The Effect of Sectoral Growth and Financial Development on Poverty Using the ARDL Approach (Case Study: Lorestan Province)
Subject Areas : Financial EconomicsMohammad Malekshahi 1 , Darioush Hassanvand 2 , Younes Nademi 3 , Hamid Esaish 4
                                               1 -     Islamic Azad University, Aligudarz Branch, Department of Economics
                                               
                                               2 -     Department of economics, Lorestan University.Iran. Khoramabad
                                               
                                               3 -     Assistant Professor of the Department of Economics, Ayatollah Borujerdi University
                                               
                                               4 -     Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Ayatollah Borujerdi University, Borujerd. Iran
                                               
                                       
Abstract :
Reducing poverty has always been one of the most important economic and political priorities of countries. One of the most important ways to reduce poverty is economic growth, which can reduce poverty and income inequality in society, but achieving economic growth requires the use of several factors, including capital, human power, energy, etc. For this reason, paying more and more attention to financial markets, which can be one of the important means of financing economic institutions and enterprises, will definitely be able to become the basis for increasing economic growth and ultimately lead to the reduction of poverty. Therefore, the purpose of this study is the effect of sector growth (agriculture, industry and services) on the poverty index of Lorestan province. In order to estimate the research model, the annual data during the period of 1981-2020 and the ARDL econometric model have been used. The results show that in the long term, the growth of the industry and service sectors reduces poverty in Lorestan province, while the growth of the agricultural sector does not show a significant effect on poverty reduction. Also, the results showed that the development of the financial index also reduces poverty in Lorestan province. So that financial development through direct access of low-income people to credits, causes the expansion of the business of these people and increases their purchasing power, or at least, it fights poverty through optimal savings, which can reduce poverty as a result of these events.
فهرست منابع
احمدی، علی اکبر، رستمی نیا، محمداسماعیل و غیبی، علیرضا. (1395). اثر توسعه مالی بر توزیع درآمد در کشورهای منتخب در حال توسعه و کشورهای توسعه یافته با روش گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته GMM. اقتصاد مالی، 10(36): 32-15.
آذربایجانی، کریم، نجفی، زهرا و جمالی، سمیه. (1398). بررسی اثر توسعه مالی بر سطح فقر: شواهدی از کشورهای عضو کنفرانس اسلامی. سیاست گذاری اقتصادی، 11(21): 194-171.
پورفتحی، نغمه و کفایی، سیدمحمدعلی. (1399). بررسی اثرگذاری نحوه تعیین نرخ ارز بر رفاه اقتصادی. اقتصاد مالی، 14(53): 131-97.
حسنوند، داریوش و نادمی، یونس. (1396). اثرات توسعه مالي بر كاهش فقر در ايران. تحقیقات اقتصادی، 52(1): 60-35.
خانعلی زاده، بهمن. (1400). تأثیر توسعه بازار سرمایه و رشد اقتصادی بر فقر. پزوهشنامه اقتصاد و کسب و کار، 12(22): 26-11.
راغفر، حسین، باباپور، میترا و یزدان پناه، محدثه. (1394). بررسی رابطه رشد اقتصادی با فقر و نابرابری در ایران طی برنامه های اول تا چهارم توسعه. مطالعات اقتصادی کاربردی ایران، 4(16): 79-59.
سپهوند، ا، اسفندیاری، س و مهرابی بشرآبادی، ح. (1395). بررسی تأثیر مکانیزاسیون کشاورزي بر امنیت غذایی خانوارهاي روستایی در ایران. تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران، 47(3): 618-609.
سپهوند، احسان. (1394). بررسی عوامل اقتصادی مؤثر بر فقر خانوارهای روستایی ایران. پایان نامه کارشناسی ارشد، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، دانشکده کشاورزی، گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی.
عصاری آرانی، عباس، ناصری، علیرضا و آقایی خوندابی، مجید. (1388). تاثیر توسعه مالی بر فقر و نابرابری در کشورهای عضو اوپک (OPEC). پژوهش های رشد و توسعه پایدار، 9(3): 51-29.
فرهمند، شکوفه، طیبی، سیدکمیل و کریمی، محسن. (1392). اثر توليد و رشد بخشي بر فقر و رفاه اجتماعي در استان هاي ايران (86-1379). جامعه شناسي كاربردي (مجله پژوهشي علوم انساني دانشگاه اصفهان)، 24(2): 142-127.
مولانا، سیدمسیح، نجفی زاده، عباس، سرلک، احمد و حاجی، غلامعلی. (1399). بررسی اثرات توسعه مالی بر فقر نسبی درمناطق شهری ایران: شواهدی از الگوی رگرسیون انتقال ملایم (STR). پژوهشنامه اقتصادی، 20(77): 162-129.
