طراحی مدل پویای مدیریت کسب و کارهای نوپا بر اساس پویاییشناسی سیستم
الموضوعات :حمید عدل دوست 1 , محمود البرزی 2 , سید عبداله امین موسوی 3
1 - دانشجوی دکتری گروه مدیریت فناوری اطلاعات، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 - دانشیار گروه مدیریت فناوری اطلاعات، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
3 - استادیار گروه مدیریت فناوری اطلاعات، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: پویاییشناسی سیستم, کسب و کارهای نوپا, عوامل موفقیت و شکست, مدل کسب و کار ,
ملخص المقالة :
هدف این پژوهش ایجاد یک مدل پویاییشناسی سیستم، برای مدیریت دوره حیات کسب و کارهای نوپا -بر اساس عوامل شناسایی شده مؤثر در شکست و موفقیت این کسب و کارها و بررسی تأثیرات این عوامل در حلقههای مختلف است. روش این پژوهش در بخش شناسایی عوامل از نوع تئوری زمینه ای بوده و در بخش مدل سازی بر اساس پویاییشناسی سیستم میباشد. بر اساس مطالعات انجام شده، نرخ موفقیت کسب و کارهای نوپا (استارتآپ ها) در سراسر جهان بسیار پایین و طبق نتایج پژوهشها کمتر از 10 درصد میباشد. لذا شناسایی عوامل مؤثر بر موفقیت و شکست استارتآپها و استخراج یک مدل پویا از این عوامل، میتواند به مدیریت استارتآپها و افزایش احتمال موفقیت بینجامد. جهت استخراج عوامل شکست و موفقیت در این پژوهش، 25 مصاحبه با فعالان حوزه کسب و کارهای نوپا در تهران، در چهارچوب روش نظریه زمینهای ساخت گرا صورت پذیرفته است و پس از شناسایی عوامل مذکور شامل 87 مفهوم، 32 مقوله و 7 مقوله کلی، ابتدا نمودارهای علی-حلقوی در حوزههای مختلف ترسیم شده و سپس یک مدل بر اساس پویاییشناسی سیستم، شامل 13 متغیر حالت از عوامل مؤثر ایجاد گردیده است. مدل حاصل، با تستهای متعدد بررسی شده و نتایج نشان از امکان پیشبینی روند رشد و یا شکست استارتآپها از طریق مدلسازی و تعیین ضرایب مربوطه دارد.
A., Agrawal, A., Choudhary, A Krishna. (2016). Predicting the Outcome of Startups: Less Failure, More Succes. IEEE 16th International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW), 798-805. doi:10.1109/ICDMW.2016.0118
Anh, D., Hoa, Q. & Quoc, T. (2012). Critical success factors for Vietnamese software companies: A framework for investigation. Journal of Sociological Research, (2)3, 160-169. doi:10.5296/jsr.v3i2.2307
Anna Klabunde.(2015). How Much Should an Investor Trust the Startup Entrepreneur? - A Network Model. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination. 11(2), 293-312. doi:10.1007/s11403-015-0147-7
Arto Wallin، Kaisa Still، و Katja Henttonen. (2016). Entrepreneurial Growth Ambitions: The Case of Finnish Technology Startups. Technology Innovation Management Review. 6(10), 5-16. doi:10.22215/timreview/1023
Chuthamas Chittithaworn، Md. Aminul Islam، Thiyada Keawchana، Dayang Hasliza، و Dayang Hasliza Muhd Yusuf. (2011). Factors Affecting Business Success of Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Thailand. Asian Journal of Social Science, 7(5),180-190. doi:10.5539/ass.v7n5p180
Daniel Cockayne. (2019) What is a startup firm? A methodological and epistemological investigation into research. Elsevier, 107, 77-87. doi:10.1016/j.geoforum.2019.10.009
Erik Stavnsager Rasmussen، و Stoyan Tanev. (2015). The emergence of the lean global startup as a new type of firm. Technology Innovation Management Review, 5(11), 12-19. doi:10.22215/timreview/941
Haiyang Li. (2001). How does new venture strategy matter in the environment–performance relationship? The Journal of High Technology Management Research, 12(2),183-204. doi:10.1016/S1047-8310(01)00036-0
Hormiga, E., Batista-Canino, R. & Sánchez-Medina, A. (2010) . The role of intellectual capital in the success of new ventures. International Entrepreneurial Management Journal, 7(1) 1-22. doi:10.1007/s11365-010-0139-y
J Lee. (2001). Grounded Theory: Integration and Internalization in ERP Adoption and Use, Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation. University of Nebreska, In Proquest UMI Database. Url: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280150284_A_grounded_theory_Integration_and_internalization_in_ERP_adoption_and_use
