Effects of Global Warming and Climate Changes on Economic Growth (Case Study: Iran provinces during 2002-2012)
Subject Areas :
Environmental Economics
Hossein panahi
1
,
Najmeh Esmaeel Darjani
2
1 - Professor, Department of Economic Development and Planning, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran. *(Corresponding Author)
2 - Ph.D Student, Department of Economic Development and Planning, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran
Received: 2016-11-06
Accepted : 2017-03-01
Published : 2020-03-20
Keywords:
Panel Data Methods. JEL: O11,
Climate Change,
Economic growth,
Temperature and Rain,
O40,
global warming,
Q54,
O13,
Abstract :
Background and Objective: Global warming and climate changes are currently one of the most important environmental challenges in the world, which are the consequences of rising temperatures, melting polar ice caps, rising free water levels and changes in climate thresholds.Method: The present paper has studied temperature and rain effects as climate changes and global warming on real economic growth by using panel data method in provinces in the period of 2002 to 2012.Findings: Climate change affects the economic sectors of the country and this impact on the sectors that are more interrelated with the agricultural sector. It is noteworthy that due to temperature and precipitation trends in recent years in the provinces of Iran, which do not show a favorable trend.Discussion and Conclusion: The results show that air temperature has a negative relationship with economic growth and is significant at the level of 5% and the amount of precipitation shows a positive and significant relationship at the level of 5% with the economic growth variable. With increasing global warming and climate changes, the economic growth of Iran's provinces is declining.
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Karbasi, A., Rahimi, N., 2010. Environmental considerations of the energy sector, IEA.
Dracup, J. A., Vicuna, S., 2005. An Overview of Hydrology and Water Resources Studies on Climate Change: the California Experience. Proc. EWRI 2005: Impacts of Global Climate Change.
Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., Meyer, M., Jeton A. E., 2004. Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099. Climatic Change, 62(1-3), pp. 283-317.
Panol, T.J., Lloret, F., 1998. Climatic warning hazard and wildfire occurrence in coastal eastern Spain. Climate Change, 38: 345-357.
Lane, L. J., Nichols, M. H., Osborn, H. B., 1999. Time Series Analysis of Global Change Data. Environ. Pollut. 83, pp. 63–88.
Dell, M., Jones, B.F., Olken, B. A., 2008. Climate change and economic growth: Evidence from the last half century. http://www.nber.org/papers/w14132
Kouchaki, A. R., Nasiri, M., & Kamali, GH. A., 2007. Weather indices in conditions of climate change", Journal of Agricultural Research. Volume 5. 1, pp. 133- 142.
Alizadeh, A., 2010. Principales of applied hydrology, 29th edition, university of Imam Reza press. 912p.
Khaleghi, S., Bazazan, F., Madani, S., 2016. The Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production and On the Economy of Iran (Social Accounting Matrix Approach). Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol. 7, Issue 1, PP. 135-113.
Zarakani, F., Kamali, Gh., Chizari, A. H., 2015. The Effects of Climate Change on the Drought In Wheat (Case Study of North Khorasan). Journal of Agricultural Ecology, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 310-301.
Bond, R., Asli, L., Fabio, S., 2007. Capital Accumulation and Growth: A New Look at the Empirical Evidence. mimeo, University of Oxford.