تحلیل محتوای استراتژی امنیت ملی ایالاتمتحده آمریکا در قبال چین (2001-2021)
الموضوعات :
فصلنامه علمی برنامه ریزی منطقه ای
حسین مذنب
1
,
محمدرضا قائدی
2
,
رضا سیمبر
3
1 - دانشجوی دکتری گروه روابط بینالملل، واحد بینالملل کیش، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، جزیره کیش، ایران.
2 - دانشیار گروه علوم سیاسی و روابط بینالملل، واحد شیراز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شیراز، ایران.
3 - استاد گروه علوم سیاسی و روابط بینالملل، دانشگاه گیلان، رشت، ایران.
تاريخ الإرسال : 27 السبت , رجب, 1444
تاريخ التأكيد : 06 الإثنين , محرم, 1445
تاريخ الإصدار : 05 الأحد , محرم, 1445
الکلمات المفتاحية:
استراتژی امنیت ملی,
ایالاتمتحده آمریکا,
چین,
ملخص المقالة :
از آنجا که کشور چین، پس از آمریکا در حال تبدیل شدن به مهمترین قدرت اقتصادی و نظامی در سطح جهانی است؛ هدف از نگارش این مقاله، تجزیه و تحلیل استراتژیهای امنیت ملی ایالاتمتحده آمریکا در قبال چین (2001-2021) است تا مشخص گردد که آمریکا در این استراتژیها چگونه با چین رفتار کرده و خواهد کرد(تقابل یا همکاری یا هردو)در پاسخ فرضیه مطرح شده آن است که «افزایش وابستگی متقابل میان کشورها احتمال وقوع درگیری میان آنها را کاهش میدهد. از همین رو همکاری در عرصههای اقتصادی و تجاری، موجب میشود کشورها فایده بیشتری ببرند و همزمان دریابند که هزینه منازعه افزایش یافته است». به این منظور از روش تحقیق تحلیل محتوای تلفیقی(کمی و کیفی) و نرمافزار MAXQDA بهره گرفته شده است. نتایج نشان داد: در بخش کمی بیشترین درصد کلمات و پاراگرافهای بکار رفته در مورد چین در سال 2021 بوده و در بخش کیفی استراتژیها آن بود که کشور آمریکا از سال 2001 کشور چین را به عنوان یک بازیگر متعهد جهانی و ادغام در سیستم جهانی تشویق به همکاری کرده اما به مرور به استراتژی تقابل و مهار همه جانبه چین و استقبال از همکاری به صورت همزمان روی آورده است. رقابت و همکاری میان این دو کشور اگرچه گاهی با خصومت و تنش در عرصههای مختلف نظامی، سیاسی همراه بوده اما در ارتباط با تبادلات اقتصادی به شکل ناباورانهای درهم تنیده شده، به شکلی که میزان مبادلات چین با آمریکا به 700 میلیارد دلار در سال رسیده است؛ این دو کشور به جای منازعه به سمت همکاری همهجانبه نیل پیدا کردهاند.
المصادر:
Aghaei, S. D., & Akbarian, A. (2017). China's interaction or confrontation with America in the Persian Gulf. Politics Quarterly, 47(2), 112-130.[ In Persian]
Azadi, A. (2021). The failure of America's strategy against China. Economy News Base. News code: 443167 -06/07/1400. [ In Persian]
Azimi, N., & Azimi, D. A. (2022). Investigating the effect of globalization on the economic complexity of countries. Regional Planning, 12(45), 19-32. doi: 10.30495/jzpm.2022.4248. [ In Persian]
Azish, M. (2021). America and trying to challenge China's economy. News Agency of the Islamic Republic of Iran. News code 84602148- 21 January 2021.[ In Persian]
Azizzade Tasouj, M., Ahmadipour, Z., Hafez Nia, M. R., & Sajjadpour, S. M. K. (2022). An introduction to the concept of peace geopolitical discourse. Political Geography Research, 7(1), 1-27.[ In Persian]
Badie Azandahei, M., Zarei, B., Barzegarzadeh Zarandi, M. (2022). The effect of geopolitical competition between India and China on the security of the South Asian region with an emphasis on American intervention. Human Geography Research, 54(1), 375-389. [ In Persian]
Behrouzi, S. (2021). The trade between China and America reached the highest level during this year. Islamic Republic News Agency. News code 84569672, 17 Azar 1400. [ In Persian]
Biden, J. R. (2021). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/.
