ارزیابی نقش خشکسالی بر فراوانی وقوع گرد و غبار در استان خراسان رضوی
الموضوعات :مهدی بروغنی 1 , حمیدرضا مرادی 2 , محمدعلی زنگنه اسدی 3 , سیما پورهاشمی 4
1 - استادیار مرکز پژوهشی علوم جغرافیا و مطالعات اجتماعی، دانشگاه حکیم سبزواری
2 - استاد گروه مهندسی آبخیزداری دانشکدهی منابع طبیعی نور، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس*(مسوول مکاتبات)
3 - دانشیار گروه اقلیم و ژئومورفولوژی، دانشگاه حکیم سبزواری
4 - دکتری ژئومرفولوژی دانشکده جغرافیا و علوم محیطی، دانشگاه حکیم سبزواری
الکلمات المفتاحية: پهنهبندی گرد و غبار, شاخص SPI, پهنهبندی خشکسالی, استان خراسان رضوی,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: در مناطق خشک و نیمه خشک پدیده گرد و غبار به طور مکرر اتفاق میافتد. این پدیده اثرات جدی روی سلامت انسان، فرسایش خاک، بیابانزایی و حمل و نقل دارد. خشکسالی یکی از پدیدههای طبیعی است که در اثر کاهش بارش بهوجود آمده و باعث کاهش پوشش گیاهی و افزایش گرد و غبار میشود. هدف از این تحقیق بررسی ارتباط بین تعداد وقوع گرد و غبار و خشکسالی اقلیمی میباشد. روش بررسی: در این تحقیق از شاخص SPI برای محاسبه خشکسالی استفاده گردید. دادههای مربوط به بارش از سال (2010-1980) و دادههای مربوط به گرد و غبار از سال 2010-2004 مورد تحلیل قرار گرفت. سپس پهنهبندی گرد و غبار و خشکسالی در دوره آماری مشترک (2010-2004) با استفاده از روش کریجینگ در نرم افزار ArcGIS صورت گرفت. یافتهها: نتایج پهنهبندی تعداد وقوع گرد و غبار و خشکسالی حاکی از آن است که سال 2008 بیشترین تعداد وقوع گرد و غبار (226 واقعه گرد و غبار) و خشکسالی شدید در سطح استان بوده است. همچنین سال 2005 کمترین تعداد وقوع گرد و غبار (85 واقعه گرد و غبار) و شرایط ترسالی در سطح استان حاکم بوده است. بحث و نتیجهگیری: نتایج نشان میدهد که بین وقوع گرد و غبار با خشکسالی ارتباطی مستقیم وجود دارد و در سالهایی که شدت خشکسالی زیاد یا کم شده، بر تعداد وقوع گرد و غبار نیز افزوده یا از آن کاسته شده است.
- Alizadeh Choobari, O., Zawar-Reza, P., Sturman, A., 2014. The global distribution of mineral dust and its impacts on the climate system: A review, Atmospheric Research, 138(1): 152-165.
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- Hahnenberger, M., Kathleen, N., 2014. Geomorphic and land cover identification of dust sources in the eastern Great Basin of Utah, U.S.A., Geomorphology, 204(2): 657-672.
- Tan, M., Li, X., Xin, L., 2014. Intensity of dust storms in China from 1980 to 2007: A new definition, Atmospheric Environment, 85(4): 215-222.
- Grineski, S.E., Staniswalis, J.G., Bulathsinhala, P., Peng, Y., Gill T.E., 2011. Hospital admissions for asthma and acute bronchitis in El Paso, Texas: do age, sex, and insurance status modify the effects of dust and low wind events?, Environmental Research, 111(8): 1148–1155.
- Johnston, F., Hanigan, I., Henderson, S., Morgan, G., Bowman, D., 2011. Extremeair pollution events frombrushfires and dust storms and their association withmortality in Sydney, Australia 1994–2007, Environmental Research, 111(12): 811–816.
- Moradi, H.R., Rajabi, M., Faragzadeh, M., 2011. Investigation of meteorological drought characteristics in Fars province, Iran, Catena, 84(2): 35-46.
- Herweijer, C., Seager, R., Cook, K., Geay, E., 2013. North AmericanDroughts of the Last Millennium from a Gridded Network of Tree-Ring Dat, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, Drying Technology: An International Journal, Volume 31, Issue 15.
