Study of the status of regional power of Iran and Turkey within the framework of the vision document (2003-2015)
Subject Areas :Mohammad Reza Movassagh 1 , محمد ستوده آرانی 2
1 - The center of talent of Dr. Shahriyari of Qom
2 - عضو هیات علمی گروه علوم سیاسی دانشگاه باقرالعلوم (ع)، قم، ایران. استاد راهنما و نویسنده مسئول
Keywords: Middle East, Regional power, trend analysis method, prospect document, Iran and Turkey,
Abstract :
More than half of the time has passed since the announcement of the 20-year vision document for Iran and Turkey. According to the objectives of the document, the Islamic Republic of Iran should reach the first power of the region in the year 1404, economically, socially, scientifically, technologically and politically; at the same time, Turkey should also be the first region and one of the top 10 economies in the world. However, the study of effective factors in the social, technological, and economic areas of ecology and political, in the framework of trend analysis method and Steep method from derivatives of the Steep model (v), which is based on the library-document method and the comparative analysis of information, shows that Iran It is far from the foreseen goals of gaining regional power. With the current trend, it is very difficult and far from reachable for Iran to reach the first place in the region. In contrast, Turkey, Iran’s rival, according to the 2023 prospect, that has made significant strides in gaining regional power. It is expected at the end of the document Turkey will reach the most predicted goals. Therefore, in order to offset the backwardness and reach the first place, Iran needs to make revision in different sectors and do multi-level efforts in different fields.
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