تحلیل هزینه فایده کنترل پدیده ریزگردها آیا درختکاری کانونهای ریزگرد داخلی استان خوزستان دارای توجیه اقتصادی است؟
الموضوعات :
امیرحسین منتظرحجت
1
,
حسن فرازمند
2
,
نعمت اله جعفرزاده حقیقی فرد
3
,
دنیا عموری
4
1 - دانشیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز
2 - دانشیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز
3 - استاد گروه بهداشت دانشگاه علوم پزشکی جندی شاپور اهواز
4 - فارغالتحصیل کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز
تاريخ الإرسال : 15 الجمعة , صفر, 1442
تاريخ التأكيد : 16 الأربعاء , ربيع الأول, 1444
تاريخ الإصدار : 27 الجمعة , صفر, 1444
الکلمات المفتاحية:
درختکاری,
تحلیل هزینه- فایده,
کانون ریزگرد,
استان خوزستان,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: از سال 1384، ریزگردها به مشکلی اساسی در استان خوزستان تبدیل شده است و لزوم توجه و اقدام در جهت حل این معضل را بیشتر کرده است. از این رو درختکاری کانونهای حاد ریزگرد برای کنترل این پدیده در دستور کار سازمان جنگلها، مراتع و آبخیزداری استان خوزستان قرار گرفت.روش بررسی: در این مطالعه، با بهرهگیری از تحلیل هزینه-فایده، طرح درختکاری کانونهای حاد استان خوزستان از منظر اقتصادی ارزیابی شد. بدین منظور منافع اجرای این سیاست بصورت کاهش در بیماریهای قلبی و تنفسی در نظر گرفته شد که در زمان حال با ارزش فعلی هزینههای کاشت و داشت درختکاری مقایسه گردید.یافتهها: نتایج این مطالعه نشان داد که معیار ارزش خالص فعلی (NPV) مثبت و نسبت منافع به هزینهها (B/C) بزرگتر یک است.بحث و نتیجهگیری: با توجه به نتایج بدست آمده اجرای این سیاست دارای توجیه اقتصادی است.
المصادر:
Yarahamdi D., Nasiri B., Khushkish A. and Nikbakht H. 2014. "The effect of climate fluctuations on the occurrence of dust phenomenon: A case study of dust in the west and southwest of Iran", 2013, Desert Ecosystem Magazine, Vol. 3, No. 5, pp. 19-28. (In persian)
Tayyi Semiromi, S. Moradi, H R. Khodagholi, M. and Ahmadi Akhormah, M. 2013. "Identifying and Investigating Factors Affecting Dust Dismantling in West of Iran", Human and Environment Quarterly, No. 27, pp. 1-10. (In Persian)
Baaghideh, M. and Ahmadi, H. 2013. "Analysis of Dust and Diversion Risks in West and Southwest of Iran", Journal of Rescue and Rescue Research, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 42-61.
Azhdari, A. 2015. "Identification of the origin of dust storm in Khuzestan province", General Directorate of Geology and Mineral Exploration of the South Western Region. (In Persian)
Lee, H. Kim, H. Honda, Y. Lim, Y-H and Yi, S. 2013. "Effect of Asian dust storms on daily mortality in seven metropolitan cities of Korea", Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 79, pp. 510-517.
Godarzi M. Hosseini A. and Ahmadi H. 2016 "Investigation of the temporal and spatial distribution of days with dust in the west and southwest of Iran", Iranian watershed science and engineering, Vol. 11, No. 39, pp. 1-10.
Fatahi, S., 2016. "Micro-grids, power outages and complexity in the most strategic province of Iran", Quarterly Journal of Strategic Studies of Public Policymaking, Vol. 7, No. 25, pp. 311-324. (In persian)
McLeman, R. A., Dupre, J., Berrang Ford, L., Ford, J., Gajewski, K. and Marchildon, G. 2014. "What we learned from the Dust Bowl: lessons in science, policy, and adaptation", Population and Environment, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp. 417–440.
