بررسی و تحلیل شکوفایی شهری و اثرات آن بر زیست‌پذیری در کلانشهر تهران

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی برنامه ریزی منطقه ای

کرامت اله زیاری ¹ (استاد گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران. ایران.)
نوشا همقدم ² (دکتری برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران. ایران.)

تاريخ الإرسال : 25 الإثنين , رمضان, 1441 تاريخ التأكيد : 24 الخميس , رمضان, 1442 تاريخ الإصدار : 28 الخميس , جمادى الأولى, 1444

الکلمات المفتاحية: "توسعه پایدار", واژگان کلیدی: "شکوفایی شهری", "زیست‌پذیری", "کلانشهر تهران", "تکنیک کداس",

ملخص المقالة :

شکوفایی شهری به عنوان رویکردی کل‌نگر و جامع با توصیف موفقیت، سلامت، پیشرفت و خوب زیستن مطرح است و با ارتقاء کیفیت اقتصادی، اجتماعی، سیاسی و محیط‌زیستی زمینه لازم برای زیست‌پذیر بودن شهرها را فراهم می‌آورد. پژوهش حاضر با هدف بررسی و ارزیابی شاخص‌های شکوفایی شهری و اثرات آن بر زیست‌پذیری در مناطق 22گانه کلانشهر تهران انجام شده است. این پژوهش از لحاظ هدف کاربردی و بر اساس ماهیت توصیفی- تحلیل است. جامعه آماری این پژوهش، کلانشهر تهران با 8679936 نفر جمعیت است که حجم نمونه بر اساس فرمول کوکران 385 نفر برآورد گردید که جهت دستیابی به نتایج بهتر به 391 نفر ارتقا یافت. به منظور تحلیل موضوع، چهارچوبی از 5 شاخص شکوفایی شهری در قالب 50 گویه و 3 شاخص زیست‌پذیری در قالب 25 گویه به صورت تلفیقی بر اساس مطالعات سایر پژوهشگران تدوین و انتخاب شد. نتایج حاصل از رگرسیون چند متغیره نشان داد شاخص توسعه زیرساخت‌ها، بیشترین تأثیر را بر زیست‌پذیری داشته است و 809/0 از کل واریانس را تبیین می‌کند. نتایج حاصل از تحلیل یافته‌های پژوهش بر اساس تکنیک کداس نشان می‌دهد که در مناطق 22گانه کلانشهر تهران، تنها منطقه یک از لحاظ شاخص‌های شکوفایی شهری در وضعیت بسیار خوب قرار داشت، شش منطقه در سطح خوب، نُه منطقه در سطح متوسط، و شش منطقه در وضعیت ضعیف قرار داشتند. نتایج یافته‌ها نشان می‌دهد؛ برای بهبود مناطقی که در سطح ضعیفی قرار دارند و همچنین برای حفظ و ارتقای شرایط در مناطق که در وضع مطلوبی به سر می‌برند باید به توسعه زیرساخت‌ها، بهره‌وری، کیفیت زندگی و ... توجه نمود.

المصادر:

1. Ahadnejad, M., hazeri, S., meshkini, A., piri, E. (2018), Identifying Key Factors Affecting Urban Prosperity with Futuristic Approach, Case Study: Tabriz Metropolis, Urban Research and Planning, 9(32), pp: 15-30. (In Persian).


2. Ahadnejad, M., sajadi, J., yargholi, V. (2019), Analysis and evaluation of viability indices in urban areas, a case study: 23 districts of Zanjan, Marvdasht regional planning, 3(9), pp: 131-148. (In Persian).


3. Saideh, Nazmfar. Hossein, Eshghei. Ali (2020), the Evaluation and Measurement of the City Prosperity Index (CPI) in Tehran Metropolis, Journal of Spatial Planning (Geography), Vol. 10, No. 3 (38), pp 77-97(In Persian).


4. Aliakbari, A., akbari, M. (2017), Structural-interpretive modeling affecting the viability of Tehran metropolis, space planning and planning, 21(1), pp: 1-31. (In Persian).


5. Amanpoor, S., sajadian, N., madanloo, M. (2017), Analysis and modeling of land market efficiency indicators in urban sustainability, case study: District 12 of Tehran Municipality, Geography and Planning, 21(62), pp: 1-12. (In Persian).


