مدل سازی شاخص‌های سنجش تاب آوری تأمین کنندگان با رویکرد خبره محورتفسیری:گامی درجهت افزایش بهروه‌وری صنعت قطعه‌سازی خودرو
الموضوعات :علیرضا عرب 1 , احمد جعفرنژاد 2 , ایمن قاسمیان صاحبی 3
1 - دانشجوی دکتری تخصصی تحقیق در عملیات، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه تهران،ایران
2 - استاد گروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه تهران،ایران
3 - دانشجوی دکتری تخصصی مدیریت تولید و عملیات، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه تهران،ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: دلفی فازی, مدل سازی ساختاری تفسیری, تأمین کنندگان تاب‌آور, تداوم کسب و کار,
ملخص المقالة :
در دنیای کسب و کار امروزی، رقابت شدید میان شرکت‌ها باعث شده تا آنها در شرایط عدم اطمینان فعالیت کنند که همین امر باعث مواجه شدن آنها با ریسک‌های متفاوتی می‌شود. ریسک‌ها آثار منفی بر زنجیره تأمین شرکت‌ها داشته و می‌تواند منجر به کاهش سودآوری و مزیت رقابتی شوند. همچنین گسترده شدن و متراکم‌تر شدن شبکه روابط در زنجیره تأمین از سویی و اجتناب ناپذیر بودن برخی اختلالات از سوی دیگر، باعث می‌شود تا سنجش و ارزیابی تأمین‌کنندگان اهمیت دوچندانی بیابد. بنابراین بایستی به تاب آوری به عنوان توانایی تأثیرپذیری کمتر از اختلالات و نیز توانایی در بازیابی اختلالات در میان تأمین کنندگان توجه بیشتری شود. از این رو هدف از انجام پژوهش حاضر شناسایی و سطح‌بندی شاخص‌های سنجش تاب آوری تأمین‌کنندگان گروه صنعتی اورند با بهره‌گیری از روش‌های ترکیبی دلفی فازی و مدل سازی ساختاری تفسیری می‌باشد. نتایج حاکی از آن است که از میان 27 شاخص شناسایی شده از تئوری تحقیق، 16 شاخص با استفاده از تکنیک دلفی فازی ونظرات تیم 10 نفره خبرگان تأیید شدند. در ادامه با استفاده از تکنیک مدل سازی ساختاری تفسیری به سطح بندی شاخص‌های مورد نظر در این صنعت و ارائه مدل سلسله مراتبی پژوهش پرداخته شد. نتایج این تکنیک نشان داد شاخص‌های سنجش تاب آوری تأمین کنندگان در 5 سطح جای گرفتند که شاخص زمان تأخیر در بالاترین سطح و تأثیرپذیرترین عامل شناخته شد. همچنین شاخص قدرت مالی تأمین کننده به عنوان تأثیرگذارترین عامل در پایین‌ترین سطح جای گرفت.
Azadeh, A., Abdollahi, M., Farahani, M. H., & Soufi, H. R. (2014), Green-Resilient Supplier Selection: An Integrated Approach. in International IEEE Conference, (In Persian).
Blackhurst, J., Dunn, K. S., & Craighead, C. W. (2011), An Empirically Derived Framework of Global Supply Resiliency. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(4), 374-391.
Blome, C., & Schoenherr, T. (2011), Supply Chain Risk Management in Financial Crises-A Multiple Case-Study Approach. International Journal of Production Economics, 134(1), 43-57.
Bouzon, M.,Govindan, K.,Rodriguez, C.M.T., & Campos, L.M.S. (2016), Identification and Analysis of Reverse Logistics Barriers Using Fuzzy Delphi Method and AHP. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 108, 182-197.
Briano, E., Caballini, C., & Revetria, R. (2009), Literature Review About Supply Chain Vulnerability and Resiliency. 8th WseasInternational Conference on System Science and Simulation in Engineering.
