پیش‌بینی مصرف برق با استفاده از الگوریتم جدید بهینه‌سازی زغن و شبکه عصبی مصنوعی پرسپترون چند لایه

الموضوعات :

جلال رئیسی گهرویی ¹ (دانشکده مهندسی کامپیوتر- واحد نجف آباد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، نجف آباد، ایران)
زهرا بهشتی ² (مرکز تحقیقات کلان داده- واحد نجف‌آباد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، نجف‌آباد، ایران)

تاريخ الإرسال : 23 الثلاثاء , شوال, 1443 تاريخ التأكيد : 26 الخميس , صفر, 1444 تاريخ الإصدار : 20 الأربعاء , شعبان, 1446

الکلمات المفتاحية: الگوریتم‌های فراابتکاری, الگوریتم بهینه‌سازی زغن, پیش‌بینی مصرف برق, شبکه‌های عصبی پرسپترون چندلایه,

ملخص المقالة :

از آنجا که پیش بینی مصرف برق از موارد مهم مدیریت انرژی هر کشور محسوب می شود، در سال های اخیر روش های مختلفی براساس هوش مصنوعی برای آن ارائه شده است. یکی از این روش ها، استفاده از شبکه های عصبی مصنوعی است. برای آن که این شبکه ها عملکرد خوبی داشته باشند، باید به خوبی آموزش ببینند. یکی از متداول ترین الگوریتم های آموزش مورد استفاده در این شبکه ها، الگوریتم پس انتشار خطاست که براساس گرادیان نزولی است. از آنجا که الگوریتم های مبتنی برگرادیان نزولی ممکن است به نقاط بهینه محلی گرفتار شوند، در برخی از مسائل راه حل خوبی ارائه نمی دهند. از این رو برای آموزش این شبکه ها می توان از الگوریتم های بهینه سازی مانند الگوریتم های فراابتکاری که امکان فرار از بهینه های محلی را دارند، استفاده نمود. در این تحقیق، الگوریتم فراابتکاری جدیدی به نام الگوریتم بهینه سازی زغن معرفی می گردد که از زندگی اجتماعی زغن ها در طبیعت الهام گرفته شده است و دارای مزایایی مانند تعداد پارامترهای کم، قابلیت اکتشاف و سرعت همگرایی خوب، است. کارایی الگوریتم پیشنهادی، با چند الگوریتم جدید فراابتکاری روی توابع محک CEC2018 و برای آموزش شبکه عصبی در پیش بینی مصرف برق ایران در زمان های اوج مصرف بار، مقایسه گردیده است. نتایج حاصل، نشان می دهد الگوریتم پیشنهادی راه حل بهتری با خطای کمتری، در مقایسه با الگوریتم های رقیب به دست می آورد.

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