J Mohr، S Sengupta، و S Slater. (2010). Marketing of High-Technology Products and Innovations, 3rd Edition. New Jersey, Upper Saddle River, USA: Pearson Education, Inc. Url, 1-576. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233894918_Marketing_High_Technology_Products_and_Innovations
Jane Mills, Ann Bonner, Karen Francis. (2006). The Development of Constructivist Grounded Theory. International Journal Of Qualitative Method, 5(1), 26-35 Url: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/ 232272017_The_Development_of_Constructivist_Grounded_Theory
John Sterman. (2000). Business Dynamics, System Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill Education, 1-1008. Url: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/44827001_Business_Dynamics_System_Thinking_and_Modeling_for_a_Complex_World
John T. Gourville. (2006). Eager Sellers and Stony Buyers: Understanding the Psychology of New-Product Adoption. Harvard Business Review, 84(6),98-106.Url:https://hbr.org/2006/06/eager-sellers-and-stony buyers- understanding-the-psychology-of-new-product-adoption
José Santisteban & David Mauricio. (2017). Systematic literature review of critical success factors of Information Technology startups. Academy of Entrepreneurship Journal, 23(2), 1-23. Url: https://www. researchgate.net/publication/322094432_Systematic_literature_review_of_critical_success_factors_of_Information_Technology_startups
K Charmaz. (2006). Constructing grounded theory: A practical guide through qualitative analysis. Sag, 1-208.. Url: http://www.sxf.uevora.pt/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Charmaz_2006.pdf
Kelly Carvalho Vieira، José Willer do Prado، Valderí de Castro Alcântara، Paulo Henrique de Souza Bermejo. (2015). External Sources in the process of Open Innovation: Reinforcing and Restrictive Factors in Tech Startups. Journal on Innovation, 6(3), 3-28. doi:10.24212/2179-3565.2015v6i3p3-28
L Yoon-Jun. (2010). Technology strategy by growth stage of technology-based venture companies. International, 6(6), 216-234. doi:10.1504/IJESB.2021.114266
Leitão, A., Cunha, P., Valente, F., Marques, P. (2013). Roadmap for business models definition in manufacturing companies. Forty Sixth CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems, 7, 383-388. doi:10.1016/j.procir.2013.06.003
M., Mendes, E., Urquhart, C., Riaz, M. & Tempero, E Sulayman. (2014). Towards a theoretical framework of SPI success factors for small and medium web companies. Information and Software Technology, 56(7), 807-820. doi:10.1016/j.infsof.2014.02.006
M., Strielkowski, W. & Cabelkova, I Krejci. (2015). Factors that influence the success of small and medium. Business: Theory and Practic, 16(2), 304-315. DOI:10.3846/btp.2015.521
Makizadeh. V, Sharaei. F, (2021) An Analysis of the Impact of Corporate Foresight on Innovation in Startups, Journal of future studies management, 33(4), 16-27. [In Persian]. Url: https://sanad.iau.ir/en/Article/784073
M.S Martis. (2006). Validation of simulation based models: a theoretical outlook. electronic journal of businessresearch method, 4(1), 39-46. Url: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228635381_Validation _of_simulation_based_models_A_theoretical_outlook
Mike Simpson، Joanne Padmore، و Nicki Newman. (2012). Towards a new model of success and performance in SMEs. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behaviour & Research, 18(3), 264-285doi:10.1108/13552551211227675
Mirzaee. Y, Mahmoudi Maymand.M, Rajabzadeh. A, Samiei Nasr. M, Conceptualization of business excellence model with a grand theory approach. (2020), Journal of future studies (103-116) [In Persian] doi:10.22034/IJHCUM.2019.03.02
