Forecasting temperature changes in Bandar Abbas and Qeshm island using with test Man-kendal

Subject Areas : Geopolitic

Ali Salari ¹ (ندارد)
Amir Gandomkar ² (ندارد)

Received: 2015-01-23 Accepted : 2015-01-23 Published : 2012-10-22

Keywords: Climate Change, Climate vibration, Temprature process, Man-Kendal test, North coasts of Bandar Abbas -,

Abstract :

The period which study in this investigation is related to 56 years old. Period 56 years old is about Bandar Abbas  that consists of 1957 to 2012 and 17 years old is 2012. At the first, try to know the input : changes by using Man – Kendal method and then define the kind and time. The target of this study is investigation of changes of temperature of North coasts of Bandar Abbas - Qeshm iland and its possible changes of normal  condition by using Man – Kendal noparameter test. The pbtained results are followed : The study of minmum temperature changes in BandarAbbas nonthly scale shows the intense decrease in this station  which intensity of that is most – 0/45 in Mars contrast to other months, but there is'nt such monotony in maximum temperature and changes combine of decrease process ( TD ) and negative mutation ( AI ). Investigation of Qeshm station to Bandar Abbas consist of more hetero generous. The study of min temperature in Qeshm station among the period shows that 5 month of year is without process and in other months, positive mutation was a kind of changes over coming, in max temperature approxmatly in most months, increase mutation is a kind of changes over coming. 2- In annual scale, the changes of min and Qeshm station, the changes of min and max temperature has decrease process but in Qeshm station, the changes of min temperature is a kind of decrease mutation and max temperature is a kind of positive mutation.