Safety Risk Assessment of Lithium-Ion Batteries Through Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making Methods
الموضوعات : Fuzzy Optimization and Modeling JournalMohammad Rostami 1 , Amir Sabripour 2
1 - Shahrood University of Technology
2 - Iran University of Science and technology
الکلمات المفتاحية: Lithium-ion batteries, Risk management, EOL management, Fuzzy Multi-criteria decision making.,
ملخص المقالة :
Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) can help support sustainability through electric vehicles. LIBS are now widely used and there are concerns about obtaining LIB metals such as cobalt and lithium. LIB end-of-life (EOL) management is essential to the sustainability of the LIB metal supply chain. Safety risks in EOL LIBs are potential malfunctions. The paper addresses the assessment of safety risks in the management of end-of-life lithium-ion batteries. It employs a combination of the Fuzzy Simplified Best-Worst Method (FSBWM) and a hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Method (MCDM) to both quantify and rank the sources of safety risks and their impact on activities. This paper introduces the Simplified Best-Worst Method (SBWM), a pairwise comparison-based technique. SBWM is developed using triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) to create a fuzzy extension known as the Fuzzy Simplified Best-Worst Method (F-SBWM). The study also introduces an approach based on fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (F-MCDM) to assess scenarios and initial failure hazards effectively. Ultimately, the paper utilizes two fuzzy MCDM methods, in addition to the proposed FSBWM and hybrid MCDM approach. The objective is to identify and rank failure modes comprehensively, offering a robust framework for evaluating safety risks in EOL LIB management, considering various criteria and perspectives. This method blends risk analysis with fuzzy MCDM to provide initial visions into relative safety risk resource improvements.
1. Aikhuele, D. O. (2020). Development of a fixable model for the reliability and safety evaluation of the components of a commercial lithium-ion battery. Journal of Energy Storage, 32, 101819.
2. Alaoui, C., Zineddine, M., Nourddin, S., 2017. Towards the implementation of refurbished ev lithium-ion batteries for smart grid energy storage. 2017 Intell. Syst. Comput. Vision (ISCV) 1–5.
3. Bai, C., Zhu, Q., & Sarkis, J. (2024). Circular economy and circularity supplier selection: a fuzzy group decision approach. International Journal of Production Research, 62(7), 2307-2330.
4. Bankole, O.E., Gong, C., Lei, L., 2013. Battery recycling technologies: recycling waste lithium ion batteries with the impact on the environment in-view. Journal of Environment and Ecology. 4(1), 14-28.
5. Bird, R., Baum, Z.J., Yu, X., Ma, J., 2022. The regulatory environment for lithium-ion battery recycling. ACS Energy Lett. 7 (2), 736–740.
6. Blum, A. F., & Long Jr, R. T. (2016). Fire hazard assessment of lithium ion battery energy storage systems.
7. Börger, A., Mertens, J., & Wenzl, H. (2019). Thermal runaway and thermal runaway propagation in batteries: What do we talk about?. Journal of Energy Storage, 24, 100649.
8. Chen, M., Ma, X., Chen, B., Arsenault, R., Karlson, P., Simon, N., Wang, Y., 2019. Recycling end-of-life electric vehicle lithium-ion batteries. Joule 3 (11), 2622–2646.
9. Chen, Y., Kang, Y., Zhao, Y., Wang, L., Liu, J., Li, Y., Liang, Z., He, X., Li, X., Tavajohi, N., Li, B., 2020. A review of lithium-ion battery safety concerns: the issues, strategies, and testing standards. Journal of Energy Chem. 59.
10. Chen, Y., Kang, Y., Zhao, Y., Wang, L., Liu, J., Li, Y., Liang, Z., He, X., Li, X., Tavajohi, N., Li, B., 2021. A review of lithium-ion battery safety concerns: the issues, strategies, and testing standards. Journal of Energy Chem. 59, 83–99.
11. Chen, Z., Wang, J., Huang, J., Fu, T., Sun, G., Lai, S., Zhou, R., Li, K., Zhao, J., 2017. The high-temperature and high-humidity storage behaviors and electrochemical degradation mechanism of LiNi0.6Co0.2Mn0.2O2 cathode material for lithium-ion batteries. J. Power Sources 363, 168–176.
