Evaluating the potential of ancient places based on theory of weight-evidence of Dempster-Shafer for tourism development (case study: sari)

Subject Areas : resistant development

mahsa moghimian ¹ , seyed mohsen hosseini ² , hasan ahmadi ³

1 - Master of science, tourism programming, Islamic Azad University, Sari Branch, Sari, Iran
2 - Professor, Department of forestry, Tarbiat Modarres University, Noor, Iran
3 - استادیار و عضو هیات علمی گروه جغرافیا دانشگاه تربیت مدرس

Received: 2017-03-05 Accepted : 2017-09-15 Published : 2017-11-22

Keywords: Tourism, Sari, Archeological Sites, Dempster&ndash, Shafer Theory,

Abstract :

Abstract   Tourism industry with annual revenues of nearly 1,000 billion in the world today is one of the most important phenomena in addition to poverty, justice and jobs, higher incomes and creates jobs for the poor. According to statistics published by the World Tourism Organization, the number of tourists worldwide since 1950 has been 36 times as has Rosen from 25 million in 1950 to about 1018 million people in 2010. Considering that one of the most influential components in the world to attract tourists, are the ancient places and demand for visiting archeological sites have provided suitable condition for attracting tourists. Despite the attractions of the historic in Sari, a feature unique culture past, will have a significant role in the development of tourism potential, so in this study using the theory of weight-evidence of the Dempster-Shafer, who created a theory based on the potential for the presence, absence and presence - absence of evidence is the location of the ancient city where the action is Surrey. The results show that in addition to sites already identified, there are areas that have a high potential for the presence of archeological sites that must be for further investigation using archaeological speculation based on evidence other than that necessary to properly verified.

References:

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