Carvalho, H., Barroso, A. P., MacHado, V. H., Azevedo, S., & Cruz-Machado, V. (2012), Supply Chain Redesign for Resilience Using Simulation. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 62(1), 329-341.
Chan, S., & Larsen, G. N. (2010), A Framework for Supplier-Supply Chain Risk Management: TradespaceFactors to Achieve Risk Reduction- Return on Investment. International Conference on Technologies for Homeland Security.
Cheng, C. H., & Lin, Y. (2002), Evaluating the Best Main Battle Tank Using Fuzzy Decision Theory with Linguistic Criteria Evaluation. European Journal of Operational Research, 142(1), 174-186.
Chiang, C. Y., Kocabasoglu-Hillmer, C., & Suresh, N. (2012), An Empirical Investigation of theImpact of Strategic Sourcing and Flexibility on Firm’s Supply Chain Agility. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 32(1), 49-78.
Christopher, M., & Holweg, M. (2011), Supply Chain:Managing Supply Chains in the Era of Turbulence. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 41(1), 63-82.
Christopher, M., Towill, D., Martin, C., & Denis, T. (2001), An Integrated Model for the Design of Agile Supply Chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 31(4), 235-246.
Cousins, P.D., Lawson, B., Petersen, K. J., & Handfield, R.B.(2011), Breakthrough Scanning, Supplier Knowledge Exchange, and New Product Development Performance. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 28(6), 930-942.
Datta, S., & Mahapatra, S. S. (2014), A Decision Support System towards Suppliers’ Selection in Resilient Supply Chain: Exploration of Fuzzy-Topsis.
Gunasekaran, A., Patel, C., & Tirtiroglu, E. (2001), Performance Measures and Metrics in a Supply Chain Environment. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 21(1/2), 71-87.
Haldar, A., Ray, A., Banerjee, D., & Ghosh, S. (2012), A Hybrid McdmModel forResilient Supplier Selection. International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 7(4), 284-292.
Haldar, A., Ray, A., Banerjee, D., & Ghosh, S. (2014), Resilient Supplier Selection under a Fuzzy Environment. International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 9(2), 147-156.
Hofmann, E. (2011), Natural Hedging as a Risk Prophylaxis and Supplier Financing Instrument in Automotive Supply Chains. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 16(2), 128-141.
Ivarsson, I., & Alvstam, C. G. (2010), Upgrading in Global Value-Chains: ACase Study of Technology-Learning among IKEA-Suppliers in China and Southeast Asia. Journal of Economic Geography.
Kamalahmadi, M., & Mellat-Parast, M. (2016), Developing a Resilient Supply Chain Through Supplier Flexibility and Reliability Assessment. International Journal of Production Research, 54(1), 302–321, (In Persian).
Kamalahmadi, M., & Parast, M. M. (2016), A Review of the Literature on the Principles of Enterprise and Supply Chain Resilience: Major Findings and Directions for Future Research. International Journal of Production Economics, 171, 116-133, (In Persian).
Kern, D., Moser, R., Hartmann, E., & Moder, M. (2012), Supply Risk Management: Model Development and Empirical Analysis. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 42(1), 60-82.
Kloyer, M., & Scholderer, J. (2012), Effective Incomplete Contracts and Milestones in Market-Distant R&D Collaboration. Research Policy, 41(2), 346-357.
Kuo, R. J., Wang, Y. C., & Tien, F. C. (2010), Integration of Artificial Neural Network and MADA Methods for Green Supplier Selection. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18(12), 1161-1170.
Lavastre, O., Gunasekaran, A., & Spalanzani, A. (2012), Supply Chain Risk Management in French Companies. Decision Support Systems, 52(4), 828-838.
Leat, P., & Revoredo-Giha, C. (2013), Risk and Resilience inAgri-Food Supply Chains: The Case of the ASDA PorkLink Supply Chain in Scotland. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 18(2), 219-231.
