بررسی تاثیر مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی بر انتشار دی‌اکسیدکربن: داده‌های تابلویی فضایی
الموضوعات :
هدایت حسین زاده
1
(گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران. *(مسوول مکاتبات))
مهدی مرادی
2
(گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.)
تاريخ الإرسال : 13 الأربعاء , ربيع الأول, 1440
تاريخ التأكيد : 26 الإثنين , ربيع الثاني, 1441
تاريخ الإصدار : 01 الجمعة , شوال, 1444
الکلمات المفتاحية:
داده‌های تابلویی فضایی,
انتشار دی‌اکسیدکربن,
رشد اقتصادی,
مصرف انرژی,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: از آنجا که مصرف روز افزون انرژی‌های فسیلی به صورت روزمره افزایش یافته است و مصرف انرژی و به تبع آن انتشار گازهای گلخانه‌ای مشکلات زیادی را در جهان از جمله بالا رفتن سریع دما ایجاد کرده است. لذا مطالعه تاثیر ابعاد اقتصادی بر انتشار گازهای گلخانه ای ازاهمیت بالایی برخوردار می باشد. در این مطالعه به بررسی تاثیر مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی بر انتشار دی اکسیدکربن در کشورهای منطقه منا طی دوره 2014- 1995 با در نظر گرفتن اثرات همسایگی پرداخته می شود. زیرا انتشار گازهای گلخانه ای در هر کشور نه تنها تابعی از عوامل موجود در داخل کشور بوده، بلکه تابعی از کشورهای همسایه نیز می باشد.روش بررسی: به منظور بررسی تاثیر مصرف انرژی، رشد اقتصادی و انتشار دی اکسیدکربن برای کشورهای خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا ابتدا از آزمون LM برای بررسی وجود وابستگی فضایی استفاده شد و سپس مدل تحقیق با استفاده از روش رهیافت داده های تابلویی فضایی مورد تخمین قرار گرفت.یافته ها: یافته های حاصل از برآورد مدل نشان می دهد که اثرات همسایگی در مدل مورد مطالعه تایید شده است. همچنین نتایج بیانگر این است که متغیر لگاریتم مصرف انرژی دارای تاثیر مثبت و معنی داری بر انتشار CO2 دارد. متغیر لگاریتم درآمد سرانه دارای تاثیر مثبت و معنی دار و متغیر مجذور لگاریتم درآمد سرانه دارای تاثیر منفی و معنی داری بر انتشار دی اکسیدکربن دارند.بحث و نتیجه گیری: براساس نتایج تحقیق فرضیه زیست محیطی کوزنتس برای کشورهای مورد بررسی برقرار می باشد. بنابراین می توان کاهش مصرف انرژی را به عنوان راهی جهت کاهش آلودگی پیشنهاد نمود. با در نظر گرفتن اثر تکنولوژی، دو راهبرد می تواند مطرح شود: یکی ارتقای فن آوری استفاده از انرژی های فسیلی جهت افزایش کارایی انرژی و کاهش آلودگی و دیگری استفاده بیشتر از حامل های انرژی تجدیدپذیر و سوخت های پاک می باشد.
المصادر:
Stern, D. I. (2004). Energy and Economic Growth. Rensselaer Working Paper, No 0410.
Goldin, Janowinters, L. Alan (2000), Sustainable Development Economy, Abdolreza rkanuddin Eftekhari and Gholamreza Azad Aramaki, Commercial Printing and Publishing Company, Tehran. (In Persian)
Falahi, Firouz, Asgharpour, Hossein, Behbodhi, Daoud and Pournazmi, Simin (2019), Kuznets environmental curve test in Iran using LSTAR method, Energy Economics Studies Quarterly, No. 32, pp. 73- 93. (In Persian)
Flores, C., Flores-Lagunes, A., and Kapetanakis, D. (2009). Lessons from Quantile Panel Estimation of the Environmental Kuznets Curve. International Conference on Panel Data at the University of Bonn.
