مدل‌سازی و تحلیل عوامل مؤثر بر وقوع جرم در مناطق حاشیه‌نشینِ شهر کاشان

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی برنامه ریزی منطقه ای

محسن شاطریان ¹ (استاد گروه جغرافیا و اکوتوریسم، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران)
رسول حیدری ² (استادیار گروه جغرافیا و اکوتوریسم، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران)
محمود شاطریان ³ (استادیار گروه حقوق، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران)
کامران دولتیاران ⁴ (کارشناس ارشد جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران)

تاريخ الإرسال : 08 الأربعاء , صفر, 1440 تاريخ التأكيد : 19 الجمعة , صفر, 1441 تاريخ الإصدار : 27 الإثنين , شعبان, 1441

الکلمات المفتاحية: معادلات ساختاری, جرم, حاشیه‌نشینی, آزمون تی, شهر کاشان,

ملخص المقالة :

       امروزه عوامل و عناصر متنوعی در بروز آسیب‌های اجتماعی و جرائم در شهرها اثرگذارند، حاشیه‌نشینی و اسکان غیررسمی از چالش‌های مهم ناشی از فقر فرهنگی و اقتصادی و عصر جهانی‌شدن می‌باشد که درشدت بخشیدن به آسیب‌های اجتماعی اهمیت بسزایی دارد، به‌طوری‌که می‌توان گفت حاشیه‌نشینی و جرم علت و معلول یکدیگرند. هدف پژوهش حاضر بررسی و تحلیل عوامل مؤثر بر وقوع جرائم در مناطق حاشیه‌نشین شهر کاشان می‌باشد. روش تحقیق توصیفی- تحلیلی و دارای ماهیتی کاربردی می‌باشد. حجم نمونه با استفاده از نرم افزار Sample Power 160 پرسش‌نامه برآورد گردید. برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل توصیفی و استنباطی داده‌ها از آزمون آماری T-Test در نرم‌افزار SPSS و جهت تبیین و مدل‌سازی اثرات نیز از مدل‌سازی معادلات ساختاری در نرم‌افزار AMOS استفاده شد. نتایج حاصل از آزمون T تک نمونه‌ای نمایانگر معنی‌دار بودن اثرات اجتماعی، اقتصادی، فرهنگی و کالبدی با وقوع جرم در محلات حاشیه‌نشین دارد. تحلیل یافته‌های منتج از مدل‌سازی معادلات ساختاری بیانگر این است که از بین شاخص‌های موردسنجش شاخص اجتماعی بیشترین بار عاملی را با وزن رگرسیونی (87/0) و مقدار خطای (000/0) P value = در وقوع جرائم به خود اختصاص داده است.

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