مهینی زاده، منصور، یاوری، کاظم، جلایی، سیدعبدالمجید و جعفرزاده، بهروز. (1398). تأثیر تغییرات ساختاری بر رفاه اقتصادی در ایران،رهیافت مدلهای تعادل عمومی محاسبهپذیر. اقتصاد مالی، 13(48): 190-167.
Ahlin, C., & Jiang, N. (2008). Can micro-credit bring development?. Journal of Development Economics, 86(1), 1-21.
Alam, M. I. & Quazy, R. M. (2003). Determinant of capital flight: an econometric case study of Bangladesh. Review of applied economics, Vo. 17, PP 85-103.
Andrianova, S., & Demetriades, P. (2008). Sources and effectiveness of financial development: what we know and what we need to know. In Financial Development, Institutions, Growth and Poverty Reduction (pp. 10-37). Palgrave Macmillan, London.
Asatillaevich, A.B., Abidovna, X.D., Abduraxmonovich, N.Z. & Akramjanovich, M.F. (2020). The impact of service sector on welfare. Journal of Critical Reviews, 7(5): p 330-333.
Ashraf, B. N. (2018). Do trade and financial openness matter for financial development? Bank-level evidence from emerging market economies. Research in International Business and Finance, 44, 434–458.
Banerjee, A., & Duflo, E. (2014). Do firms want to borrow more: Testing credit constraints using a targeted lending program. The Review of Economic Studies, 81, 572–607.
Barrett, C. B., & Carter, M. R. (2013). The economics of poverty traps and persistent poverty: Empirical and policy implications. The Journal of Development Studies, 49, 976–990.
Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality and the poor. Journal of economic growth, 12(1), 27-49.
Boukhatem, J. (2016). Assessing the direct effect of financial development on poverty reduction in a panel of low- and middle-income countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 214–230.
Breunig, R., & Majeed, O. (2020). Inequality, poverty and economic growth. International Economics, 161, 83–99.
Breunig, R., & Majeed, O. (2020). Inequality, poverty and economic growth. International Economics, 161, 83-99.
Carvalho, L., Meier, S., & Wang, S. W. (2016). Poverty and economic decision making: Evidence from changes in financial resources at payday. The American Economic Review, 106(2), 260–284.
Chen, J., Wang, Y., Wen, J., Fang, F., & Song, M. (2016). The influences of aging population and economic growth on Chinese rural poverty. Journal of Rural Studies, 47, 665-676.
Cole, S., Paulson, A., & Shastry, G. (2014). Smart money? The effect of education on financial outcomes. The Review of Financial Studies, 27(7), 2022–2051.
Donou-Adonsou, C. F., & Sylwester, K. (2015). Macroeconomic effects of microfinance: evidence from developing countries. J. Econ, 41(1), 21-35.
Donou-Adonsou, F., & Sylwester, K. (2016). Financial development and poverty reduction in developing countries: New evidence from banks and microfinance institutions. Review of development finance, 6(1), 82-90.
Dutta, S., & Kumar, L. (2016). Is poverty stochastic or structural in nature? Evidence from rural India. Social Indicators Research, 128, 957–979.
Erlando, A., Riyanto, F. D., & Masakazu, S. (2020). Financial inclusion, economic growth, and poverty alleviation: evidence from eastern Indonesia. Heliyon, 6(10), e05235.
Gabardo, F. A., Pereima, J. B.& Einloft, P. (2017). The incorporation of structural change into growth theory: A historical appraisal. EconomiA, 18 (2017), pp. 392– 410.
Galor. O., & Zeira. J. (1993). Income Distribution and Macroeconomics. Review of Economic Studies, 60, 35-52.
Gnangnon, S.K. (2021). Effect of poverty on financial development: Does trade openness matter?. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 82: 97-112.
Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial structure and development (No. HG174 G57).
Gurley, J. G., & Shaw, E. S. (1955). Financial aspects of economic development. The American economic review, 45(4), 515-538.
Haushofer, J., & Fehr, E. (2014). On the psychology of poverty. Science, 344(6), 862–867.
Ibrahim, M., & Sare, Y. A. (2018). Determinants of financial development in Africa: how robust is the interactive effect of trade openness and human capital? Economic Analysis and Policy, 60, 18–26.
Inoue, T. (2018). Financial development, remittances, and poverty reduction: Empirical evidence from a macroeconomic viewpoint. Journal of Economics and Business, 96, 59-68.
Jalilian, H., & Kirkpatrick, C. (2005). Does financial development contribute to poverty reduction?. Journal of development studies, 41(4), 636-656.
Khan, M. A., Gu, L., Khan, M. A., & Oláh, J. (2020). Natural resources and financial development: The role of institutional quality. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 56, Article 100641.
