تحلیل زمانی و مکانی وقوع گرد و غبار در استان لرستان
الموضوعات :
رضا چمن پیرا
1
(استادیار، بخش تحقیقات حفاظت خاک و آبخیزداری، مرکز تحقیقات و آموزش کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی استان لرستان، سازمان تحقیقات، آموزش و ترویج کشاورزی، خرم آباد، ایران.)
ابراهیم کریمی سنگچینی
2
(استادیار، بخش تحقیقات حفاظت خاک و آبخیزداری، مرکز تحقیقات و آموزش کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی استان لرستان، سازمان تحقیقات، آموزش و ترویج کشاورزی، خرم آباد، ایران *(مسوول مکاتبات))
علی اکبر نوروزی
3
(استادیار، پژوهشکده حفاظت خاک و آبخیزداری، سازمان تحقیقات، آموزش و ترویج کشاورزی، تهران، ایران.)
تاريخ الإرسال : 13 الجمعة , شوال, 1441
تاريخ التأكيد : 01 الأربعاء , ذو الحجة, 1441
تاريخ الإصدار : 15 الإثنين , محرم, 1443
الکلمات المفتاحية:
تحلیل آماری,
گردو غبار,
تغییرات زمانی و مکانی,
استان لرستان,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: در حال حاضر مدیریت خطر گردوغبار در مقیاس جهانی و به‌ویژه در منطقه خاورمیانه به یک چالش جدی تبدیل شده است. این تحقیق در استان لرستان با هدف تحلیل زمانی و مکانی وقوع گرد و غبار جهت تسکین و کنترل ریسک در راستای آمایش و توسعه پایدار انجام شده است.روش بررسی: تغییرات طوفان گردوغبار برای 8 ایستگاه سینوپتیک استان در یک دوره زمانی 17 ساله (2016-2000) مورد آنالیز قرار گرفت. برای تغیرات مکانی مدل‌های مختلف درونیابی برازش داده شد و مدل با کمترین MAE و RMSE ان‍ت‍خاب شده است. س‍پ‍س ب‍ه ک‍م‍ک م‍دل درونیابی کوکریجینگ درون‍ی‍اب‍ی ب‍ا ه‍م‍س‍ای‍گ‍یه‍ای م‍خ‍ت‍ل‍ف ان‍ج‍ام شده است که ح‍اص‍ل آن ت‍عداد زیادی ن‍ق‍ش‍ه اس‍ت. این نقشه‌ها به شبکه سلولی در محیط GIS تبدیل گردید.یافته ها: نتایج حاصل از بررسی سالیانه پدیده طوفان گردوغبار نشان داد که ایستگاه خرم‌آباد با میانگین فراوانی ۴۵روز سال، بیش ترین تعداد روزها را در کل استان مورد مطالعه دارد. بیش‌ترین فراوانی طوفان گردوغبار در ماه‌های ژوئن و ژوئیه و کمترین فراوانی در ماه نوامبر و دسامبر می‌باشد. استان لرستان از نظر تعداد روزهای زیر ۱۰ و یک کیلومتر، به ترتیب بیش از ۲۳ و ۷۱ درصد احتمال خطر بالای طوفان گردوغبار را دارد.بحث و نتیجه گیری: با توجه به خطر بالای گرد وغبار، برنامه‌های پیش‌گیری و کنترل و نیز برنامه‌های سازگاری توسعه‌ای استان پیشنهاد می‌شود که بتوان به اهداف آمایش و حفاظت جهت جلوگیری از توسعه بیابان‌زایی دست یافت. این مطالعه به عنوان یک پژوهش کاربردی می‌تواند نسخه خوبی برای مسئولان، مدیران و دست‌اندرکاران بلایای طبیعی و توسعه استان لرستان محسوب شود.
المصادر:
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Indoitu, R., Orlovsky, L., Orlovsky, N. 2012. Dust storms in Central Asia: Spatial and temporal variations. Journal of Arid Environments, Vol. 85, pp. 62–70.
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Sivakumar, M. 2005. An impact of sand storms/dust storms on Agriculture. Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Agriculture, Vol. 7, pp 159-177.