- Salhvand, I., Montazeri, M., Momeni, M., 2013. "Drought zoning with indices (ZSI, CZI, DI, PNI and SPI) and sequences in Khuzestan province cities in GIS environment". Zagros Landscape Geography and Urban Planning Quarterly, 17(3): 35-52. (In Persian)
- Palmer, W.C., 1965. “Meteorological Drought”, U.S. Department of Commerce Weather Bureau, Washington, D.C. Research Paper No. 45.
- Palmer, W.C., 1968. Keeping track of crop moisture conditions, nationwide: the new Crop MoistureIndex. Weatherwise, 21: 156-161.
- Shafer, B.A.,Dezman, L.E., 1982.Development of a Surface Water Supply Index (SWST) to assess the severity of drought conditions in snow pack runs off areas, In Proceedings of the (50th) Annual Western Snow Conference, 164-175.
- Keyantash, J., and Dracup, J.A., 2003. The Quantification of drought: An evaluation of drought indices. American Meteorological Society, 83, No. 8(Aug): pp, 1167-1180.
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- Bhalme, H.N., and Mooley, D.A., 1980. "Large-scale drought/floods and monsoon circulation". Monthly Weather Review, 108: 1197-1211.
- Gibbs, W.J., and Maher, J.V., 1967. "Rainfall deciles as drought indicators". Bureau of Meteorology Bulletin No. 48, Commonwealth of Australia, Melbourne, Australia.
- McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J., 1995. "Drought monitoring with multiple time scales". Proceedings of the 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, USA, 233-236.
- Hayes, M.J., Svoboda, M.D., Wilhite, D.A., and Vanyarkho, O.V., 1999. "Monitoring the 1996 drought using the Standardized precipitation Index". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(3): 429- 437.
- Tsakiris, G., Vangelis, H., 2004. Towards a drought watch system based on spatial SPI, Water Resources Management, 18: 1-12.
- Herweijer, C.,Seager, R., 2008. The global footprint of persistent extra-tropical droughtin the instrumental era, International Journal of Climatology, 28(13):1761-1774.
- Gholam, Ali, M.,Younes, K.H., Esmaeil, A., Fatemeh, T., 2011.Assessment of Geostatistical Methods for Spatial Analysis of SPIand EDI Drought Indices, World Applied Sciences Journal, 15 (4):474-482.
- Boroughani, M., Taie, M., Mirnia, S.K., 2013. "Analysis of Relationship between Hydrogeological and Climate Droughts of Sabzevar Plain Using SWI and SPI Indices". Iranian Journal of Rangeland and Desert Research, 20(4): 733-744. (In Persian)
- Hahnenberger, M., Nicoll, K., 2012. Meteorological characteristics of dust storm events in the eastern Great Basin of Utah, U.S.A., Atmospheric Environment, 60(15) 601- 612.
- Rezazadeh, M., Irannejad, P., Shao, Y., 2013. Climatology of the Middle East dust events, Aeolian Research, 103-109.
- O’Liongsigh, T., McTainsh, G.H., Tews, E.K., Strong, C.L., Leys, J.F., Shinkfield, P., Tapper, N.J., 2014. The Dust Storm Index (DSI): A method for monitoring broadscale wind erosion using meteorological records, Aeolian Research, 12(1): 29-40.
- Baherai, H., Ayazi, S.M.H., Rajaie, M.A., Ahmadi, H., 2011. "Synoptic Statistical Analysis of Dust Phenomena in Ilam Province". New Attitudes in Human Geography, 4(1): 47-67. (In Persian)
- Khoshkish, A., Alijani, B., Hejazi, Z., 2011. “Synoptic Analysis of Dust Systems in Lorestan Province”. Journal of Applied Geosciences Research, 18(21): 91-110. (In Persion)
- Mosavi Baygi, M., Ashraf, B., 2011. “Study of synoptic patterns leading to autumn and winter droughts in Khorasan Razavi province”. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation Research, 18(4): 167-184. (In Persion)
- Edwards, D.C., McKee, T.B., 1997. “Characteristics of 20th century drought in the United States at multiple timescales”, Colorado State University: Fort Collins. Climatology Report No. 97-102.