Mohammadzadeh, Parviz, Pashari, Majid and Akbari, Akram (2019), testing the Kuznets environmental hypothesis in MENA countries, the first international conference on econometrics, methods and applications, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj branch, 6-4 Shahrivar. (In Persian)
Anselin, L. (1988). Spatial Econometrics, Methods and Models. Kluer Academic, Boston.
Asghari Ali, Akbari Nematolah (2010) Spatial Econometric Methodology; Theory and Application, Human Sciences Research Journal of Isfahan University, Volume 12, Number 1-2; pp 93-122. (In Persian)
Maddison, D. (2006). Environmental Kuznets curves: A spatial econometric approach. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 51, 218-230.
Song, T., Zheng, T., and Tong, L. (2008). An empirical test of the environmental Kuznets curve in China: A panel cointegration approach. China Economic Review, 19, 381-392.
Liu, G. (2006), A causality analysis on GDP and air emissions in Norway, Statistics Norway, Research Department, Discussion Papers No. 447.
Asghari Ali, Akbari Nematolah (2010) Spatial Econometric Methodology; Theory and Application, Human Sciences Research Journal of Isfahan University, Volume 12, Number 1-2; pp 93-122. (In Persian)
Abbaspour, Majid (2008), Energy, environment and sustainable development. Tehran: Scientific Publications of Sharif University of Technology, Volumes 1 and 2, first edition. (In Persian)
Akbostanci, E., TurutAsik, S. and Tunc, I. (2009). The relationship between income and environment in Turkey: Is there an environmental Kuznets curve? Energy Policy, 37, 861-867.
Alam, S., Ambreen, F., and Muhammad, B. (2007). Sustainable development in Pakistan in the context of energy consumption demand and environmental degradation. Journal of Asian Economics, 18, 825-837.
Amirtimori, Somia and Khalilian, Sadegh (2008), Economic growth and CO2 emissions in OPEC member countries: Kuznets environmental curve approach, Journal of Environmental Sciences, No. 7, pp. 161-172. (In Persian)
Ang, J.B. (2007). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and output in France. Energy Policy, 35, 4772-4778.
Barua, A., and Hubacek, K. (2007). Water Pollution and Economic Growth: An Environmental Kuznets Curve Analysis at The Watershed and State Level, Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment University of Leeds. Leeds LS2 9JT, UK, PP. 1-25.
Barua, A., and Hubacek, K. (2009). An empirical analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve for water pollution in India. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues, 9(2), 50-68.
Behbodhi, Daoud, Fallahi, Firoz and Bargi Golazani, Ismail (2008), Economic and social factors affecting the per capita emission of carbon dioxide in Iran (2009-2008), Journal of Economic Research, No. 90, pp. 1-17. (In Persian)
Burnett, J.W. (2009). Economic Growth and Environmental Degradation. University of Georgia, NO. 30602.
Chiang Lee, C., Chia, Y. and Hung Sun, C. (2010). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for water pollution: Do regions matter? Energy Policy, 38, 12-23.
Human Development Report (2009), United Nation Development Program, UN.
Pejhoyan, Jamshid and Murad-Hashil, Nilofar (2006), Investigating the effect of economic growth on air pollution, Economic Research Quarterly, 7th year, No. 4, pp. 141-160. (In Persian)
Qun, B., and Peng, Sh. (2006). Economic growth and environmental pollution: a panel data analysis, Chapter, 15, 294-313.
_||_
Stern, D. I. (2004). Energy and Economic Growth. Rensselaer Working Paper, No 0410.