Locke, R. M., Rissing, B. A., & Pal, T. (2013), Complements or Substitutes? Private Codes, State Regulation and the Enforcement of Labour Standards in Global Supply Chains. British Journal of Industrial Relations, 51(3), 519-552.
Matook, S., Lasch, R., & Tamaschke, R. (2009), Supplier Development with Benchmarking as Part of a Comprehensive Supplier Risk Management Framework. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 29(3), 241-267.
Nishat Faisal, M. (2010), Sustainable Supply Chains: AStudy of Interaction among the Enablers. Business Process Management Journal, 16(3), 508-529.
Park, K. (2011), Flexible and Redundant Supply Chain Practices to Build Strategic Supply Chain Resilience: Contingent and Resource-Based Perspectives.
Pettit, T. J., Fiksel, J., & Croxton, K. L. (2010), Ensuring Supply Chain Resilience: Development of a Conceptual Framework. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(1), 1-21.
Pfohl, H. C., Köhler, H., & Thomas, D. (2010), State of the Art in Supply Chain Risk Management Research: Empirical and Conceptual Findings and a Roadmap for the Implementation in Practice. Logistics Research, 2(1), 33-44.
Ponomarov, S. Y., & Holcomb, M. C. (2009), Understanding the Concept of Supply Chain Resilience. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 20.
Rajesh, R., & Ravi, V. (2015), Supplier Selection in Resilient Supply Chains: AGrey Relational Analysis Approach. Journal of Cleaner Production, 86, 343-359, (In Persian).
Raut, R. D., Narkhede, B., & Gardas, B. B. (2017), To Identify the Critical Success Factors of Sustainable Supply Chain Management Practices in the Context of Oil and Gas Industries: ISM Approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 33-47.
Resilience, S. C. (2011), 3rd Annual Survey.Business Continuity Institute.
Sahu, A. K., Datta, S., & Mahapatra, S. S. (2016), Evaluation and Selection of Resilient Suppliers in Fuzzy Environment: Exploration of Fuzzy-Vikor. Benchmarking: An International Journal, 23(3), 651-673.
Sawik, T. (2011), Selection of Supply Portfolio under Disruption Risks. Omega, 39(2), 194-208.
Sawik, T. (2013), Selection of Resilient Supply Portfolio under Disruption Risks. Omega, 41(2), 259-269.
Scholten, K., Sharkey Scott, P., & Fynes, B. (2014), Mitigation Processes-Antecedents for Building Supply Chain Resilience. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 19(2), 211-228.
Sheffi, Y. (2005), Building a Resilient Supply Chain. October, 1(8), 1-14.
Simangunsong, E. S., Hendry, L., & Stevenson, M. (2012),Supply Chain Uncertainty: AReview and Theoretical Foundation for Future Research. International Journal of Production Research, 50(16), 4493-4523.
Simchi-Levi, D., Simchi-Levi, E., & Kaminsky, P. (1999), Designing and Managing the Supply Chain: Concepts, Strategies, and Cases. McGraw-Hill New York.
Soni, U., Jain, V., & Kumar, S. (2014), Measuring Supply Chain Resilience Using a Deterministic Modeling Approach. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 74(1), 11-25.
Stecke, K. E., & Kumar, S. (2009), Sources of Supply Chain Disruptions, Factors that Breed Vulnerability, and Mitigating Strategies. Journal of Marketing Channels, 16(3), 193-226.
Tate, W. L., Dooley, K. J., & Ellram, L. M. (2011), TransactionCost and Institutional Drivers of Supplier Adoption of Environmental Practices. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(1), 6-16.
Torabi, S. A., Baghersad, M., & Mansouri, S. A. (2015), Resilient Supplier Selection and Order Allocation under Operational and Disruption Risks. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 79, 22-48, (In Persian).
Torres-Fuchslocher, C. (2010). Understanding the Development of Technology-Intensive Suppliers in Resource-Based Developing Economies. Research Policy, 39(2), 268-277.