- Ansafi Moghadam, T., 2007. “Evaluation of several climatic drought indices and determination of the most appropriate indices in the salt lake basin”. Iranian Journal of Rangeland and Desert Research, 14(2): 271-288. (In Persion)
- Razeie, T., DaneshKar Arasteh, P., Akhgari, R., Saghafean, B., 2007. “Survey of meteorological droughts in Sistan and Baluchestan province using SPI index and Markov Chain Model”. Iranian Water Resources Research Journal, 3(1): 25-35. (In Persion)
- Lashkari, H., Keykhosravi, G., 2008. “Synoptic Statistical Analysis of Dust Storms in Khorasan Razavi Province (2005-2005)”. Natural Geography Research, 65(3): 17-33. (In Persion)
- Lee, E.H., Sohn, B.J., 2011. Recent increasing trend in dust frequency over Mongolia and Inner Mongolia regions and its association with climate and surface condition change, Atmospheric Environment, 45(27): 4611-4616.
- Lamb, P.J., Leslie, L.M., Timmer, R., Speer, M.S., 2009. Multidecadal variability of Eastern Australian dust and Northern New Zealand sunshine: associations with Pacific climate system. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114:1-12.
- Leslie, L.M., Speer, M.S., 2006. Modelling dust transport over central eastern Australia, Meteorological Applications, 13(2): 141–167.
- Prospero, J.M., Ginoux, P., Torres, O., Nicholson, S.E., Gill, T.E., 2002. Environmental characterization of global sources of atmospheric soil dust identified with the Nimbus 7 total ozone mapping spectrometer absorbing aerosol product, Reviews of Geophysics, 40(1): 2–31
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- Alizadeh Choobari, O., Zawar-Reza, P., Sturman, A., 2014. The global distribution of mineral dust and its impacts on the climate system: A review, Atmospheric Research, 138(1): 152-165.
- Akhlaq, M., Sheltami, TR., Mouftah, H.T., 2012. A review of techniques and technologies for sand and dust storm detection, Reviews in Environmental Science and Biotechnology, 11(3):305–22.
- Hahnenberger, M., Kathleen, N., 2014. Geomorphic and land cover identification of dust sources in the eastern Great Basin of Utah, U.S.A., Geomorphology, 204(2): 657-672.
- Tan, M., Li, X., Xin, L., 2014. Intensity of dust storms in China from 1980 to 2007: A new definition, Atmospheric Environment, 85(4): 215-222.
- Grineski, S.E., Staniswalis, J.G., Bulathsinhala, P., Peng, Y., Gill T.E., 2011. Hospital admissions for asthma and acute bronchitis in El Paso, Texas: do age, sex, and insurance status modify the effects of dust and low wind events?, Environmental Research, 111(8): 1148–1155.
- Johnston, F., Hanigan, I., Henderson, S., Morgan, G., Bowman, D., 2011. Extremeair pollution events frombrushfires and dust storms and their association withmortality in Sydney, Australia 1994–2007, Environmental Research, 111(12): 811–816.
- Moradi, H.R., Rajabi, M., Faragzadeh, M., 2011. Investigation of meteorological drought characteristics in Fars province, Iran, Catena, 84(2): 35-46.
- Herweijer, C., Seager, R., Cook, K., Geay, E., 2013. North AmericanDroughts of the Last Millennium from a Gridded Network of Tree-Ring Dat, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, Drying Technology: An International Journal, Volume 31, Issue 15.
- Salhvand, I., Montazeri, M., Momeni, M., 2013. "Drought zoning with indices (ZSI, CZI, DI, PNI and SPI) and sequences in Khuzestan province cities in GIS environment". Zagros Landscape Geography and Urban Planning Quarterly, 17(3): 35-52. (In Persian)
- Palmer, W.C., 1965. “Meteorological Drought”, U.S. Department of Commerce Weather Bureau, Washington, D.C. Research Paper No. 45.
- Palmer, W.C., 1968. Keeping track of crop moisture conditions, nationwide: the new Crop MoistureIndex. Weatherwise, 21: 156-161.
- Shafer, B.A.,Dezman, L.E., 1982.Development of a Surface Water Supply Index (SWST) to assess the severity of drought conditions in snow pack runs off areas, In Proceedings of the (50th) Annual Western Snow Conference, 164-175.
- Keyantash, J., and Dracup, J.A., 2003. The Quantification of drought: An evaluation of drought indices. American Meteorological Society, 83, No. 8(Aug): pp, 1167-1180.
- Willeke, G., Hosking, J.R.M., Wallis, J.R., And Guttman, N.B., 1994. The national drought atlas, Institute for water resources. Report 94-NDS-4, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
- Bhalme, H.N., and Mooley, D.A., 1980. "Large-scale drought/floods and monsoon circulation". Monthly Weather Review, 108: 1197-1211.
- Gibbs, W.J., and Maher, J.V., 1967. "Rainfall deciles as drought indicators". Bureau of Meteorology Bulletin No. 48, Commonwealth of Australia, Melbourne, Australia.
- McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J., 1995. "Drought monitoring with multiple time scales". Proceedings of the 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, USA, 233-236.
- Hayes, M.J., Svoboda, M.D., Wilhite, D.A., and Vanyarkho, O.V., 1999. "Monitoring the 1996 drought using the Standardized precipitation Index". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(3): 429- 437.
- Tsakiris, G., Vangelis, H., 2004. Towards a drought watch system based on spatial SPI, Water Resources Management, 18: 1-12.
- Herweijer, C.,Seager, R., 2008. The global footprint of persistent extra-tropical droughtin the instrumental era, International Journal of Climatology, 28(13):1761-1774.
- Gholam, Ali, M.,Younes, K.H., Esmaeil, A., Fatemeh, T., 2011.Assessment of Geostatistical Methods for Spatial Analysis of SPIand EDI Drought Indices, World Applied Sciences Journal, 15 (4):474-482.
- Boroughani, M., Taie, M., Mirnia, S.K., 2013. "Analysis of Relationship between Hydrogeological and Climate Droughts of Sabzevar Plain Using SWI and SPI Indices". Iranian Journal of Rangeland and Desert Research, 20(4): 733-744. (In Persian)
- Hahnenberger, M., Nicoll, K., 2012. Meteorological characteristics of dust storm events in the eastern Great Basin of Utah, U.S.A., Atmospheric Environment, 60(15) 601- 612.
- Rezazadeh, M., Irannejad, P., Shao, Y., 2013. Climatology of the Middle East dust events, Aeolian Research, 103-109.
- O’Liongsigh, T., McTainsh, G.H., Tews, E.K., Strong, C.L., Leys, J.F., Shinkfield, P., Tapper, N.J., 2014. The Dust Storm Index (DSI): A method for monitoring broadscale wind erosion using meteorological records, Aeolian Research, 12(1): 29-40.
- Baherai, H., Ayazi, S.M.H., Rajaie, M.A., Ahmadi, H., 2011. "Synoptic Statistical Analysis of Dust Phenomena in Ilam Province". New Attitudes in Human Geography, 4(1): 47-67. (In Persian)
- Khoshkish, A., Alijani, B., Hejazi, Z., 2011. “Synoptic Analysis of Dust Systems in Lorestan Province”. Journal of Applied Geosciences Research, 18(21): 91-110. (In Persion)
- Mosavi Baygi, M., Ashraf, B., 2011. “Study of synoptic patterns leading to autumn and winter droughts in Khorasan Razavi province”. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation Research, 18(4): 167-184. (In Persion)
- Edwards, D.C., McKee, T.B., 1997. “Characteristics of 20th century drought in the United States at multiple timescales”, Colorado State University: Fort Collins. Climatology Report No. 97-102.
- Ansafi Moghadam, T., 2007. “Evaluation of several climatic drought indices and determination of the most appropriate indices in the salt lake basin”. Iranian Journal of Rangeland and Desert Research, 14(2): 271-288. (In Persion)
- Razeie, T., DaneshKar Arasteh, P., Akhgari, R., Saghafean, B., 2007. “Survey of meteorological droughts in Sistan and Baluchestan province using SPI index and Markov Chain Model”. Iranian Water Resources Research Journal, 3(1): 25-35. (In Persion)
- Lashkari, H., Keykhosravi, G., 2008. “Synoptic Statistical Analysis of Dust Storms in Khorasan Razavi Province (2005-2005)”. Natural Geography Research, 65(3): 17-33. (In Persion)
- Lee, E.H., Sohn, B.J., 2011. Recent increasing trend in dust frequency over Mongolia and Inner Mongolia regions and its association with climate and surface condition change, Atmospheric Environment, 45(27): 4611-4616.
- Lamb, P.J., Leslie, L.M., Timmer, R., Speer, M.S., 2009. Multidecadal variability of Eastern Australian dust and Northern New Zealand sunshine: associations with Pacific climate system. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114:1-12.
- Leslie, L.M., Speer, M.S., 2006. Modelling dust transport over central eastern Australia, Meteorological Applications, 13(2): 141–167.
- Prospero, J.M., Ginoux, P., Torres, O., Nicholson, S.E., Gill, T.E., 2002. Environmental characterization of global sources of atmospheric soil dust identified with the Nimbus 7 total ozone mapping spectrometer absorbing aerosol product, Reviews of Geophysics, 40(1): 2–31