Kates, R., & Laska,S. 2008. Three years after Katrina: Lessons for community resilience, Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development,50, 36–47.
Cutter, S. L., Boruff, B. J., & Shirley, W. L. 2003. Social vulnerability to environmental hazards,Social Science Quarterl,.84(2), 242–261.
Ernstson, H., van der Leeuw, S., Redman, C., Meffert, D., Davis, G., Alfsen, C. et al. 2010. Urban transitions: On urban resilience and human-dominated ecosystems. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human, Environment, 10. doi.org/1007/s13280-010-0081-9.
Fagan, Brian (1999). Floods, Famines, and Empires . New York, Basic Books.
Federica Battista and Stephan Baas. 2004.The Role of Local Institutions in Reducing vulnerability to recurrent natural disasters and in sustainable livelihoods development, consolidated report on case studies and workshop findings and recommendations.
Folke, C. 2006. Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social–ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change, 16, 253–267.
Gaillard, J, Christophe ..2007. Resilience of traditional societies in facing natural hazards, Disaster, Prevention and Management , Vol. 16 Issus: 4, 522 - 544.
IPCC - Intergov. Panel Clime. Change . 2007. Climate change 2007: Fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, MA: Cambridge Univ. Press.
Kafle, Shesh Kanta . 2011. Measuring disaster-resilient communities: A case study of coastal communities in Indonesia, Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning, Volume 5, No.4.
Leichenko, R. 2011. Climate change and urban resilience, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 3(3), 164–168.
Maru, Y. 2010. Resilient regions: Clarity of concepts and challenges to systemic measurement systemic measurement. In Socio-economics and the environment discussion, CSIRO Working Paper Series. <http://www.csiro.au/files/files/pw5h.pdf>.
Mileti, D.S. 1999. Disasters by design: a reassessment of natural hazards in the United States, Natural hazards and disasters , Joseph Henry Press, Washington, DC.
Normandin J.-M, Therrien M.-C, Tanguay G.A.2011. City strength in times of turbulence: strategic resilience indicators, Urban Affairs Association 41st Conference, New Orleans
NPCC. 2009. New York City panel on climate change: Climate risk information. <http://www.nyc.gov/html/om/pdf/2009/NPCC_CRI.pdf>.
Pais, J., & Elliot, J. 2008. Places as recovery machines: Vulnerability and neighborhood change after major hurricanes, Social Forces, 86, 1415–1453.
Pelling, M. 2003. The Vulnerability of Cities: Natural Disasters and Social Resilience,London, Earthscan.
Pendall, R., Foster, K., & Cowel, M.2010. Resilience and regions: Building understanding of the metaphor, Cambridge Journal of Economic and Society, 3(1), 71–84.
Pike, A., Dawley, S., & Tomaney, J. 2010. Resilience adaptation and adaptability.Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3, 59–70.
Simmie, J., & Martin, R. 2010. The economic resilience of regions: Towards an evolutionary approach, Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3, 27–43.
Tilio, L. et al. 2011. Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial Multi criteria Approach, ICCSA, Part I, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, 410-422.
Vale, J. L., & Campanella, T. J. 2005. The resilient city: How modern cities recover from disaster. New York: Oxford University Press.
Yosef Jabareen. 2015. Planning the resilient city: Concepts and strategies for coping with climate change and environmental risk, journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/cities.
_||_