نقش کارایی در انتقال شوک های اقلیمی و قیمتی بر کشاورزان (مطالعه موردی: شهرستان رزن)

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

حسین حاجی میرزا ¹ , رضا شاکری بستان آباد ²

1 - گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشگاه تهران
2 - گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشگاه تهران

تاريخ الإرسال : 08 الأحد , ذو الحجة, 1439 تاريخ التأكيد : 08 الإثنين , ذو القعدة, 1441 تاريخ الإصدار : 05 الخميس , ربيع الأول, 1442

الکلمات المفتاحية: کارایی, برنامه ریزی ریاضی مثبت, تحلیل پوششی داده ها,

ملخص المقالة :

هدف این مطالعه بررسی نقش کارایی در انتقال شوکهای اقلیمی و قیمتی بر رفتار کشاورزان است. فرضیه مطالعه حاضر این است که بهره‌برداران کارای بخش کشاورزی در مقابل شوکهای اقلیمی و قیمتی وارده تابآوری بیشتری دارند و کمتر متضرر میشوند. به منظور تست این فرضیه، از رهیافت تحلیل پوششی داده ها و از الگوی برنامه ریزی ریاضی مثبت استفاده شد. اطلاعات مورد نیاز برای این منظور از پرسشنامههای جهاد کشاورزی شهرستان رزن، واقع در شمال استان همدان استخراج شد. یافتهها حاکی از آن است که بر اثر اعمال شوک اقلیمی، گروه‌های کشاورزان کارا نسبت به کشاورزان ناکارا کمتر تحت تاثیر قرار گرفته و مقاومت بیشتری دارند. همچنین کشاورزان کارا اثر‌پذیری کمتری نسبت به تغییرات قیمت دارند که نشان از وضعیت با ثبات این گروه از کشاورزان نسبت به این شوکها دارد. لذا این گونه استنباط می‌شود که حرکت به سمت مرز کارای تولید میتواند ابزاری برای کاهش اثر مخاطرات اقلیمی، بازار و نوسان تولید محصولات کشاورزی در سطح منطقه مورد مطالعه باشد.

المصادر:

Agh, M. Joolaie, R. Keramatzade, A. & Shirani Bidabadi, F. (2016). Determining the cropping pattern with emphesize on reducing fertilizer and water consumption policies in Mazandaran province (Case study: Behshahr county). Journal of Soil Management and Sustainable Production, 5(3), 247-259. (In Persian).

- Alene, A.D. & Zeller, M. (2005). Technology adoption and farmer efficiency in multiple crops production in eastern Ethiopia: a comparison of parametric and nonparametric distance functions. Agricultural Economics, 6, 5–17.

- Asadi Zarch, M. (2017). Analyzing climate change effects on drought occurrence in Yazd province, Iran. Desert Management, 5(9), 74-90. (In Persian).

- Asadi Zarch, M. A. Sivakumar, B. & Sharma, A. (2015). Droughts in a warming climate: A global assessment of Standardized precipitation index (SPI) and Reconnaissance drought index (RDI). Journal of Hydrology, 526, 183–195.

- Bakhshi, M., Peykani, G. (2012). Simulation of Direct Payment Policy in Agronomy Subsector (Application of PMP & ME Techniques). Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 42-2(4), 501-511. (In Persian).

- Charnes, A. Cooper, W.W. & Rhodes, E. (1978). Measuring the efficiency of decision making units. European Journal of Operational Research. 2, 429–444.

- Cortignani, R. & Dono, G. (2015). Simulation of the impact of greening measures in an agricultural area of the southern Italy. Land Use Policy, 48,525-533.

- Cortignani, R. & Severini, S. (2009). Modeling farm-level adoption of deficit irrigation using Positive Mathematical Programming. Agricultural Water Management, 96(12), 1785-1791.

- Fragoso, R. Marques, C. Lucas, M.R. Martins, M.D.B. & Jorge, R. (2011). The economic effects of common agricultural policy on Mediterranean montado/dehesa ecosystem. Journal of Policy Modeling, 33(2), pp.311-327.

- Gillis, M. Perkins, D. H. Roemer, M. & Snodgrass, D. R. (1996). Economics of Development. New York: W, W.

- Haji Mirza, H. (2018). Determining the pattern of optimal economic cultivation for Damavand agricultural subdivision Master's thesis. Faculty of Economics and Agricultural Development, University of Tehran. (In Persian).