Bown, C. P. (2021). The US–China trade war and Phase One agreement. Journal of Policy Modeling, 43(4), 805-843.
Boylan, B. M., McBeath, J., & Wang, B. (2021). US–China Relations: Nationalism, the Trade War, and COVID-19. Fudan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 14, 23–40.
Bush, G. W. (2002). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/.
Bush, G. W. (2006). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/.
Clinton, W. J. (2001). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/.
Dehshiri, M. R., Ghaedi, M. R., & Habibi, S. M. (2020). The intensification of the divergence between America and China in the post-corona era and its implications for the Islamic Republic of Iran. Strategic Policy Research Quarterly, 9(33), 127-150. [ In Persian]
Deheshyar, H. (2007). Theoretical frameworks of America's response to China's rise. Regional Studies Quarterly, 9(1), 17-40. [ In Persian]
Deheshyar, H., Najmabadi, M., & Bakshi, R. (2019). The competition between China and the United States in the South China Sea. Political Strategy Quarterly, 3(9), 73-92. [ In Persian]
Dorj, H., & Basiri, M. A. (2021). The impact of regional competition between America and China on regional equations and order in East Asia. Human Geographic Research Quarterly, 53(1), 87-106. [ In Persian]
Eco Iran. (2022). Does the Chinese embargo paralyze the American economy? Echo Iran News Base. News number 12595-2 April 1401. [ In Persian]
Esfandiari, H., & Motaghi, I. (2021). Comparative evaluation of US national security policy during the era of Barack Obama and Donald Trump in Southwest Asia. Political and International Research Quarterly, 48, 31-50. [ In Persian]
Eyzedi, F., & Khodayi, E. (2018). America's restrictions on bringing China together with Iran's economic sanctions. Islamic Revolution Studies Quarterly, 15(52), 33-52. [ In Persian]
Garcia-Arrero, A., & Koei Wu, T. (2010). China's foreign exchange policy and the trade of Asian countries. Economic Journal, (11-12), 67-85.
Goodarzi, S., & others. (2018). Trump and the Perspective of the US National Security Strategy; the Transition from Multilateralism to Unilateralism. Geopolitics Quarterly, 13(4), 82-103. [ In Persian]
Habibi, R. (2021). A look at the interim strategic guidance of US national security 2021. Institute for Future Studies of the Islamic World. Special Report No. 59 dated 1/16/1400. [ In Persian]
Jahanian, S., & Eslami, S. (2020). A comparative study of American national security strategies in the 21st century. Strategic Studies Quarterly, (87), 107-132. [ In Persian]
Jalinousi, A., Hashemi, S. M., & Bagheri, M. (2015). Review of the American National Security Strategy Document (2015) and its impact on the national security of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Tarikh Quarterly, 10(37), 17-32. [ In Persian]
Jamshidi, M., & Yazdanshenas, Z. (2019). The strategy of pivoting to Asia, the rise of China and the American national security policy in East Asia. Two Quarterly Journals of Political Science, 16(1), 1-25. [ In Persian]
Keyvan Hosseini, S. A., & Sina Noorani, S. A. (2019). Trump, America First Orientation and International Trade Disruption (2019-2017). Two Quarterly Journals of International Political Economy Studies, 2(1), 73-88. [ In Persian]
Kissinger, H. (2022). We have entered a new era. East Newspaper, May 26, 1401, news number 846295. [ In Persian]
Körpe, Ö. (2022). Reading the USA through Strategy Documents: An Analysis on the Change of Hegemonic Security Understanding. Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi, 18(42), 265-293.
Madanchi Rasouli, S. (2017). Structural analysis of China-Iran relations 1995-2015. Master's thesis. Imam Khomeini International University (RA). Faculty of Social Sciences. [ In Persian]
Mandel, R. (2008). The Changing Face of National Security. Translated by Strategic Studies Research Institute. Tehran: Strategic Studies Research Institute.
Mazaheri, M. (2009). Explaining the competition between China and the United States of America in the framework of the power cycle theory. Political and International Research Quarterly, 2, 35-58. [ In Persian]
Mokhtari, L. (2003). US National Security Strategy September 17, 2002. Middle East Studies Quarterly, 10(4), 145-162. [ In Persian]
Nam, C., & Song, S. (2022). Bolstering the Alliance for a Trilateralism-Based Security Strategy for South Korea in Times of US–China Rivalry. Pacific Focus, 37(1), 68-94.