Agricultural Research Center of Khuzestan Province, "Comprehensive Study-Executive Plan for Dealing with the Dust Phenomenon in the Indoor origins of Khuzestan Province, Final Report of the South-Eastern Dust Center of Ahvaz", 2015, Ministry of Jahad Agriculture, Organization for Research, Education and Promotion of Agriculture. Ahvaz. (In persian)
Emadzadeh M., Bastanifar, I. and Ebrahimi S. 2007. "Assessment and simultaneous forecasting of economic-environmental effects of projects (case study of Isfahan Scientific Research Town)", 1386, Economic Studies Quarterly, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 51-72.(In persian)
Lotf Alipour, M. and Islami Giski, S. 2018. "Cost-benefit assessment and sensitivity analysis of Sarcheshme copper complex", 2018, Economic Studies Quarterly, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 83-99. (In persian)
Thomas A., and Kalan, A., "Environmental Economics, Applications, Policies and Theory", translated by Amir Hossein Montazer-hojat, Shahid Chamran University Publications, Ahvaz, second edition. (In persian)
Vahid, M. and Golzari, S., 2015. "Economic and environmental analysis of wastewater collection and treatment", Baysdar Water and Development Journal, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 83-93. (In persian)
Skoonjad M. 1996. "Engineering Economics: Economic Evaluation of Industrial Projects". 7th edition, Publications of Amir Kabir University of Technology. Tehran.(In persian)
Bahrami, F., Leili, M., Vaziri, Y., Salahshour, A., Cristadli, A., Olivericonti, G. and Ferrante, M., 2018, "Health Impact Quantification of Ambient Air Pollutants Using AirQ Model Approach in Hamadan Iran", Journal of Environmental Research, Vol. 161, pp. 114- 121.
Shin, J. Y., Lee, Y. J., Lim, Y.W., Kim, S.S., Shin, D. 2011. "Evaluating the PM Damage Cost Due to Urban Air Pollution and Vehicle Emission in Seoul, Korea", Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 192, pp. 603- 609.
Tobias, A., Perez, L., Diaz, J., Linares, C., Pey, J. and Querol, X. 2011. "Short- Term Effects of Particulate Matter on Total Mortality During Saharan Dust Outbreaks: A Case- Crossover Analysis in Madrid", Journal of Science of the Total Environment, Vol. 413, pp. 386- 389.
Jeong, D. 2008. "Socio- Economic Costs from Yellow Dust Damages in South Korea", Journal of Korean social Sciences, Vol. 2, pp. 1- 29.
Goudarzi, G. Daryaanoosh, S., Dodini, H. Hopke, P., Sicard, P., Marco, D., Alssandra, D. and Khanniabadi, Y. 2017. "Health Risk Assessment of Exposure to the Middle- Estern Dust Storms in the Iranian Megacity of Kermanshah", Journal of Public Health, Vol. 148, pp. 109- 116.
Meng, Z. and Lu, L. 2007. "Dust Events as a Risk Factor for Respiratory and Cardiovascular Disease in Miniqin, China", Journal of Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 41, pp. 7048- 7058.
Mohammadi, H. 2006. "The Correlation of Tehran Air Pollution by Cardical Diseases in (1999- 2003)", Journal of Geographi Research, Vol. 58, pp. 47- 66.
Huang, Mei, Peng, Gongbing, Zhang, Jiashen and Zhang, Shihuang. 2006. "Application of artificial neural networks to the prediction of dust storms in Northwest China", Global and Planetary Change, No. 52, pp. 216–224.
