ارزیابی مطلوبیت مکانی کاربری کشاورزی با توجه به توان اکولوژیکی، اقتصادی و نیاز اجتماعی در حوزه آبخیز سمنان
الموضوعات :مجتبی قندالی 1 , کامران شایسته 2 , محمد سعدی مسگری 3
1 - دانشجو دکترای امایش محیط زیست، دانشگاه ملایر، ملایر، ایران
2 - استادیار، گروه محیطزیست، دانشکده منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، دانشگاه ملایر، ملایر، ایران*(مسوول مکاتبات)
3 - دانشیار دانشکده ژئودزی و ژئوماتیک دانشگاه خواجه نصیرالدین توسی، تهران-ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: نیاز اجتماعی, ترکیب خطی وزن دار شده, کشاورزی, تحلیل سلسله مراتبی,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: بهره برداری بهینه و اصولی از منابع طبیعی سرزمین و سامان دهی کاربری اراضی بر اساس توان اکولوژیک، نقش مهمی در مدیریت محیط و جلوگیری از تخریب محیط زیست در راستای توسعه پایدار دارد. لیکن در نظر نگرفتن نیاز اجتماعی علی رغم در نظر گرفتن توان اقتصادی و به خصوص توان اکولوژیک در برنامه ریزی سرزمین، منجر به عدم تطابق با واقعیت زمینی می باشد که این موضوع یکی از اصول اساسی هر برنامه ریزی سرزمین می باشد. روش بررسی: در این پژوهش با استفاده از روش ترکیب خطی وزن دار و تحلیل سلسله مراتبی و استانداردسازی معیارها با استفاده از مجموعه های فازی، علاوه بر تهیه نقشه توان اکولوژیک و اقتصادی برای کاربری کشاورزی، نیاز اجتماعی نیز برای تغییر زمین از زمین های بایر به کشاورزی مکان دار گردید و با تلفیق این نقشه ها با یکدیگر نقشه مطلوبیت تغییر کاربری اراضی بایر به کشاورزی در حوزه آبخیز سمنان به دست آمد که می توان از این نقشه در مدل سازی تغییرات کاربری زمین نیز استفاده نمود. یافته ها: در این پژوهش نرخ بی کاری و نرخ رشد جمعیت در ده سال آینده به عنوان مهم ترین عوامل اجتماعی تغییر کاربری کشاورزی، دسترسی به جاده و برق به عنوان مهم ترین عوامل اقتصادی و آب و خاک به عنوان مهم ترین منابع اکولوژیکی کاربری کشاورزی تعیین گردید. بحث و نتیجه گیری: در نظر گرفتن نیاز اجتماعی و توان اقتصادی در کنار توان اکولوژیک، تطابق بیش تری با واقعیت زمینی دارد و می تواند در تخصیص بهینه کاربری اراضی کشاورزی مورد استفاده قرار گیرد.
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