12. Chen, Z., Yildizbasi, A., Wang, Y., & Sarkis, J. (2023). Safety in lithium-ion battery circularity activities: A framework and evaluation methodology. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 193, 106962.
13. Chen, Z., Yildizbasi, A., Wang, Y., Sarkis, J., 2022. Safety concerns for the management of end-of-life lithium-ion batteries. Global Challenges. 6 (12), 2200049.
14. Christensen, P.A., Anderson, P.A., Harper, G.D.J., Lambert, S.M., Mrozik, W., Rajaeifar, M.A., Wise, M.S., Heidrich, O., 2021. Risk management over the life cycle of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 148, 111240.
15. Ciez, R. E., & Whitacre, J. F. (2019). Examining different recycling processes for lithium-ion batteries. Nature Sustainability, 2(2), 148-156.
16. Duffner, F., Kronemeyer, N., Tübke, J., Leker, J., Winter, M., & Schmuch, R. (2021). Post-lithium-ion battery cell production and its compatibility with lithium-ion cell production infrastructure. Nature Energy, 6(2), 123-134.
17. Foundation, E.M., 2012. Towards the Circular Economy. Ellen MacArthur Foundation. Gaines, L., 2018. Lithium-ion battery recycling processes: research towards a sustainable course. Sustain. Mater. Technol. 17, e00068.
18. Gupta, H., & Barua, M. K. (2017). Supplier selection among SMEs on the basis of their green innovation ability using BWM and fuzzy TOPSIS. Journal of Cleaner Production, 152, 242-258.
19. Harper, G., Sommerville, R., Kendrick, E., Driscoll, L., Slater, P., Stolkin, R., Walton, A., Christensen, P., Heidrich, O., Lambert, S., Abbott, A., Ryder, K., Gaines, L., Anderson, P., 2019. Recycling lithium-ion batteries from electric vehicles. Nature 575 (7781), 75–86.
20. Hua, Y., Zhou, S., Huang, Y., Liu, X., Ling, H., Zhou, X., Zhang, C., Yang, S., 2020. Sustainable value chain of retired lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles. Journal of Power Sources 478, 228753.
21. Jiang, X., Chen, Y., Meng, X., Cao, W., Liu, C., Huang, Q., Naik, N., Murugadoss, V., Huang, M., Guo, Z., 2022. The impact of electrode with carbon materials on safety performance of lithium-ion batteries: a review. Carbon 191, 448–470.
22. Kampker, A., Wessel, S., Fiedler, F., & Maltoni, F. (2021). Battery pack remanufacturing process up to cell level with sorting and repurposing of battery cells. Journal of Remanufacturing, 11, 1-23.
23. Kilgo, M. K. (2018). Environmental Impact Predictions for Disposal of Emerging Energy Technologies in Solid Waste Landfills: Application to Lithium-Ion Batteries and Photovoltaic Modules (Doctoral dissertation, Clemson University).
24. Kusi-Sarpong, S., Orji, I. J., Gupta, H., & Kunc, M. (2021). Risks associated with the implementation of big data analytics in sustainable supply chains. Omega, 105, 102502.
25. Liao, H., Mi, X., Yu, Q., & Luo, L. (2019). Hospital performance evaluation by a hesitant fuzzy linguistic best worst method with inconsistency repairing. Journal of Cleaner Production, 232, 657-671.
26. Liu, K., Liu, Y., Lin, D., Pei, A., & Cui, Y. (2018). Materials for lithium-ion battery safety. Science advances, 4(6), eaas9820.
27. Mossali, E., Picone, N., Gentilini, L., Rodrìguez, O., Pérez, J. M., & Colledani, M. (2020). Lithium-ion batteries towards circular economy: A literature review of opportunities and issues of recycling treatments. Journal of environmental management, 264, 110500.
28. Olivetti, E.A., Ceder, G., Gaustad, G.G., Fu, X., 2017. Lithium-ion battery supply chain considerations: analysis of potential bottlenecks in critical metals. Joule 1 (2), 229–243.
29. Pagliaro, M., Meneguzzo, F., 2019. Lithium battery reusing and recycling: a circular economy insight. Heliyon 5 (6), e01866.
30. Rezaei, J. (2015). Best-worst multi-criteria decision-making method. Omega, 53, 49-57.
31. Richa, K., Babbitt, C. W., & Gaustad, G. (2017). Eco‐efficiency analysis of a lithium‐ion battery waste hierarchy inspired by circular economy. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 21(3), 715-730.
