تاثیر رشداقتصادی بر توزیع درآمد دراستان های ایران: رویکردپانل خودرگرسیونی NARDL
الموضوعات : فصلنامه اقتصاد محاسباتیسوسن داراخانی 1 , اصغر ابوالحسنی هستیانی 2 , فرهاد غفاری 3
1 - گروه اقتصاد ، دانشگاه آزاد علوم و تحقیقات ، تهران، ایران
2 - گروه اقتصاد ، دانشگاه آزاد علوم و تحقیقات ، تهران، ایران
3 - گروه اقتصاد ، دانشگاه آزاد علوم و تحقیقات ، تهران، ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: رشد اقتصادی, توزیع درآمد, رویکرد پانل خودرگرسیونی NARDL,
ملخص المقالة :
شناسایی و بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر توزیع درآمد از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار است، زیرا این عوامل می‌توانند به شکل‌گیری سیاست‌های اقتصادی و اجتماعی مؤثر کمک کنند. شناسایی این عوامل و بررسی تأثیرگذاری آن‌ها می‌تواند به سیاست‌گذاران کمک کند تا برنامه‌های مؤثرتری برای کاهش نابرابری و بهبود توزیع درآمد طراحی کنند. با توجه به پیچیدگی روابط بین این متغیرها، اتخاذ رویکردهای جامع و مبتنی بر داده‌ها برای تحلیل وضعیت اقتصادی کشورها ضروری است. از این رو هدف پژوهش حاضر تحلیل تاثیر رشد اقتصادی بر توزیع درآمد در استانهای ایران با رویکرد پانلی خودرگرسیونی با وقفه گسترده NARDL در طی دوره‌های 1385 تا 1401 برای استانهای ایران است. نتایج دادههای استانها نشان داد در رویکرد پانل NARDLنتایج نشان داده شد در بلندمدت، شوک منفی رشد تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه بر ضریب جینی تاثیر مثبت و شوک مثبت رشد تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه بر ضریب جینی تاثیر منفی داشته است. همچنین در بلندمدت شوک نرخ تورم، نرخ بیکاری و تسهیلات بانکی سرانه تأثیر مثبت و معنیداری بر ضریب جینی دارد. در مقابل شوک سرانه هزینهای دولت نیز تأثیر منفی و معنیداری بر ضریب جینی دارد بطوریکه با افزایش این متغیرها، نابرابری درآمد نیز کاهش خواهد یافت. مقدار ضریب کوتاهمدت نیز تأثیر منفی و معنیداری بر متغیر وابسته یعنی ضریب جینی داشته و ضریب آن برابر با 57/0- میباشد.
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