Tukamuhabwa, B. R., Stevenson, M., Busby, J., & Zorzini, M. (2015). Supply Chain Resilience: Definition, Review and Theoretical Foundations for Further Study. International Journal of Production Research, 53(18), 5592-523.
Urciuoli, L., Mohanty, S., Hintsa, J., & Boekesteijn, E. G. (2014),The Resilience of Energy Supply Chains: AMultiple Case Study Approach on Oil and Gas Supply Chains to Europe. Supply Chain Management-an International Journal, 19(1), 46-63.
Wang, Y. M., Chin, K. S., Poon, G. K. K., & Yang, J. B. (2009), Risk Evaluation in Failure Mode and Effects Analysis Using Fuzzy Weighted Geometric Mean. Expert Systems with Applications, 36(2), 1195-1207.
Yang, B., & Yang, Y. (2010), Postponement in Supply Chain Risk Management: AComplexity Perspective. International Journal of Production Research, 48(7), 1901-1912.
Yi, C. Y., Ngai, E. W. T., & Moon, K. L. (2011), Supply Chain Flexibility in An Uncertain Environment: Exploratory Findings from Five Case Studies. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 16(4), 271-283.
Zhang, Y., Lindell, M. K., & Prater, C. S. (2009), Vulnerability of Community Businesses to Environmental Disasters. Disasters, 33(1), 38-57.
Zsidisin, G. A., & Wagner, S. M. (2010), Do Perceptions Become Reality? The Moderating Role of Supply Chain Resiliency on Disruption Occurrence. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(2),1-20.
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Azadeh, A., Abdollahi, M., Farahani, M. H., & Soufi, H. R. (2014), Green-Resilient Supplier Selection: An Integrated Approach. in International IEEE Conference, (In Persian).
Blackhurst, J., Dunn, K. S., & Craighead, C. W. (2011), An Empirically Derived Framework of Global Supply Resiliency. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(4), 374-391.
Blome, C., & Schoenherr, T. (2011), Supply Chain Risk Management in Financial Crises-A Multiple Case-Study Approach. International Journal of Production Economics, 134(1), 43-57.
Bouzon, M.,Govindan, K.,Rodriguez, C.M.T., & Campos, L.M.S. (2016), Identification and Analysis of Reverse Logistics Barriers Using Fuzzy Delphi Method and AHP. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 108, 182-197.
Briano, E., Caballini, C., & Revetria, R. (2009), Literature Review About Supply Chain Vulnerability and Resiliency. 8th WseasInternational Conference on System Science and Simulation in Engineering.
Carvalho, H., Barroso, A. P., MacHado, V. H., Azevedo, S., & Cruz-Machado, V. (2012), Supply Chain Redesign for Resilience Using Simulation. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 62(1), 329-341.
Chan, S., & Larsen, G. N. (2010), A Framework for Supplier-Supply Chain Risk Management: TradespaceFactors to Achieve Risk Reduction- Return on Investment. International Conference on Technologies for Homeland Security.
Cheng, C. H., & Lin, Y. (2002), Evaluating the Best Main Battle Tank Using Fuzzy Decision Theory with Linguistic Criteria Evaluation. European Journal of Operational Research, 142(1), 174-186.
Chiang, C. Y., Kocabasoglu-Hillmer, C., & Suresh, N. (2012), An Empirical Investigation of theImpact of Strategic Sourcing and Flexibility on Firm’s Supply Chain Agility. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 32(1), 49-78.
Christopher, M., & Holweg, M. (2011), Supply Chain:Managing Supply Chains in the Era of Turbulence. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 41(1), 63-82.
Christopher, M., Towill, D., Martin, C., & Denis, T. (2001), An Integrated Model for the Design of Agile Supply Chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 31(4), 235-246.
Cousins, P.D., Lawson, B., Petersen, K. J., & Handfield, R.B.(2011), Breakthrough Scanning, Supplier Knowledge Exchange, and New Product Development Performance. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 28(6), 930-942.