6. Arbab, P. (2017), Urban Prosperity Initiative, a New and Fundamental Approach to Sustainability, First International Conference and Eighth National Conference on Urban Planning and Management, Mashhad, Article COI: URBANPLANING08_045. (In Persian).


7. Daneshpoor, H. R., saeid rezvani, N., bazrgar, M. (2018), Evaluation of eleven areas of Shiraz in terms of urban prosperity index using FAHP model, urban research and planning, 9(33), pp: 17-32. (In Persian).


8. General Population and Housing Census of Tehran (2016), Statistics Center of Iran (in Persian).


9. Imani, B. (2019), Development of viability scenarios in rural areas based on the principles of futures research, case study: Islamabad Gharb city, geography and environmental planning, 30(4), pp: 35-56. (In Persian).


10. Karimizade ardakani, S. (2017), Sociological study of neighborhood-centered consequences and its role in the flourishing of management in metropolitan areas, geographical research, 32(3), pp: 100-113(in Persian).


11. Khorasani, M. A., akbarian roonizi, S. R. (2020), Viability assessment in rural areas of Pirashahri, Case study: Central part of Shiraz city, Marvdasht regional planning, and 10(40), pp: 133-146. (In Persian).


12. Khorasani, M. A., rezvani, M. R., motiei langroodi, S. H., rafieian, M. (2013), Measuring and evaluating the viability of suburban villages, Case study: Varamin city, Rural research, 3(12), pp: 85-110. (In Persian).


13. Maleki, S., madanloo, M. (2016), Urban Prosperity, University Jihad Publications, Tehran. (In Persian).


14. Mohamadyarzade, S., shamsolahi, B. (2018), the role of public spaces in achieving urban prosperity and sustainable development, economic and urban management, 6(3), pp: 111-124. (In Persian).


15. Mohtashami, N., mahdavinejad, M. J., bemanian, M. R. (2016), Growth Factors and Barriers to Urban Prosperity, 2nd International Conference on New Research Findings in Civil Engineering, Architecture and Urban Management, Article COI: RCEAUD02_188. (In Persian).


16. Mohtashami, N., mahdavinejad, M. J., bemanian, M. R. (2016), Review of UNHCR Policies to Develop Proposed Measures to Achieve Urban Prosperity, Second International Conference on Architectural and Urban Engineering, Article COI: ARCHITECTUREUR01_005. (In Persian).


17. Moosavinoor, S. A., varasi, H, R., mohamadi, J. (2016), Evaluation and analysis of viability components of Tehran metropolis, Geography, 14(51), pp: 237-258. (In Persian).


18. Reza Ali. Mansour, Hataminejad. Hossein, Faraji Sabokbar. Hassan Ali, Alavi. Seyed Ali (2020), Explaining the Spatial Pattern of Urban Prosperity Indices in Iran a New Approach In the study of metropolitan sustainability (Case study: Tehran metropolis), Journal of Planning Studies - Human Settlements, Vol 5, No 1(50), Pp 281-294(in Persian).


19. rezvani, M. R., Khorasani, M. A. (2013), Assessment and evaluation of viability components in suburban settlements, case study: Varamin city, rural research, 5(1), pp: 89-110. (in Persian).


20. Safaeipoor, M., maleki, S., hataminejad, H., madanloo, M. (2017), Evaluation and evaluation of components of urban prosperity in Ahvaz metropolis, geography and environmental sustainability, 22, pp: 35-47(in Persian).


21. Saifodini, F., poorahmad, A., darish, R., naderdehghani, S. A. (2014), Backgrounds and Challenges of Implementing Intelligent Urban Growth Policy, Case Study: Khorramabad, Geography and Urban Planning Zagros Vision, 6(19), pp: 57-79 (in Persian).


22. Sasanpoor, F., tavalaei, S., Jafari, H. (2015), Measurement and evaluation of biodegradability in the twenty-two regions of Tehran metropolis, regional planning, 5, pp: 27-42. (In Persian).


23. Shafei, H., Ahmadian, R., meshkini, A. (2019), Assessing the dimensions of urban prosperity in Shahriar, the first international conference and the second international conference on urban planning, architecture, civil engineering and knowledge-based art, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch. Tehran, Article COI: KBAU02_034. (in Persian).