32. Sabripoor, A., Ghousi, R., Najafi, M., Barzinpour, F., & Makuei, A. (2024). Risk assessment of organ transplant operation: A fuzzy hybrid MCDM approach based on fuzzy FMEA. Plos one, 19(5), e0299655.
33. Shekhar, A. R., Parekh, M. H., & Pol, V. G. (2022). Worldwide ubiquitous utilization of lithium-ion batteries: What we have done, are doing, and could do safely once they are dead?. Journal of Power Sources, 523, 231015.
34. Shukla, D., & Shankul, V. (2024). Risk Management Safety Assessment Over the Life Cycle of Lithium-Ion Batteries in EV.
35. Slattery, M., Dunn, J., & Kendall, A. (2021). Transportation of electric vehicle lithium-ion batteries at end-of-life: A literature review. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 174, 105755.
36. Sommerville, R., Zhu, P., Rajaeifar, M. A., Heidrich, O., Goodship, V., & Kendrick, E. (2021). A qualitative assessment of lithium ion battery recycling processes. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 165, 105219.
37. Sun, X., Hao, H., Hartmann, P., Liu, Z., & Zhao, F. (2019). Supply risks of lithium-ion battery materials: An entire supply chain estimation. Materials Today Energy, 14, 100347.
38. Turskis, Z., Zavadskas, E. K., Antuchevičienė, J., & Kosareva, N. (2015). A hybrid model based on fuzzy AHP and fuzzy WASPAS for construction site selection.
39. Vel´ azquez-Martínez, O., Valio, J., Santasalo-Aarnio, A., Reuter, M., Serna-Guerrero, R., 2019. A critical review of lithium-ion battery recycling processes from a circular economy perspective. Batteries 5 (4), 68.
40. Wang, Y., An, N., Wen, L., Wang, L., Jiang, X., Hou, F., ... & Liang, J. (2021). Recent progress on the recycling technology of Li-ion batteries. Journal of Energy Chemistry, 55, 391-419.
41. Winslow, K. M., Laux, S. J., & Townsend, T. G. (2018). A review on the growing concern and potential management strategies of waste lithium-ion batteries. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 129, 263-277.
42. Wrålsen, B., Prieto-Sandoval, V., Mejia-Villa, A., O'Born, R., Hellström, M., & Faessler, B. (2021). Circular business models for lithium-ion batteries-Stakeholders, barriers, and drivers. Journal of Cleaner Production, 317, 128393.
43. Yang, J., Gu, F., & Guo, J. (2020). Environmental feasibility of secondary use of electric vehicle lithium-ion batteries in communication base stations. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 156, 104713.
44. Zavadskas, E. K., & Turskis, Z. (2010). A new additive ratio assessment (ARAS) method in multicriteria decision‐making. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 16(2), 159-172.
45. Zavadskas, E. K., Antuchevičienė, J., Šaparauskas, J., & Turskis, Z. (2013). MCDM methods WASPAS and MULTIMOORA: Verification of robustness of methods when assessing alternative solutions.
46. Zeng, X., Li, J., & Singh, N. (2014). Recycling of spent lithium-ion battery: a critical review. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology, 44(10), 1129-1165.
47. Zeng, X., Li, J., & Liu, L. (2015). Solving spent lithium-ion battery problems in China: Opportunities and challenges. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 52, 1759-1767.
48. Zhang, W., Xu, C., He, W., Li, G., & Huang, J. (2018). A review on management of spent lithium ion batteries and strategy for resource recycling of all components from them. Waste Management & Research, 36(2), 99-112.
49. Zhang, Y., Tang, Q., Zhang, Y., Wang, J., Stimming, U., & Lee, A. A. (2020). Identifying degradation patterns of lithium ion batteries from impedance spectroscopy using machine learning. Nature communications, 11(1), 1706.
50. Zhong, X., Liu, W., Han, J., Jiao, F., Zhu, H., & Qin, W. (2020). Pneumatic separation for crushed spent lithium-ion batteries. Waste Management, 118, 331-340.
51. Zolfani, S. H., & Chatterjee, P. (2019). Comparative evaluation of sustainable design based on Step-Wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) and Best Worst Method (BWM) methods: a perspective on household furnishing materials. Symmetry, 11(1), 74.