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Open Access Article
1 - Hybrid Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network with Grey Wolf Optimization for Predicting Stock Market Index
Meysam Doaei Seyed Ahmad Mirzaei Mohammad RafighStock market forecasting is a challenging task for investors and researchers in the financial market due to highly noisy, nonparametric, volatile, complex, non-linear, dynamic and chaotic nature of stock price time series. With the development of computationally intelli MoreStock market forecasting is a challenging task for investors and researchers in the financial market due to highly noisy, nonparametric, volatile, complex, non-linear, dynamic and chaotic nature of stock price time series. With the development of computationally intelligent method, it is possible to predict stock price time series more accurately. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are one of the most promising biologically inspired techniques. ANNs have been widely used to make predictions in various research. The performance of ANNs is very dependent on the learning technique utilized to train the weight and bias vectors. The proposed study aims to predict daily Tehran Exchange Dividend Price Index (TEDPIX) via the hybrid multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural networks and metaheuristic algorithms which consist of genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), black hole (BH), grasshopper optimization algorithm (GOA) and grey wolf optimization (GWO). We have extracted 18 technical indicators based on the daily TEDPIX as input parameters. Therefore, the experimental result shows that grey wolf optimization has superior performance to train MLPs for predicting the stock market in metaheuristic-based. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
2 - ANN-DEA Approach of Corporate Diversification and Efficiency in Bursa Malaysia
Meysam Doaei Seyed Hashem Davarpanah Mahdi SabziThere is little consensus on the corporate diversification-efficiency relationship in the diversification literature. According to the corporate diversification, firms have a tendency to get more market share with diversifying in the local segment or in the internationa MoreThere is little consensus on the corporate diversification-efficiency relationship in the diversification literature. According to the corporate diversification, firms have a tendency to get more market share with diversifying in the local segment or in the international market. Theoretically, a contradictory exists between the profitable strategy and the value reducing strategy in the diversification strategy. In this paper, we measure firm’s efficiency by applying Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) in manufacturing firms listed in Bursa Malaysia for five years. Meanwhile, a feed forward multilayer perceptron neural network is applied to model the mapping function between the input and output data to the efficiency score. Back propagation (BP) learning algorithm is applied to update network’s weights through minimizing the cost function, and the best topology of the network is conducted. The result of this study shows that there is a negative relationship between total product diversification and efficiency, and international diversification has a non-linear effect on the efficiency. Manuscript profile
List of Articles Meysam Doaei
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