سنجش متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت معکوس در نواحی روستایی (موردی: بخش مرکزی شهرستان دزفول)
الموضوعات :سعید امانپور 1 , عظیم علی شائی 2 , نبی الله حسینی شه پریان 3
1 - دانشیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز
2 - استادیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه پیام نور، ایران.
3 - دانشجوی دکترا جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه تبریز
الکلمات المفتاحية: شهرستان دزفول, مهاجرت معکوس, سیستم فازی, رگرسیون خطی,
ملخص المقالة :
هدف این پژوهش سنجش متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت معکوس در روستاهای بخش مرکزی شهرستان دزفول می باشد. پژوهش حاضر از لحاظ هدف کاربردی و از لحاظ روش شناسی از نوع توصیفی – تحلیلی می‌باشد. جهت گردآوری اطلاعات از روش اسنادی و میدانی استفاده شده است. شیوه نمونه‌گیری در این پژوهش نمونه‌گیری سهمیه‌ای و پر نمودن پرسشنامه‌ها به صورت تصادفی ساده بین سرپرست خانوارها بوده است. نتایج به دست آمده از آزمون t نشان داد که از دیدگاه مهاجران شاخص اقتصادی مهمترین عامل مؤثر بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت برگشتی است. همچنین نتایج آزمون رگرسیون خطی گویای آن است که در مهاجرت برگشتی، متغیرهای سن، جنس، تعلق بومی و فاصله سکونت تأثیرگذار هستند. براساس آزمون فریدمن، دسترسی به خدمات زیر بنایی، ارتباطی، رفاهی و اداری دارای اهمیت بیشتری نسبت به سایر متغیرها بوده اند. در نهایت نتایج سیستم فازی حاکی از آن است که روستاهای مورد مطالعه در مجموعۀ مهاجرت برگشتی بالا قرار دارند.
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