Moayya.A, Otarkhani. A, Rezaeian. A, Hajipour. B, (2022) Identifying drivers of Business Model Innovation, Journal of IT Management Studies, 10(40), 201-231. [In Persian] doi: 10.22054/ims.2022.67710.2167
Monica Zimmerman، و Hung Manh Chu. (2013). otivation, Success, and Problems of Entrepreneurs in Venezuela. Journal of Management Policy and Practice, 14, 76-90. Url: https://www.semanticscholar.org/ paper /MOTIVATION%2C-SUCCESS%2C-AND-PROBLEMS-OF-ENTREPRENEURS-Zimmerman Chu/902a0fab12595be4d6e621b60 daa623cd331d664
Mueller, S., Volery, T. & Von, B. (2012). What do entrepreneurs actually do? An observational study of entrepreneurs’ everyday behavior in the start-up and growth stages. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 36(5), 995-1017. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6520.2012.00538.x
N.M.P. Bocken. (2015). Sustainable venture capital e catalyst for sustainable start-up success. Journal of Cleaner Production,108, 647-658 doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.05.079
Nadafi. R, Ahmadvand M, (2017) Identification and Prioritization of Development Factors of Startups Using Q methodology. Journal Of Entrepreneurship development., 10(3), 517-534. [In Persian] doi:10.22059/jed.2018.236443.652249
Ng, A., Macbeth, D. & Southern, G. (2014). Entrepreneurial performance of early-stage ventures: Dynamic resource management for development and growth. International Entrepreneurship Management Journal, 10(3), 1-19. doi:10.1007/s11365-014-0303-x
Pirolo, L. & Presutti, M. (2010). The impact of social capital on the start-ups’ performance growth. Journal of Small Business Management, 48(2), 197-227. doi:10.1111/j.1540-627X.2010.00292.x
R., Bortoluzzi, G. & Zupic, I Pugliese. (2016). Putting process on track: Empirical research on start-ups’ growth drivers. Management Decision, 54(7), 1633-1648. doi:10.1108/MD-10-2015-0444
S. & Lussier, R Hyder. (2016). Why businesses succeed or fail: A study on small businesses in Pakistan. Journal of Entrepreneurship in Emerging Economics, 8(1), 82-100. doi:10.1108/JEEE-03-2015-0020
Spiegel, O., Abbassi, P., Zylka, P., Schlagwein, D., Fischbach, K. & Schoder, D. (2015). Business model development, founders’ social capital and the success of early stage internet start-ups: A mixed-method study. Information Systems Journal, 26(5), 1-30 . doi:10.1111/isj.12073
Spyros J. Vliamos, Nickolaos G. Tzeremes. (2012). Factors Influencing Entrepreneurial Process and Firm Start-Ups: Evidence from Central Greece. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 3(3), 250-264. doi:10.1007/s13132-011-0043-x
Tari.G, Porhelm. H, (2020) Structural Model of Factors Affecting Survival and Growth of Startups in Iran, Journal of Executive Management, 12(23), 315-341. [In Persian] doi: 10.22080/jem.2020.17998.3096
Wing-Ki, W. Hong-Man, C. & Venuvinod, P. (2005). Assessing the growth potential of high-technology startups: An exploratory study from Hong Kong. Journal of Small Business and Entrepreneurship, 18(4), 453-470 doi:10.1080/08276331.2005.10593353
Y. Barlas. (1989). Tests of Model Behavior that can Detect Structural Flaws: Demonstration with Simulation Experiments. Computer-Based Management of Complex Systems, 246-254. Url: https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-74946-9_24
Z., Zandi, F. and Bahmani, N Arasti. (2014). Arasti, Z., Zandi, F. and Bahmani, N., 2014. Business failure factors in Iranian SMEs: Do successful and unsuccessful entrepreneurs have different viewpoints. Journal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, 4(1), 1-10. doi:10.1186/s40497-014-0010-7