Shahkoi, E. and Tahereh R., 2018. "Assessment of the risk of particulate matter in the northwest of Iran", Quarterly Journal of Geography Spatial Planning, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 57-80.(In persian)
Bayat, R.; Jafari, S.; Garzam Cheshme, B. and Charkhabi, A. 2016. "Study of the effect of particulates on vegetation changes (case study: Shadgan Lagoon, Khuzestan)", Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System in Natural Resources, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 32- 17.(In persian)
Danesh Jafari, D.; Daghar, H. and Khon Siavshan, S. 2014. "Estimation of the damage caused by the phenomenon of particulate matter on people's health in Iran, a case study of Khuzestan, Kermanshah and Kurdistan provinces", Environmental Quarterly, Vol. 41, No. 3, pp. 573-588. (In persian)
Gravandi, S.; Godarzi, G.; Salmanzadeh, S. Beit Meshaal, S.; Mohammadi, M. and Naeemabadi, A. 2014. "Estimation of the number of cardiovascular death cases and hospital referrals due to respiratory disease caused by contact with suspended particles less than 10 microns in Ahvaz city in 1384-1391", Rafsanjan Journal of Medical Sciences, Vol. 14, pp. 864-853. (In persian)
Shahsuni, A.; Yarahamdi, M.; Jafarzadeh Haqi, N.; Naeemabadi, A.; Mahmoudian, M.; Solat, H.; Soleimani, M. and Nadafi, K. 2006. "Effects of dust storms on health and environment", 1389, Journal of North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences, Vol. 2, No. 4, pp. 45-56.(In persian)
_||_
Yarahamdi D., Nasiri B., Khushkish A. and Nikbakht H. 2014. "The effect of climate fluctuations on the occurrence of dust phenomenon: A case study of dust in the west and southwest of Iran", 2013, Desert Ecosystem Magazine, Vol. 3, No. 5, pp. 19-28. (In persian)
Tayyi Semiromi, S. Moradi, H R. Khodagholi, M. and Ahmadi Akhormah, M. 2013. "Identifying and Investigating Factors Affecting Dust Dismantling in West of Iran", Human and Environment Quarterly, No. 27, pp. 1-10. (In Persian)
Baaghideh, M. and Ahmadi, H. 2013. "Analysis of Dust and Diversion Risks in West and Southwest of Iran", Journal of Rescue and Rescue Research, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 42-61.
Azhdari, A. 2015. "Identification of the origin of dust storm in Khuzestan province", General Directorate of Geology and Mineral Exploration of the South Western Region. (In Persian)
Lee, H. Kim, H. Honda, Y. Lim, Y-H and Yi, S. 2013. "Effect of Asian dust storms on daily mortality in seven metropolitan cities of Korea", Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 79, pp. 510-517.
Godarzi M. Hosseini A. and Ahmadi H. 2016 "Investigation of the temporal and spatial distribution of days with dust in the west and southwest of Iran", Iranian watershed science and engineering, Vol. 11, No. 39, pp. 1-10.
Fatahi, S., 2016. "Micro-grids, power outages and complexity in the most strategic province of Iran", Quarterly Journal of Strategic Studies of Public Policymaking, Vol. 7, No. 25, pp. 311-324. (In persian)
McLeman, R. A., Dupre, J., Berrang Ford, L., Ford, J., Gajewski, K. and Marchildon, G. 2014. "What we learned from the Dust Bowl: lessons in science, policy, and adaptation", Population and Environment, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp. 417–440.
Agricultural Research Center of Khuzestan Province, "Comprehensive Study-Executive Plan for Dealing with the Dust Phenomenon in the Indoor origins of Khuzestan Province, Final Report of the South-Eastern Dust Center of Ahvaz", 2015, Ministry of Jahad Agriculture, Organization for Research, Education and Promotion of Agriculture. Ahvaz. (In persian)
Emadzadeh M., Bastanifar, I. and Ebrahimi S. 2007. "Assessment and simultaneous forecasting of economic-environmental effects of projects (case study of Isfahan Scientific Research Town)", 1386, Economic Studies Quarterly, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 51-72.(In persian)
Lotf Alipour, M. and Islami Giski, S. 2018. "Cost-benefit assessment and sensitivity analysis of Sarcheshme copper complex", 2018, Economic Studies Quarterly, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 83-99. (In persian)
Thomas A., and Kalan, A., "Environmental Economics, Applications, Policies and Theory", translated by Amir Hossein Montazer-hojat, Shahid Chamran University Publications, Ahvaz, second edition. (In persian)
Vahid, M. and Golzari, S., 2015. "Economic and environmental analysis of wastewater collection and treatment", Baysdar Water and Development Journal, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 83-93. (In persian)
Skoonjad M. 1996. "Engineering Economics: Economic Evaluation of Industrial Projects". 7th edition, Publications of Amir Kabir University of Technology. Tehran.(In persian)
Bahrami, F., Leili, M., Vaziri, Y., Salahshour, A., Cristadli, A., Olivericonti, G. and Ferrante, M., 2018, "Health Impact Quantification of Ambient Air Pollutants Using AirQ Model Approach in Hamadan Iran", Journal of Environmental Research, Vol. 161, pp. 114- 121.