- Henry de Frahan, B. Buysse, J. Polomé, P. Fernagut, B. Harmignie, O. Lauwers, L. Van Huylenbroeck, G. & Van Meensel, J. (2005). Positive Mathematical Programming for Agricultural and Environmental Policy Analysis: Review and Practice. In: A. Weintraub, T. Bjorndal, R. Epstein and C. Romero (Eds.), Management of Natural Resources: A Handbook of Operations Research Models, Algorithms and Implementations.

- Hosseinpour Talebi, S. (2017). Economic study of rice cultivation pattern in Mazandaran province with emphasis on the development of ratoon cultivation, application of positive mathematical planning model (case study of Amol city). Master Thesis in Agricultural Economics. Campus of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran. (In Persian).

- Jahangirpour, D. Peikani, G. Hoseini, S. & Rafee, H. (2015). Effect of Elimination of Energy Subsidies on Agricultural Crops; the Use of Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) (Case Study; Maharlu Basin-Bakhtegan). Agricultural Economics, 9(3), 63-84. (In Persian).

- Jamshidi, O. Asadi, A. & Kalantari, K. (2018). Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Smallholder Farmers of Hamedan Province. Iranian Agricultural Extension and Education Journal, 13(2), 109-130. (In Persian).

- Khaleghi, S. Bazazan, F. & Madani, S. (2015). The Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production and Iranian Economy. Agricultural Economics Research, 7(25), 113-135. (In Persian)

- Li, X. Takahashi, T. Suzuki, N. & Kaiser, H. M. (2011). The impact of climate change on maize yields in the United States and China. Agricultural Systems, 104(4), 348-353.

- Mohsen Pour, R. Zibaei, M. (2010). Assessing the Consequences of Drought at Farm Level: a Case Study of Marvdasht Region. Journal of Water and Soil Science; 14 (52) :49-62. (In Persian).

- Mohseni, A. Zibaei, M. (2009). Analysing Consequences of Increasing Acreage of Colza in Namdan Plain of Fars Province: An Application of Positive Mathematical Programming. Journal of Water and Soil Science; 13 (47) :773-784. (In Persian).

- Mousavi, S. N. Gharghani, F. (2012). Assessing Policies of Irrigation for Groundwater by Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) Case Study: Eghlid. Quarterly Journal Economic Research. 11 (4) :65-82. (In Persian).

- Neto Luiz, E., & Lins Marcos, P.E. (2004). Neural data envelopment analysis: A simulation, International Journal of Industrial Engineering, 11(1), 14-24.

- Nouri Naeini, M. Salah Manesh, A.  (1994). Determining the shadow price of resources in the agricultural sector (case study of Khorasan villages. Journal of Economic Research (Tahghighat- E- Eghtesadi), 31(48(.(In Persian).

- Paris, Q. & Howitt, R.E. (1998). An Analysis of Ill-Posed Production Problems Using Maximum Entropy. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 80(1):124-138.

- Pishbahar, A., Khoda bakhshi, S. (2014). Effects of Elimination Subsidies of Agricultural Inputs on Cropping Pattern in Varamin Region. Agricultural Economics Research, 6(22), 53-68. (In Persian).

- Plan and Budget Organization of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Deputy for Economic Affairs and Program and Budget Coordination (Secretariat of the Resistance Economy Command Headquarters). (2018). Water and resistance economics. Eleventh Biennial Conference on Agricultural Economics of Iran. (In Persian).

- Serrat-Capdevila, A. Valdés, J. B. Pérez, J. G. Baird, K. Mata, L. J. & Maddock III, T. (2007). Modeling climate change impacts–and uncertainty–on the hydrology of a riparian system: The San Pedro Basin (Arizona/Sonora). Journal of Hydrology, 347(1-2), 48-66.

- Shirmahi, S. Peykani, G. Mortazavi, S. & Zamani, O. (2014). Evaluating the Effect of Removing of Chemical Fertilizers Subsidy on the Cropping Pattern in Rey County. Agricultural Economics Research, 6(21), 155-176. (In Persian).

- Stern, N. (2007). The economics of climate change: The stern review. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge and New York.

- Thiam, A., Bravo-Ureta, B.E., & Rivas, T.E., (2001). Technical efficiency in developing country agriculture: a Meta-analysis. Agricultural Economics. 25, 235–243.

- Wadud, A. & White, B. (2000). Farm household efficiency in Bangladesh: a comparison of stochastic frontier and DEA methods. Applied Economics, 32, 1665–1673.