شناسایی عوامل اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای توسعه‌یافته: کاربرد الگوی پانل توبیت و پانل توبیت فضایی

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

محمد قربانی ¹ (استاد گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران)
سمیرا شایان مهر ² (دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران)

تاريخ الإرسال : 18 الثلاثاء , شعبان, 1440 تاريخ التأكيد : 18 الثلاثاء , رمضان, 1443 تاريخ الإصدار : 20 الخميس , رمضان, 1443

الکلمات المفتاحية: رشد اقتصادی, سرمایه‌گذاری مستقیم خارجی, امید به زندگی, داده‌های پانل,

ملخص المقالة :

مقدمه و هدف: نا اطمینانی در نظریه‌های رشد اقتصادی و معیارهای جایگزین متعدد برای مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی و عدم تصریح مناسب­ترین الگوی اقتصادسنجی جهت بررسی متغیرهای اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی باعث شده است تا ارائه الگوهای جدید رگرسیونی برای شناسایی دقیق‌تر عوامل مؤثر بر رشد اقتصادی موردتوجه محققین اقتصاد قرار گیرد. این تحقیق با هدف شناسایی عوامل مؤثر بر رشد اقتصادی در کشورهای توسعه‌یافته صورت گرفت. مواد و روش­ها: در این مطالعه نوع ارتباطات فضایی 21 کشور منتخب توسعه­یافته طی دوره 2013-2005 با استفاده از الگوهای پانل توبیت و پانل توبیت فضایی صورت گرفته است. یافته­ ها: ارزیابی میان الگوهای مورداستفاده در این تحقیق نشان داد که الگوی پانل توبیت فضایی با خطای فضایی نتایج مطلوب‌تری را ارائه می­دهد. نتایج نشان داد جمعیت، مخارج تحقیق و توسعه، سرمایه­گذاری مستقیم خارجی و امید به زندگی اثر مثبت و معنی­دار بر رشد اقتصادی دارند. بحث و نتیجه­ گیری: با توجه به برتری نتایج بدست آمده از الگوی پانل توبیت فضایی در مقایسه با الگوی پانل توبیت پیشنهاد می­شود در مطالعات آتی راجع به رشد اقتصادی کشورهای دارای مجاورت مکانی، الگوهای فضایی در کنار الگوهای رقیب مورداستفاده قرار گیرد تا نتایج مطلوب‌تری حاصل شود.  

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