Clustering and mapping the 40-year trend of foresight research

Subject Areas : Futurology

mohammad yousefi khoraem ¹ , hakem gasemi ² , farhad se talani ³ , Einollah Keshavarz Turk ⁴ , Morteza Mousakhani ⁵

1 - futures studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University
2 - Associate Professor, Imam Khomeini International University
3 - Associate Professor, Imam Khomeini International University
4 - Assistant Professor, Imam Khomeini International University
5 - Professor, Islamic Azad University of Qazvin

Received: 2019-07-16 Accepted : 2019-09-17 Published : 2020-02-20

Keywords: Forsight, Trend analysis, Scientometric analysis, Clustering,

Abstract :

Abstract foresight are considered as an effective tool to reduce the complexity of complex and dynamic systems. Defeating the business environment can be very dangerous for organizations, prospecting provides a structured opportunity to look at the future. Therefore, due to the diversity and variety of issues related to futurism, organizations and researchers have conducted numerous research in this field. purpose: Considering the large volume of researches as a challenge for identifying research trends and emerging areas, in this research, using scientific methods, the research process of researchers in the field of foresight analysis And analyzed. Methods: In this research 3883 articles published between 1979 and June 2019 in the field of foresight in the WOS database were analyzed using VOSviewer software. The article's network of referrals, both the occurrence of keywords, the co-authorship of the authors And references to magazines analyzed and identified by leading authors, journals and fields of research. Findings: According to the results, futures, technological forecasting and social change, journal of political economy, were recognized as the most influential magazines in the field of futures studies. Also, Suddendorf, T, Saritas, O, Sarpong, D, and Rohrbeck, r were recognized as authors with the highest share in science production. Among the keywords used in all reviewed articles, the words decision-making, corporate foresight, climate-change have been the highest rank among repetitions between articles in the field of foresight. And economics, regional urban planning, business, as the research area with the highest number of papers.