تاثیرات کلان اقتصادی و شوک های درآمد نفت در سنجش پایداری منابع درآمدی شهرداری ها (نمونه موردی شهرداری شیراز).

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی برنامه ریزی منطقه ای

علیرضا شاهرخیان ¹ , سید نعمت اله موسوی ² , عباس امینی فرد ³

1 - دانشجوی دکتری گروه اقتصاد نفت و گاز، واحد مرودشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، مرودشت، ایران
2 - دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، واحد مرودشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، مرودشت، ایران
3 - استادیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، واحد شیراز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شیراز، ایران، پژوهشگر مرکز تحقیقاتی بتا، دانشگاه استراسبورگ، فرانسه

تاريخ الإرسال : 11 الأربعاء , ذو الحجة, 1442 تاريخ التأكيد : 26 الأحد , ربيع الثاني, 1444 تاريخ الإصدار : 24 السبت , ذو الحجة, 1443

الکلمات المفتاحية: شیراز, درآمد شهرداری, شبیه سازی ترکیبی کلان و خرد,

ملخص المقالة :

درآمد پایدار شهرداری عبارت است از حداکثر میزان وصولی در یک دوره، بدون این که سبب کاهش وصولی واقعی در دوره های بعد گردد؛ روشن است که هیچ کد درآمدی به طور صد در صد پایدار یا ناپایدار نیست و در واقع هر کد درآمدی دارای درجه‌ای از میزان پایداری است. در ایران، تاثیرات کلان اقتصادی و شوک های درآمد نفت در سنجش پایداری منابع درآمدی شهرداری ها نقش مهمی ایفا می‌کنند.
اقتصاد کشور ایران، بودجه دولت و اقتصاد شهری، وابستگی شدیدی به درآمدهای نفتی دارد. ناپایداری درآمد شهرداری‌ها در نوسانات اقتصادی، اهمیت تحقیق را گوشزد می‌کند. در این پژوهش برای سنجش پایداری منابع درآمدی شهرداری شیراز، چهار معیار تداوم پذیری (به طور پیوسته فعال و قابل وصول باشد)، استواری (باثبات بوده و در دوره های مالی مختلف، نوسان شدید نداشته باشد)، انعطاف‌پذیری (متناسب با تغییر هزینه‌های عمومی، تغییر کند) و مطلوبیت اقتصادی (موجب رشد اقتصادی شهر شود) برای هر منبع درآمدی بررسی شده و در قالب یک مدل عملیاتی، محاسبه شده است.
تحقیق حاضر از نظر روش شناسی به صورت توصیفی-تحلیلی و روش گردآوری داده‌های 1397-1388 از نوع اسنادی و کتابخانه ای بوده است.
بر پایه نتایج، کمترین درجه پایداری مربوط به درآمد فروش کالا و مصالح ساختمانی است و بیشینه درجه پایداری مربوط به عوارض حاصل از تعمیرات است. همچنین به طور میانگین، میزان پایداری درآمدهای شهرداری برابر با 0.1858 است.
بر پایه نتایج، کمترین درجه پایداری مربوط به درآمد فروش کالا و مصالح ساختمانی است و بیشینه درجه پایداری مربوط به عوارض حاصل از تعمیرات است. همچنین به طور میانگین، میزان پایداری درآمدهای شهرداری برابر با 0.1858 است.

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