Conrad, A., Mcpherson, B., Lopez-Nicora, H., D'Amico, K., Wood, D., Bonello, P. 2019. Disease incidence and spatial distribution of host resistance in a coast live oak/sudden oak death pathosystem. Forest Ecology and Management, Vol.e 433, pp 618-624.
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Shamshiri, S., Jafari, R., Soltani, S., Ramezani, N. 2014. Dust Detection and Mapping in Kermanshah Province Using MODIS Satellite Imagery. Iranian Journal of Applied Ecology, Vol. 3, No. 8, pp. 29-42. (In Persian)
Ghaffari, D., Mostafazadeh, R. 2016. An investigation on sources, consequences and solutions of dust storm phenomenon in Iran. Journal of Conservation and Utilization of Natural Resources, Vol. 4, pp. 107-125. (In Persian)
Alimahmoodi Sarab, S., Shataee Jouybari, S., Rashki, A., Moayeri, M.H. 2018. The Estimate of Dust Concentration Using of Weather Variable (A Case study: Ahvaz City). Journal of Natural Environment, Vol.71, Issue. 3, pp. 385 – 397. (In Persian)
Xuan, J., Sokolik, I., Hao, J., Guo, F., Mao, H., Yang G. 2004. Identification and characterization of sources of atmospheric mineral dust in East Asia. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 38, Issue. 36, pp. 6239-6252.
Wang, X., Dong, Z., Zhang, C., Qian, G., Luo W. 2009. Characterization of the composition of dust fallout and identification of dust sources in arid and semiarid North China. Geomorphology, Vol. 112, pp. 144–157.
Baddock, M., Bullard, J., Bryant R. 2009. Dust source identification using MODIS: A comparison of techniques applied to the Lake Eyre Basin, Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 113, pp. 1511-1523.
Maghrabi, A., Alharbi, B., Tapper, N. 2011. Impact of the March 2009 dust event in Saudi Arabia on aerosol optical properties, meteorological parameters, sky temperature and emissivity. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 45, pp. 2164-2173.
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Jouhari, F., Ownegh, M., Hoseinalizadeh, M. 2015. Adaptation of satellite images with meteorological statistics in the study of three dust waves (Case study: Khuzestan and Ilam provinces). First International Dust Conference, 6p.
Akbary, M., Farahbakhshy M. 2015. Analyzing and Tracing of Dust Hazard in Recent Years in Kermanshah Province. International Journal of Environmental Research, Vol. 9, Issue. 2, pp. 673-682.
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Mehrabi, Sh., Soltani, S., Jafari, R. 2015. Relationship between climatic parameters and the occurrence of dust: A Case Study of Khuzestan province. Journal of Science and Technology of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Soil and Water Science, Vol. 65, Issue. 71, pp. 68-80. (In Persian)
Ghadirian, O., Hemami, M., Soffianian, A., Purmanafi, S., Malekian, M. 2018. The zoning of Lorestan Province’s forests decline risk using logistic regression model. Journal of Animal Environment, Vol. 10, Issue. 3, pp. 495-502. (In Persian)
Zolfaghari, H., Masoumpuor Samakosh, J., Shaygan Mehr, Sh., Ahmadi, M. 2011. A Synoptic investigation of dust storms in western regions of Iran during 2005-2010 (a case study of widespread wave in July 2009). Geography and Environmental Planning, Vol. 22, Issue. 3(43), pp. 17-34. (In Persian)
Omidvar, K. 2012. Synoptic survey and analysis of sand storm in Yazd-Ardakan plain, Word Applied Sciences Journal, Vol. 19, Issue. 2, pp. 198-204.
Nadiri, A.A., Gharekhani, M., Khatibi, R., Asghari Moghaddam, A. 2017. Assessment of groundwater vulnerability using supervised committee to combine fuzzy logic models. Environ Science Pollution Resources, Vol. 24, Issue. 9, pp. 8562–8577.
Isaaks, E.H., Srivastava, R.M. 1989. An Introduction to Applied Geostatistic. Oxford University Press New York, P.561.
