بررسی تاثیر توسعه اقتصادی بر تلفات ترافیک جادهای در کشورهای با درآمد بالا و متوسط با رویکرد گشتاورهای تعمیمیافته
الموضوعات :
اشکان رحیم زاده
1
(
نویسنده مسئول، استادیار، گروه اقتصاد، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زنجان، ایران. آدرس پست الکترونیکی:
ashkan_rahimzadeh@yahoo.com
)
الکلمات المفتاحية: نرخ بیکاری, شاخص توسعه انسانی, کلمات کلیدی: تولید ناخالص داخلی, تلفات ترافیک جادهای و روش گشتاورهای تعمیمیافته,
ملخص المقالة :
چکیدههدف این تحقیق بررستتی تاثیر توستتعه اقتصتتادی و توستتعه انستتانی بر تلفات ترافیک جادهای در دو گروهکشورهای با درآمد بالا و متوسط میباشد . دادهها در این تحقیق از مجموعه شاخص های توسعه بانک جهانی( WDI ( مربوط به دو گروه کشتتتورهای با درآمد بالا و متوستتتط که بر استتتاس گزارش ستتتازمان ملل2121 بهدستتتآمده استتت. - طبقهبندیشتتدهاند، در دوره زمانی 2111 با توجه به اینکه اطلاعات بهکار گرفتهشده در این تحقیق ناهمگون بوده از آزمون همجمعی پدرونی ا ستفاده شده ا ست. نتایج این آزمون دلالت برآن دارد که متغیرهای مدل در بلندمدت، با یکدیگر ارتباط دارند. نتایج برآورد مدل به روش گشتتتتاورهایتعمیمیافته ن شان میدهد در مجموعه ک شورهای منتخب با درآمد بالا، تأثیر متغیرهای تولید ناخالص داخلی،نرخ بیکاری و شتتتاخص توستتتعه انستتتانی بر تلفات جاده ای منفی و معنادار بوده در حا لی که در مجموعهکشتتورهای منتخب با درآمد متوستتط تأثیر متغیرهای تولید ناخالص داخلی ستترانه و نرخ بیکاری بر تلفاتجادهای مثبت و معنادار و تأثیر شاخص توسعه انسانی منفی و معنادار بهدستآمده است.
منابع
-Abrishmi, Hamid. Mehrara, Mohsen. Zamanzadeh Nasrabadi, Hamid, (2009), The relationship between oil shocks and the economic growth of OPEC member countries: Is this relationship asymmetrical? Quarterly Journal of Energy Economics Studies, No. 21, pp. 112-93.(Persian)
-Akinyemi, Y(2020), Relationship between economic development and road traffic crashes and casualties: empirical evidence from Nigeria. -Düzyol, S. G., Daibaşoğlu, K., & Üzümcüoğlu, Y. (2021). The relationship between HDI values and road traffic fatality rates. Nesne, 9(19), 42-51. DOI: 10.7816/nesne-09-19-04 .
-Kopits, E, Cropper, M (2003), Traffic Fatalities and Economic Growth, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
-Makian, Seyed Nizamuddin. Mustafavi, Seyyed Mohammad Hassan. Hatami, Razia. Dehghanpour, Mohammadreza, (2013), Investigating the effect of trade growth on human development growth in selected Asian countries: panel data approach, Quantitative Economics Quarterly (Former Economic Reviews), Volume 9, Number 1, Spring 2011, Pages 55-70.(Persian)
-Nofarsti, Mohammad, (1391), the root of unity and collectiveness in econometrics, Rasa Publishing House.(persian)
-Pedroni, P. (2005), “Panel Cointegration; Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests, with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis”, Indiana University Working Papers in Economics, No. 95-013, June.
-Ranjbar, Sadegh and Rostami, Mehdi. (2014). Investigating factors influencing the attraction of FDI in the oil and gas industry. Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Monthly, No. 123, pp. 25-29.(Persian)
-Research Institute of Statistics, Analytical Report on the Statistics of Road Accidents and Fatalities 98.(Persian)
-Wiebe, D. J., Ray, S., Maswabi, T., Kgathi, C., Branas, C. C., 2016. Economic development and road traffic fatalities in two neighbouring African nations. African Journal of Emergency Medicine 6, 80–86.World Health Organization. (2018a). Global Status Report on Road Safety 2018
-Wijnen, W., Rietveld, P., 2015. The impact of economic development on road safety: a literature review. In: Why Does Road Safety Improve When Economic Times are Hard? ITF/IRTAD, Paris, 22–42 -World Health Organization. (2018b, July 5). Disability-adjusted Life Years (DALYs)
منابع
-Abrishmi, Hamid. Mehrara, Mohsen. Zamanzadeh Nasrabadi, Hamid, (2009), The relationship between oil shocks and the economic growth of OPEC member countries: Is this relationship asymmetrical? Quarterly Journal of Energy Economics Studies, No. 21, pp. 112-93.(Persian)
-Akinyemi, Y(2020), Relationship between economic development and road traffic crashes and casualties: empirical evidence from Nigeria. -Düzyol, S. G., Daibaşoğlu, K., & Üzümcüoğlu, Y. (2021). The relationship between HDI values and road traffic fatality rates. Nesne, 9(19), 42-51. DOI: 10.7816/nesne-09-19-04 .
-Kopits, E, Cropper, M (2003), Traffic Fatalities and Economic Growth, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
-Makian, Seyed Nizamuddin. Mustafavi, Seyyed Mohammad Hassan. Hatami, Razia. Dehghanpour, Mohammadreza, (2013), Investigating the effect of trade growth on human development growth in selected Asian countries: panel data approach, Quantitative Economics Quarterly (Former Economic Reviews), Volume 9, Number 1, Spring 2011, Pages 55-70.(Persian)
-Nofarsti, Mohammad, (1391), the root of unity and collectiveness in econometrics, Rasa Publishing House.(persian)
-Pedroni, P. (2005), “Panel Cointegration; Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests, with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis”, Indiana University Working Papers in Economics, No. 95-013, June.
-Ranjbar, Sadegh and Rostami, Mehdi. (2014). Investigating factors influencing the attraction of FDI in the oil and gas industry. Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Monthly, No. 123, pp. 25-29.(Persian)
-Research Institute of Statistics, Analytical Report on the Statistics of Road Accidents and Fatalities 98.(Persian)
-Wiebe, D. J., Ray, S., Maswabi, T., Kgathi, C., Branas, C. C., 2016. Economic development and road traffic fatalities in two neighbouring African nations. African Journal of Emergency Medicine 6, 80–86.World Health Organization. (2018a). Global Status Report on Road Safety 2018
-Wijnen, W., Rietveld, P., 2015. The impact of economic development on road safety: a literature review. In: Why Does Road Safety Improve When Economic Times are Hard? ITF/IRTAD, Paris, 22–42 -World Health Organization. (2018b, July 5). Disability-adjusted Life Years (DALYs)
