Study of the Likelihood of Climate change in Kerman Province Using Man – Kendall Method (Case Study: Kerman Station)

Subject Areas : Geopolitic

بتول  Bahak ¹ (ندارد)

Received: 2015-01-31 Accepted : 2015-01-31 Published : 2013-10-23

Keywords: temperature, Precipitation, Trend, Fluctuation, Man – Kendall, Kerman,

Abstract :

Climate change is one of the major challenges faced by man in the current age. Phenomena such as precipitation changes, global warmness, melting of polar ices, flood, unexpected and severe coldness and warmness in most parts of the world are so severe, damaging and stressful that have resulted in climate change to be at the top of the studies of climatic sciences researchers and extensive international, regional and local studies have already addressed that. In order to review the possibility of climate change in Kerman Province, precipitation average, minimum, average and maximum temperatures of synoptic station in Kerman during 1956-2005 were received from the website of meteorology organization and was adjusted in terms of time series and was then studied by using Man – Kendall test. In this research, type and time of changes in the aforesaid elements were identified by using the above model. The results obtained from the analyses indicate that commencement time of most changes is sudden and of both trend and fluctuation types. precipitation changes in warm months is considerable while minimum, average and maximum temperatures in April, November and December were more considerable. No significant changes are observed in other months. On the whole, precipitation in the station during the period of study decreased and average, minimum and maximum temperatures increased.