Shin, J. Y., Lee, Y. J., Lim, Y.W., Kim, S.S., Shin, D. 2011. "Evaluating the PM Damage Cost Due to Urban Air Pollution and Vehicle Emission in Seoul, Korea", Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 192, pp. 603- 609.
Tobias, A., Perez, L., Diaz, J., Linares, C., Pey, J. and Querol, X. 2011. "Short- Term Effects of Particulate Matter on Total Mortality During Saharan Dust Outbreaks: A Case- Crossover Analysis in Madrid", Journal of Science of the Total Environment, Vol. 413, pp. 386- 389.
Jeong, D. 2008. "Socio- Economic Costs from Yellow Dust Damages in South Korea", Journal of Korean social Sciences, Vol. 2, pp. 1- 29.
Goudarzi, G. Daryaanoosh, S., Dodini, H. Hopke, P., Sicard, P., Marco, D., Alssandra, D. and Khanniabadi, Y. 2017. "Health Risk Assessment of Exposure to the Middle- Estern Dust Storms in the Iranian Megacity of Kermanshah", Journal of Public Health, Vol. 148, pp. 109- 116.
Meng, Z. and Lu, L. 2007. "Dust Events as a Risk Factor for Respiratory and Cardiovascular Disease in Miniqin, China", Journal of Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 41, pp. 7048- 7058.
Mohammadi, H. 2006. "The Correlation of Tehran Air Pollution by Cardical Diseases in (1999- 2003)", Journal of Geographi Research, Vol. 58, pp. 47- 66.
Huang, Mei, Peng, Gongbing, Zhang, Jiashen and Zhang, Shihuang. 2006. "Application of artificial neural networks to the prediction of dust storms in Northwest China", Global and Planetary Change, No. 52, pp. 216–224.
Shahkoi, E. and Tahereh R., 2018. "Assessment of the risk of particulate matter in the northwest of Iran", Quarterly Journal of Geography Spatial Planning, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 57-80.(In persian)
Bayat, R.; Jafari, S.; Garzam Cheshme, B. and Charkhabi, A. 2016. "Study of the effect of particulates on vegetation changes (case study: Shadgan Lagoon, Khuzestan)", Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System in Natural Resources, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 32- 17.(In persian)
Danesh Jafari, D.; Daghar, H. and Khon Siavshan, S. 2014. "Estimation of the damage caused by the phenomenon of particulate matter on people's health in Iran, a case study of Khuzestan, Kermanshah and Kurdistan provinces", Environmental Quarterly, Vol. 41, No. 3, pp. 573-588. (In persian)
Gravandi, S.; Godarzi, G.; Salmanzadeh, S. Beit Meshaal, S.; Mohammadi, M. and Naeemabadi, A. 2014. "Estimation of the number of cardiovascular death cases and hospital referrals due to respiratory disease caused by contact with suspended particles less than 10 microns in Ahvaz city in 1384-1391", Rafsanjan Journal of Medical Sciences, Vol. 14, pp. 864-853. (In persian)
Shahsuni, A.; Yarahamdi, M.; Jafarzadeh Haqi, N.; Naeemabadi, A.; Mahmoudian, M.; Solat, H.; Soleimani, M. and Nadafi, K. 2006. "Effects of dust storms on health and environment", 1389, Journal of North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences, Vol. 2, No. 4, pp. 45-56.(In persian)