تاب آوری اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی ایران

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

رضا شاکری بستان آباد ¹ (دانشجوی دکتری، اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران.)
محمد رضا مهدیار اسماعیلی ² (استادیار، پژوهشکده مدیریت و برنامه‎ریزی، دانشگاه امام حسین (ع).)
محسن صالحی کمرودی ³ (دکتری، اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تبریز.)

تاريخ الإرسال : 27 الأربعاء , رجب, 1440 تاريخ التأكيد : 05 الإثنين , ربيع الأول, 1443 تاريخ الإصدار : 18 الجمعة , جمادى الثانية, 1443

الکلمات المفتاحية: شاخص ترکیبی, بخش کشاورزی ایران, تاب آوری اقتصادی, روش تحلیل چندمعیاره, شاخص اسپیرمن-شانون,

ملخص المقالة :

مقدمه و هدف: تاب‌آوری اقتصادی از مولفه‌های مهم اقتصاد مقاومتی است که در شرایط تحریم اقتصادی اهمیت مضاعفی پیدا می‌کند. با توجه به اهمیت بخش کشاورزی در تأمین امنیت غذایی، تاب‌آوری اقتصادی این بخش نقش مهمی را در رسیدن به اهداف اقتصاد مقاوتی دارد. از این رو هدف مطالعه حاضر بررسی تاب­آوری اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی ایران طی سال­های 1394-1379است. مواد و روش­ها: بدین منظور از شاخص­های تمرکز بازارهای صادراتی، تمرکز صادرات، درجه باز بودن اقتصاد، نسبت ستانده بخش کشاورزی به مصرف واسطه، بی­ثباتی درآمد بخش کشاورزی، ضریب خوداتکایی، شاخص توسعه انسانی و شاخص­های حکمرانی خوب استفاده شد. برای ساخت شاخص ترکیبی تاب­آوری اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی از روش­های تاپسیس، تاکسونومی معمولی، تاکسونومی وزنی و میانگین وزنی استفاده شد. یافته­ها: نتایج آن­ها با ضریب تغییرات، ضریب همبستگی و شاخص اسپیرمن-شانون مقایسه گردید. بر اساس نتایج، تاب­آوری اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی در دوره مورد مطالعه کاهش یافته است و شاخص بی­ثباتی درآمد بخش کشاورزی، تمرکز صادرات، کنترل فساد و تمرکز بازارهای صادراتی بیشترین اهمیت را در تعیین تاب­آوری اقتصادی این بخش دارد. بحث و نتیجه­گیری: از این­رو روش‌های مدیریت ریسک مانند متنوع‌سازی درآمد بخش کشاورزی، بیمه کشاورزی، تنوع مقاصد صادراتی، گسترش بازارهای هدف، تنوع­بخشی در صادرات کالاها، ثبات سیاست‌ها و ثبات اقتصاد کلان باید با تاکید بیشتری در دستور کار سیاست­گذاران این بخش قرار بگیرد. طبقه­بندی JEL: C43,O13,Q18.

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