Khan, Z., Hussain, M., Shahbaz, M., Yang, S., & Jiao, Z. (2020). Natural resource abundance, technological innovation, and human capital nexus with financial development: A case study of China. Resources Policy, 65, Article 101585.
Kim, D. W., Yu, J. S., & Hassan, M. K. (2018). Financial inclusion and economic growth in OIC countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 43, 1-14.
Kouadio, H. K., & Gakpa, L. L. (2022). Do economic growth and institutional quality reduce poverty and inequality in West Africa?. Journal of Policy Modeling, 44(1), 41-63.
Kpodar, K. (2006). Développement financier, instabilité financière et croissance économique: implications pour la réduction de la pauvreté (Doctoral dissertation, Université d'Auvergne-Clermont-Ferrand I).
Kunieda, T., Nishimura, K., & Shibata, A. (2018). Specializations, financial constraints, and income distribution. International Review of Economics & Finance, 56, 3-14.
Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: theory and evidence. Handbook of economic growth, 1, 865-934.
Lucas Jr, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of monetary economics, 22(1), 3-42.
McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development (Washington: Brookings Institute).
Miller, M. H. (1998). Financial markets and economic growth. Journal of applied corporate finance, 11(3), 8-15.
Mirza, M. U., Richter, A., van Nes, E. H., & Scheffer, M. (2019). Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion. Ecological Economics, 160, 215–226.
Mulok, D., Kogid, M., Asid, R., & Lily, J. (2012). Is economic growth sufficient for poverty alleviation? Empirical evidence from Malaysia. Cuadernos de economía, 35(97), 26-32.
Musabeh, A., Alrifai, K. & Kalloub, M. (2020). Financial development, economic growth and welfare: evidence from emerging countries. Journal of Business, Economics and Finance -JBEF (2020), Vol.9(2). p.118-131. http://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2020.1218.
Narayan, P. K. & Narayan, S. (2004). Estimating income and price elasticitys of imports for Fiji in a cointegration framework. Economic Modelling, 22, 423-438.
Naschold, F. (2013). Welfare dynamics in Pakistan and Ethiopia - does the estimation method matter? The Journal of Development Studies, 49(7), 936–954.
Odhiambo, N. M. (2010). Is financial development a spur to poverty reduction? Kenya's experience. Journal of Economic Studies.
Pauw, K. & Thurlow, J. (2011). Agricultural growth, poverty and nutrition in Tanzania. Journal of Food Policy, 36, 795-804.
Perkins, D. H., Radelet, S., Lindauer, D. L., & Block, S. A. (2012). Economics of development. New York, NY: W.W. Norton.
Rewilak, J. (2017). The role of financial development in poverty reduction. Review of Development Finance, 7(2), 169–176.
Robinson, J. (1979). The generalisation of the general theory. In The generalisation of the general theory and other essays (pp. 1-76). Palgrave Macmillan, London.
Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of political economy, 94(5), 1002-1037.
Schumpeter, J. (1911). The Theory of Economic Development: an Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest and the Business Cycle. Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
Sibel, B. E., Kadir, Y. E., & Ercan, D. (2015). Local financial development and capital accumulations: Evidence from Turkey. Panoeconomicus, 62, 339–360.
Thanvi, R. K. (2010). Microfinance Outreach: Comparing Banks and MFI (Bandhan) in Cooch Behar District. Centre for Microfinance Research. Bankers Institute of Rural Development.
Zaidi, S. A. H., Wei, Z., Gedikli, A., Zafar, M. W., Hou, F., & Iftikhar, Y. (2019). The impact of globalization, natural resources abundance, and human capital on financial development: Evidence from thirty-one OECD countries. Resources Policy, 64, Article 101476.
Zameer, H., Shahbaz, M., & Vo, X. V. (2020). Reinforcing poverty alleviation efficiency through technological innovation, globalization, and financial development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 161, 120326.
Zhang, R. & Ben Naceur, S. (2019). Financial development, inequality, and poverty: Some international evidence. International Review of Economics & Finance, 61:1-16.
Zheng, H., Zhang, L., Wang, S., Xu, J., & Zhao, X. (2021). The affecting channels and performances of financial development and poverty reduction: New evidence from China’s fishery industry. Marine Policy, 123, 104324.

 
                                    