Aguilar, F., Agüera, F., Carvajal, F. 2005. Effects of Terrain Morphology, Sampling Density, and Interpolation Methods on Grid DEM Accuracy. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, Vol. 71, pp 805-816.
Xie, Y., Chena, T., Mei, J., Leia, Q., Yanga, B., Guoa, S., Zhou, X. 2011. Spatial distribution of soil heavy metal pollution estimated by different interpolation methods: Accuracy and uncertainty analysis, Chemosphere, Vol. 82, Issue. 3, pp. 468-476.
Arami, S.A., Ownegh, M., Mohammadian Behbahani, A., Akbari, M., Zarasvandi, A. 2018. The analysis of dust hazard studies in southwest region of Iran in 22 years (1996-2017). Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental hazarts, Vol. 5, Issue. 1, pp. 39-66. (In Persian)
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Goudie, A. S. 2009. Dust storms: Resent Developments. Journal of Environmental Management, 90, Issue. 1, pp 89–94.
Indoitu, R., Orlovsky, L., Orlovsky, N. 2012. Dust storms in Central Asia: Spatial and temporal variations. Journal of Arid Environments, Vol. 85, pp. 62–70.
Díaz, J., Cristina, L., Carmona, R., Russo, A., Ortiz, C., Salvador, P., Machado, R. T. 2017. Saharan dust intrusions in Spain: Health impacts and associated synoptic conditions. Environmental Research, Vol. 156, pp 455-467.
Ataii, H., Ahmadi, F. 2010. Dust as one of the environmental problems of the Islamic world (Case study: Khuzestan province). Fourth International Congress of Geographers of the Islamic World, pp 4-19. (In Persian)
Liu, M., Westphal, D., Wang, S., Shimizu, A., Sugimoto, N., Zhou, J., Chen,Y. 2003. A high-resolution numerical study of the Asian dust storms of April 2001. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 108. 10.1029/2002JD003178.
Mohammadi, F., Kamali, S., Eskandary, M. 2014. Tracing dust sources in different atmosphere levels of tehran using hybrid single-particle lagrangian integrated trajectory (Hysplit) model. Scientific Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences, Vol. 3, Issue. 7, pp 559-571.
Sivakumar, M. 2005. An impact of sand storms/dust storms on Agriculture. Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Agriculture, Vol. 7, pp 159-177.
Conrad, A., Mcpherson, B., Lopez-Nicora, H., D'Amico, K., Wood, D., Bonello, P. 2019. Disease incidence and spatial distribution of host resistance in a coast live oak/sudden oak death pathosystem. Forest Ecology and Management, Vol.e 433, pp 618-624.
Hemmati, N.A. 2005. Investigating the frequency of soil storms in the central and southwestern regions of the Iran. M.Sc. Thesis in Synoptic Orientation, Faculty of Geophysics, University of Tehran. (In Persian)
Ekhtesasi, M.R., Ahmadi, H., Khalili, A., Saremi Naeini, M.A., Rajabi, M.R. 2006. An application of wind rose, storm rose and sand rose in the analysis of wind erosion and determining the direction of moving sands. (Case study area: Yazd-Ardekan Basin). Journal of the Iranian Natural Resources, Vol. 59, No. 3, pp. 533-541. (In Persian)
Shamshiri, S., Jafari, R., Soltani, S., Ramezani, N. 2014. Dust Detection and Mapping in Kermanshah Province Using MODIS Satellite Imagery. Iranian Journal of Applied Ecology, Vol. 3, No. 8, pp. 29-42. (In Persian)
Ghaffari, D., Mostafazadeh, R. 2016. An investigation on sources, consequences and solutions of dust storm phenomenon in Iran. Journal of Conservation and Utilization of Natural Resources, Vol. 4, pp. 107-125. (In Persian)
Alimahmoodi Sarab, S., Shataee Jouybari, S., Rashki, A., Moayeri, M.H. 2018. The Estimate of Dust Concentration Using of Weather Variable (A Case study: Ahvaz City). Journal of Natural Environment, Vol.71, Issue. 3, pp. 385 – 397. (In Persian)
Xuan, J., Sokolik, I., Hao, J., Guo, F., Mao, H., Yang G. 2004. Identification and characterization of sources of atmospheric mineral dust in East Asia. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 38, Issue. 36, pp. 6239-6252.