Datta, S., & Mahapatra, S. S. (2014), A Decision Support System towards Suppliers’ Selection in Resilient Supply Chain: Exploration of Fuzzy-Topsis.
Gunasekaran, A., Patel, C., & Tirtiroglu, E. (2001), Performance Measures and Metrics in a Supply Chain Environment. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 21(1/2), 71-87.
Haldar, A., Ray, A., Banerjee, D., & Ghosh, S. (2012), A Hybrid McdmModel forResilient Supplier Selection. International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 7(4), 284-292.
Haldar, A., Ray, A., Banerjee, D., & Ghosh, S. (2014), Resilient Supplier Selection under a Fuzzy Environment. International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 9(2), 147-156.
Hofmann, E. (2011), Natural Hedging as a Risk Prophylaxis and Supplier Financing Instrument in Automotive Supply Chains. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 16(2), 128-141.
Ivarsson, I., & Alvstam, C. G. (2010), Upgrading in Global Value-Chains: ACase Study of Technology-Learning among IKEA-Suppliers in China and Southeast Asia. Journal of Economic Geography.
Kamalahmadi, M., & Mellat-Parast, M. (2016), Developing a Resilient Supply Chain Through Supplier Flexibility and Reliability Assessment. International Journal of Production Research, 54(1), 302–321, (In Persian).
Kamalahmadi, M., & Parast, M. M. (2016), A Review of the Literature on the Principles of Enterprise and Supply Chain Resilience: Major Findings and Directions for Future Research. International Journal of Production Economics, 171, 116-133, (In Persian).
Kern, D., Moser, R., Hartmann, E., & Moder, M. (2012), Supply Risk Management: Model Development and Empirical Analysis. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 42(1), 60-82.
Kloyer, M., & Scholderer, J. (2012), Effective Incomplete Contracts and Milestones in Market-Distant R&D Collaboration. Research Policy, 41(2), 346-357.
Kuo, R. J., Wang, Y. C., & Tien, F. C. (2010), Integration of Artificial Neural Network and MADA Methods for Green Supplier Selection. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18(12), 1161-1170.
Lavastre, O., Gunasekaran, A., & Spalanzani, A. (2012), Supply Chain Risk Management in French Companies. Decision Support Systems, 52(4), 828-838.
Leat, P., & Revoredo-Giha, C. (2013), Risk and Resilience inAgri-Food Supply Chains: The Case of the ASDA PorkLink Supply Chain in Scotland. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 18(2), 219-231.
Locke, R. M., Rissing, B. A., & Pal, T. (2013), Complements or Substitutes? Private Codes, State Regulation and the Enforcement of Labour Standards in Global Supply Chains. British Journal of Industrial Relations, 51(3), 519-552.
Matook, S., Lasch, R., & Tamaschke, R. (2009), Supplier Development with Benchmarking as Part of a Comprehensive Supplier Risk Management Framework. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 29(3), 241-267.
Nishat Faisal, M. (2010), Sustainable Supply Chains: AStudy of Interaction among the Enablers. Business Process Management Journal, 16(3), 508-529.
Park, K. (2011), Flexible and Redundant Supply Chain Practices to Build Strategic Supply Chain Resilience: Contingent and Resource-Based Perspectives.
Pettit, T. J., Fiksel, J., & Croxton, K. L. (2010), Ensuring Supply Chain Resilience: Development of a Conceptual Framework. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(1), 1-21.
Pfohl, H. C., Köhler, H., & Thomas, D. (2010), State of the Art in Supply Chain Risk Management Research: Empirical and Conceptual Findings and a Roadmap for the Implementation in Practice. Logistics Research, 2(1), 33-44.
Ponomarov, S. Y., & Holcomb, M. C. (2009), Understanding the Concept of Supply Chain Resilience. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 20.
Rajesh, R., & Ravi, V. (2015), Supplier Selection in Resilient Supply Chains: AGrey Relational Analysis Approach. Journal of Cleaner Production, 86, 343-359, (In Persian).