Goldin, Janowinters, L. Alan (2000), Sustainable Development Economy, Abdolreza rkanuddin Eftekhari and Gholamreza Azad Aramaki, Commercial Printing and Publishing Company, Tehran. (In Persian)
Falahi, Firouz, Asgharpour, Hossein, Behbodhi, Daoud and Pournazmi, Simin (2019), Kuznets environmental curve test in Iran using LSTAR method, Energy Economics Studies Quarterly, No. 32, pp. 73- 93. (In Persian)
Flores, C., Flores-Lagunes, A., and Kapetanakis, D. (2009). Lessons from Quantile Panel Estimation of the Environmental Kuznets Curve. International Conference on Panel Data at the University of Bonn.
Mohammadzadeh, Parviz, Pashari, Majid and Akbari, Akram (2019), testing the Kuznets environmental hypothesis in MENA countries, the first international conference on econometrics, methods and applications, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj branch, 6-4 Shahrivar. (In Persian)
Anselin, L. (1988). Spatial Econometrics, Methods and Models. Kluer Academic, Boston.
Asghari Ali, Akbari Nematolah (2010) Spatial Econometric Methodology; Theory and Application, Human Sciences Research Journal of Isfahan University, Volume 12, Number 1-2; pp 93-122. (In Persian)
Maddison, D. (2006). Environmental Kuznets curves: A spatial econometric approach. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 51, 218-230.
Song, T., Zheng, T., and Tong, L. (2008). An empirical test of the environmental Kuznets curve in China: A panel cointegration approach. China Economic Review, 19, 381-392.
Liu, G. (2006), A causality analysis on GDP and air emissions in Norway, Statistics Norway, Research Department, Discussion Papers No. 447.
Asghari Ali, Akbari Nematolah (2010) Spatial Econometric Methodology; Theory and Application, Human Sciences Research Journal of Isfahan University, Volume 12, Number 1-2; pp 93-122. (In Persian)
Abbaspour, Majid (2008), Energy, environment and sustainable development. Tehran: Scientific Publications of Sharif University of Technology, Volumes 1 and 2, first edition. (In Persian)
Akbostanci, E., TurutAsik, S. and Tunc, I. (2009). The relationship between income and environment in Turkey: Is there an environmental Kuznets curve? Energy Policy, 37, 861-867.
Alam, S., Ambreen, F., and Muhammad, B. (2007). Sustainable development in Pakistan in the context of energy consumption demand and environmental degradation. Journal of Asian Economics, 18, 825-837.
Amirtimori, Somia and Khalilian, Sadegh (2008), Economic growth and CO2 emissions in OPEC member countries: Kuznets environmental curve approach, Journal of Environmental Sciences, No. 7, pp. 161-172. (In Persian)
Ang, J.B. (2007). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and output in France. Energy Policy, 35, 4772-4778.
Barua, A., and Hubacek, K. (2007). Water Pollution and Economic Growth: An Environmental Kuznets Curve Analysis at The Watershed and State Level, Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment University of Leeds. Leeds LS2 9JT, UK, PP. 1-25.
Barua, A., and Hubacek, K. (2009). An empirical analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve for water pollution in India. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues, 9(2), 50-68.
Behbodhi, Daoud, Fallahi, Firoz and Bargi Golazani, Ismail (2008), Economic and social factors affecting the per capita emission of carbon dioxide in Iran (2009-2008), Journal of Economic Research, No. 90, pp. 1-17. (In Persian)
Burnett, J.W. (2009). Economic Growth and Environmental Degradation. University of Georgia, NO. 30602.
Chiang Lee, C., Chia, Y. and Hung Sun, C. (2010). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for water pollution: Do regions matter? Energy Policy, 38, 12-23.
Human Development Report (2009), United Nation Development Program, UN.
Pejhoyan, Jamshid and Murad-Hashil, Nilofar (2006), Investigating the effect of economic growth on air pollution, Economic Research Quarterly, 7th year, No. 4, pp. 141-160. (In Persian)
Qun, B., and Peng, Sh. (2006). Economic growth and environmental pollution: a panel data analysis, Chapter, 15, 294-313.