Wang, X., Dong, Z., Zhang, C., Qian, G., Luo W. 2009. Characterization of the composition of dust fallout and identification of dust sources in arid and semiarid North China. Geomorphology, Vol. 112, pp. 144–157.
Baddock, M., Bullard, J., Bryant R. 2009. Dust source identification using MODIS: A comparison of techniques applied to the Lake Eyre Basin, Australia. Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 113, pp. 1511-1523.
Maghrabi, A., Alharbi, B., Tapper, N. 2011. Impact of the March 2009 dust event in Saudi Arabia on aerosol optical properties, meteorological parameters, sky temperature and emissivity. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 45, pp. 2164-2173.
Chen, S., Yuan, T., Zhang, X., Zhang, G., Feng, T., Zhao, D., Zang, Z., Shujie, L., Ma, X., Jiang, N., Zhang, J., Yang, F., Lu H. 2018. Dust modeling over East Asia during the summer of 2010 using the WRF-Chem model. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer, Vol. 213, pp. 1-12.
Jouhari, F., Ownegh, M., Hoseinalizadeh, M. 2015. Adaptation of satellite images with meteorological statistics in the study of three dust waves (Case study: Khuzestan and Ilam provinces). First International Dust Conference, 6p.
Akbary, M., Farahbakhshy M. 2015. Analyzing and Tracing of Dust Hazard in Recent Years in Kermanshah Province. International Journal of Environmental Research, Vol. 9, Issue. 2, pp. 673-682.
Madhavan, , Qu, J. Hao, X. 2017. Saharan dust detection using multi-sensor satellite measurements. Heliyon, Vol. 3, Issue. 2, pp. 1-13.
Mehrabi, Sh., Soltani, S., Jafari, R. 2015. Relationship between climatic parameters and the occurrence of dust: A Case Study of Khuzestan province. Journal of Science and Technology of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Soil and Water Science, Vol. 65, Issue. 71, pp. 68-80. (In Persian)
Ghadirian, O., Hemami, M., Soffianian, A., Purmanafi, S., Malekian, M. 2018. The zoning of Lorestan Province’s forests decline risk using logistic regression model. Journal of Animal Environment, Vol. 10, Issue. 3, pp. 495-502. (In Persian)
Zolfaghari, H., Masoumpuor Samakosh, J., Shaygan Mehr, Sh., Ahmadi, M. 2011. A Synoptic investigation of dust storms in western regions of Iran during 2005-2010 (a case study of widespread wave in July 2009). Geography and Environmental Planning, Vol. 22, Issue. 3(43), pp. 17-34. (In Persian)
Omidvar, K. 2012. Synoptic survey and analysis of sand storm in Yazd-Ardakan plain, Word Applied Sciences Journal, Vol. 19, Issue. 2, pp. 198-204.
Nadiri, A.A., Gharekhani, M., Khatibi, R., Asghari Moghaddam, A. 2017. Assessment of groundwater vulnerability using supervised committee to combine fuzzy logic models. Environ Science Pollution Resources, Vol. 24, Issue. 9, pp. 8562–8577.
Isaaks, E.H., Srivastava, R.M. 1989. An Introduction to Applied Geostatistic. Oxford University Press New York, P.561.
Aguilar, F., Agüera, F., Carvajal, F. 2005. Effects of Terrain Morphology, Sampling Density, and Interpolation Methods on Grid DEM Accuracy. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, Vol. 71, pp 805-816.
Xie, Y., Chena, T., Mei, J., Leia, Q., Yanga, B., Guoa, S., Zhou, X. 2011. Spatial distribution of soil heavy metal pollution estimated by different interpolation methods: Accuracy and uncertainty analysis, Chemosphere, Vol. 82, Issue. 3, pp. 468-476.
Arami, S.A., Ownegh, M., Mohammadian Behbahani, A., Akbari, M., Zarasvandi, A. 2018. The analysis of dust hazard studies in southwest region of Iran in 22 years (1996-2017). Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental hazarts, Vol. 5, Issue. 1, pp. 39-66. (In Persian)
