Environmental Kuznets Curve Determination Using Simultaneous Equation System: A case study of Iran

Subject Areas : environmental management

Mahdieh Mosannen Mozafari ¹ ( M.Sc of Agricultural Department of University of Zabol )
Mahmoud Sabuhi2 ² ( Assistance Professor of Agricultural Department of University of Zabol )

Received: 2008-01-05 Accepted : 2008-05-21 Published : 2013-09-23

Keywords: Environmental Kuznets Curve, simultaneous equation system, GDP per capita, Pollution,

Abstract :

The experience of developed countries shows environmental pollution increases by increasing GDPper capita and there is a level of GDP that pollution will decrease. Relationship between GDP percapita and pollution could be shown by Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). In this study, EKC wasestimated and the level of GDP per capita expected the pollution was decreased, and it was calculatedwith ARIMA model. Results showed that, pollution will decrease at 6,509,720 Rial of GDP per capita.Decreasing the current GDP per capita-20685870, 2002- will happen in 17 years time.

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