Assessment of Climatic Drought and Its Economic Effects (Case Study: South Khorasan Province)
الموضوعات :
Sara Nakhaee Nezhad Fard
1
(
Deserts Region Management, Faculty of Natural Resources University of Tehran
)
Kamran Karimi
2
(
Deserts Region Management, Faculty of Natural Resources University of Tehran
)
Hassan Khosravi
3
(
Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran
)
الکلمات المفتاحية: Zoning climate drought, Economical drought, SPI, ArcGIS 9.3, South Khorasan,
ملخص المقالة :
In this research Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in a period of 22 years(1990 to 2011) was used for zoning of climatic and agricultural drought in South Khorasanprovince, Iran. Rainfall data of six synoptic stations were collected and used for evaluationof meteorological drought. Also, reports of some local offices such as natural resources,agriculture, regional water and environment department were provided to study the effectof agricultural economic drought. At first, the elevation-precipitation regression of eachperiod was obtained then this relationship was applied on Digital Evaluation Model (DEM)layer using ArcGIS 9.3 software. The result showed that the most severity droughtsoccurred in 2008, 2000, 2006 and 2011 respectively. In 2008 more than 66% of the studyarea were classified as extremely drought class. The result of agricultural drought showedthat the total annual rangelands forage production of South Khorasan province thatexpected to be 625000 tons reduced to 250000 tons during period of 2007 to 2011. Alsothe agricultural production was faced with 45% reduction and caused rising poverty andunemployment, immigration from rural area to urban, in evacuated villages.
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