24. Sharafi, H. A., khabazi, M., solimanidemne, M. (2018), Assessing the effects of tourism of historical monuments with the approach of urban flourishing, studied: Hills next to the sandals of Jiroft city, urban tourism, 5(4), pp: 19-36. (In Persian).


25. Aggestam, F & Wolfslehner, B (2018). Deconstructing a complex future: Scenario development and implications for the forest-based sector, Forest Policy and Economics, No 94, pp 21–26.


26. Al-Thani. S. K, Amato. A, Koç. M, Al-Ghamdi. S.G (2019). Urban Sustainability and Livability: An Analysis of Doha’s Urban-form and Possible Mitigation Strategies, Sustainability, 11, 786. Pp 1-25.


27. Arimah, B. (2017). Infrastructure as a Catalyst for the Prosperity of African Cities. Procedia Engineering, 198, 245–266. Doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2017.07.159.


28. Aulia, D.N (2016): A Framework for Exploring Livable Community in Residential Environment. Case Study: Public Housing in Medan, Indonesia, Social and Behavioral Sciences, No 234, pp: 336 – 343.


29. van der Jagt,  P.N., Barbour, Sh., Smith M., Moseley, D. (2017), A spatial framework for targeting urban planning for pollinators and people with  local stakeholders: A route to healthy, blossoming communities?, Environmental Research, vol 158, pp 255-268.


30. Dutta, S. (2011), The Global Innovation Index, Accelerating Growth and Development, www. INSEAD.com.


31. Y. Zhang. H (2021), Coordinated Interactions of Sustainable Urbanization Dimensions: Case Study in Hunan, China, SAGE Open, https://doi.org/10.1177/215824402110091. Pp 1-16.


32. Joss, S. (2015), Sustainable cities: Governing for urban innovation. Macmillan International Higher Education. ISBN 9781137006363.


33. Larice, M, Z. (2005), Great neighborhoods: The Livability and morphology of high density neighborhoods in urban North America, PhD thesis in University of California, Berkeley.


34. Leach, J.M., Lee, S.E., Hunt, V. L. D., Rogers, Ch. D.F(2018): Improving city-scale measures of livable sustainability: A study of urban measurement and assessment through application to the city of Birmingham, UK, Cities, No71, pp:80-87.


35. M. A, Douglass. M, Rigg. J (2020), Governing resilient cities for planetary flourishing in the Asia-Pacific, Urban Studies, Vol. 57(7), Pp 1359–1371.


36. Norbutas, L., & Corten, R. (2018). Network structure and economic prosperity in municipalities: A large-scale test of social capital theory using social media data. Social Networks, 52, 120–134. Doi: 10.1016/j.socnet.2017.06.002. 


37. F. M, Mendes. L, Quinone. L (2019), Integrated system architecture for decision-making and urban planning in smart cities, International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, Vol15 (8), Pp 1-15.


38. Prager, Jean-Claude. (2017). “Value Creation and Urban Prosperity.” Inventing tomorrow’s Cities Website, February 22. http://.lafabriquedelacite.com.


39. Gary (2015) Measuring the prosperity of cities, Habitat International 45. 1-2.


40. Sasaki, Ryuei. (2014), Urban Prosperity without Growth? Sustainable City Development with Focus on Human Flourishing. M.Sc. Thesis of Environmental Studies and Sustainability Science, Lund University.


41. Stead, D. (2015), what does the quality of governance imply for urban prosperity? Habitat International, 45, 64-69.


42. Human development report. (2009), overcoming barriers: Human mobility and development. New York: United Nations Development Programme.


43. UN-Habitat. (2012), State of the World's Cities Report 2012/2013: Prosperity of Cities, United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-HABITAT), Nairobi.


44. UN-Habitat. (2016), the City Prosperity Initiative. United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UNHSP).


45. Un-Habitat. (2016), the city prosperity Initiative-Metropolitan Cities, September.


46. Wang, W., Wu, Y., Choguill, Ch. (2021). Prosperity and inclusion: The impact of public housing supply on urban inclusive growth in China, Land Use Policy, Vol 105, June 2021, 105399, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105399.


47. Wong, C. (2015), a framework for City Prosperity Index, Linking indicators, analysis and policy. Habitat International, 45, 3-9.