Norani, M. (2020). America and China, examining two models of governance in the age of Corona. Transcendent Governance Quarterly, 2, 11-28. [ In Persian]
Obama, B. (2015). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/.
Paknia, M. (2014). The consequences of America's strategic tendency to compete with China in relation to Iran (2010 until now). Master's thesis. Allameh Tabatabai University, Faculty of Law and Political Sciences. [ In Persian]
Pirfirouzjaei, H. (2017). American military strategy in the Persian Gulf and the national security of J.A.A. 2012-2017. Master's thesis. Allameh Tabatabaei University. Faculty of Law and Political Science. [ In Persian]
Poollab, S. (2020). Biden's strategy in the challenge with China, confrontation or interaction? Iranian Diplomacy Base. News code 2000221 5/12/2019.
Ghanbarlou, A. (2010). US-China economic relations and its effects on Iran's national security. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 13(2), 151-176. [ In Persian]
Ramba, T., & Blancher, N. (2013). China: International Trade and WTO Accession. Economic Magazine, (1-2), 45-62.
Rasooli, E. (2019). A Comparative Study of China and Iran in the National Security Strategy of the United States of America. International Quarterly Of Geopolitics, 14(52), 137-160. [ In Persian]
Ruhi, M., & Shafie, N. (2015). Analysis of Russia-Turkey relations based on the theory of liberalism (2002-2014). Scientific Quarterly of Political and International Research, 7(25), 26-46. [ In Persian]
Sadeghian, A., & Barakbor, N. (2019). Evaluation of land management mechanisms in free zones, case study: China, United Arab Emirates and Iran. Journal of Regional Planning, 9(36), 1-16. [ In Persian]
Sajjadpour, S. M. K. (2021). Review of China-US relations. Center for Political and International Studies of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran. https://www.ipis.ir/portal/subjectview/637003/[ In Persian]
Samti, H., & Rahnavard, H. (2009). The security of Iran and the strategy of the United States of America. International Quarterly of Foreign Relations, 1(2), 1-20. [ In Persian]
Saree al-Qalam, M. (2022). Iran and the new geopolitics of the world. https://sariolghalam.com/2022/03/19. [ In Persian]
Simber, R., & Rezapour, D. (2020). Analyzing Russia's geopolitical policies towards Central Asia with an emphasis on the Chinese factor. Quarterly Journal of Politics and International Relations, 3(6), 75-92. [ In Persian]
Soltani, A., Mottaqi Dastnaei, A., & Simbar, R. (2022). Geopolitical foundations of the foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran with Turkey From a constructivist approach. Regional Planning, 12(45), 109-122. doi: 10.30495/jzpm.2020.4279. [ In Persian]
Soltani, A., & Soleimani, H. (2013). The position of China's leadership system in the continuation of the process of economic development in the domestic and international arena since 1979. International Relations Studies Quarterly, 7(25), 43-78. [ In Persian]
Tabatabai, S. M., & Ghiyasi, A. (2013). The political and security strategy of the United States of America towards China (2008-2012) based on the soft balance theory. World Socio-Political Studies Quarterly, 3(2), 123-138. [ In Persian]
Tebayin Strategic Think Tank. (2017). Review of US national security strategy. The strategic monitoring group of Tebayin strategic think tank. January 2016. [ In Persian]
Trump, D. (2017). National Security Strategy Reports. https://nssarchive.us/
Vahidirad, M. (2013). The theory of interdependence and its application in the contemporary history of Iran. Khordnameh, 10, 65-82. [ In Persian]
Vice President of Economic Investigations. (2018). Investigating Iran's export potential to China. Chamber of Commerce, Industries, Mines and Agriculture of Tehran, Deputy of Economic Investigations. October 2018.
Word selection group. (2017). Javad Mirshkari, editor. First office. Dictionary of words approved by the academy. Tehran: Persian Language and Literature Academy Publications. Keyword strategy.
Yousefi, M., & Habibi, R. (2021). Analysis of American strategic documents (national security strategy, national defense strategy and national military strategy). Quarterly Journal of Strategic Studies of Public Policy, 11(41), 1-24. [ In Persian]
Zebang, X., & Yi, Z. (2022). Impact of United States energy and climate policies on China’s energy industry: Comparison of Biden and Trump period. Energy & Environment, 0958305X221128298.
_||_