Raut, R. D., Narkhede, B., & Gardas, B. B. (2017), To Identify the Critical Success Factors of Sustainable Supply Chain Management Practices in the Context of Oil and Gas Industries: ISM Approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 33-47.
Resilience, S. C. (2011), 3rd Annual Survey.Business Continuity Institute.
Sahu, A. K., Datta, S., & Mahapatra, S. S. (2016), Evaluation and Selection of Resilient Suppliers in Fuzzy Environment: Exploration of Fuzzy-Vikor. Benchmarking: An International Journal, 23(3), 651-673.
Sawik, T. (2011), Selection of Supply Portfolio under Disruption Risks. Omega, 39(2), 194-208.
Sawik, T. (2013), Selection of Resilient Supply Portfolio under Disruption Risks. Omega, 41(2), 259-269.
Scholten, K., Sharkey Scott, P., & Fynes, B. (2014), Mitigation Processes-Antecedents for Building Supply Chain Resilience. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 19(2), 211-228.
Sheffi, Y. (2005), Building a Resilient Supply Chain. October, 1(8), 1-14.
Simangunsong, E. S., Hendry, L., & Stevenson, M. (2012),Supply Chain Uncertainty: AReview and Theoretical Foundation for Future Research. International Journal of Production Research, 50(16), 4493-4523.
Simchi-Levi, D., Simchi-Levi, E., & Kaminsky, P. (1999), Designing and Managing the Supply Chain: Concepts, Strategies, and Cases. McGraw-Hill New York.
Soni, U., Jain, V., & Kumar, S. (2014), Measuring Supply Chain Resilience Using a Deterministic Modeling Approach. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 74(1), 11-25.
Stecke, K. E., & Kumar, S. (2009), Sources of Supply Chain Disruptions, Factors that Breed Vulnerability, and Mitigating Strategies. Journal of Marketing Channels, 16(3), 193-226.
Tate, W. L., Dooley, K. J., & Ellram, L. M. (2011), TransactionCost and Institutional Drivers of Supplier Adoption of Environmental Practices. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(1), 6-16.
Torabi, S. A., Baghersad, M., & Mansouri, S. A. (2015), Resilient Supplier Selection and Order Allocation under Operational and Disruption Risks. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 79, 22-48, (In Persian).
Torres-Fuchslocher, C. (2010). Understanding the Development of Technology-Intensive Suppliers in Resource-Based Developing Economies. Research Policy, 39(2), 268-277.
Tukamuhabwa, B. R., Stevenson, M., Busby, J., & Zorzini, M. (2015). Supply Chain Resilience: Definition, Review and Theoretical Foundations for Further Study. International Journal of Production Research, 53(18), 5592-523.
Urciuoli, L., Mohanty, S., Hintsa, J., & Boekesteijn, E. G. (2014),The Resilience of Energy Supply Chains: AMultiple Case Study Approach on Oil and Gas Supply Chains to Europe. Supply Chain Management-an International Journal, 19(1), 46-63.
Wang, Y. M., Chin, K. S., Poon, G. K. K., & Yang, J. B. (2009), Risk Evaluation in Failure Mode and Effects Analysis Using Fuzzy Weighted Geometric Mean. Expert Systems with Applications, 36(2), 1195-1207.
Yang, B., & Yang, Y. (2010), Postponement in Supply Chain Risk Management: AComplexity Perspective. International Journal of Production Research, 48(7), 1901-1912.
Yi, C. Y., Ngai, E. W. T., & Moon, K. L. (2011), Supply Chain Flexibility in An Uncertain Environment: Exploratory Findings from Five Case Studies. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 16(4), 271-283.
Zhang, Y., Lindell, M. K., & Prater, C. S. (2009), Vulnerability of Community Businesses to Environmental Disasters. Disasters, 33(1), 38-57.
Zsidisin, G. A., & Wagner, S. M. (2010), Do Perceptions Become Reality? The Moderating Role of Supply Chain Resiliency on Disruption Occurrence. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(2),1-20.
