تحلیلی بر عوامل پیدایش و رشد سریع دولت اسلامی در سوریه و عراق
الموضوعات :
1 - استادیار روابط بین الملل دانشگاه تهران
الکلمات المفتاحية: سوریه, عراق, القاعده, دولت اسلامی, اسلام سلفی و جهادی,
ملخص المقالة :
چکیده از سال 2010 تا کنون سازمان موسوم به دولت اسلامی تبدیل به قویترین گروه تروریستی در خاورمیانه گشته و تهدیدات جدی متوجه امنیت منطقه نموده است. این مقاله به بررسی چگونگی تشکیل و تطور این سازمان از زمان تشکیل آن در سال 2003 و نیز عوامل درون سازمانی موثر بر پیشرفت و گسترش آن در سطح منطقه می پردازد. این مقاله تلاش می کند تا نشان دهد که شکل گیری و تکامل سازمان مدیون تعامل عوامل گوناگونی نظیر رشد تفکر سلفی-جهادی در دهه 1980، دخالت قدرت های بزرگ در امور منطقه، و بی ثباتی های حاصل از بیداری اسلامی در سوریه است. در باب علل رشد و گسترش سازمان مقاله بر آن است که نشان دهد عوامل درون سازمانی نظیر پیام های امید بخش سازمان برای اهل تسنن در منطقه، حکمرانی موثر و موفق سازمان، توانائی های سازمان در عرصه نظامی، و مدیریت قوی منابع مالی مهمترین علل درون سازمانی موفقیت های دولت اسلامی در این محدوده زمانی بوده اند.
منابع:
Ahmed, Ali, Jessica Lewis, and Kimberly Kagan. “The ISIS Battle Plan,” Institute for the Study of War, June 12, 2014. http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/isis-battle-plan
Hannah, Allam, “Records show how Iraqi extremists withstood U.S. anti-terror efforts,” McClatchy DC, 23 June 2014. http://www.mcclatchydc.com
Ashour, Omar. The De-Radicalization of Jihadists: Transforming Armed Islamist Movements (New York: Routledge, 2009).
Bender, Jeremy. “Iraqi Bankers Say ISIS Never Stole $430 Million from Mosul Banks,” Business Insider, 17 July 2014. http://www.businessinsider.com/isis-never-stole-430-million-from-banks-2014-7
Barrett, Richard. Foreign Fighters in Syria, Soufan Group, June 2014. http://soufangroup.com/foreign-fighters-in-syria/
Berger, J.M. “Gambling on the Caliphate,” Intelwire blog, June 29, 2014. http://news.intelwire.com/2014/06/gambling-on-caliphate.html
Boghardt, Lori Plotkin. “Saudi Funding of ISIS,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 23 June 2014. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/saudi-funding-of-isis
Brachman, Jarret M. Global Jihadism: Theory and Practice (New York: Routledge, 2009).
Bronstein, Scott and Drew Griffin, “Self-funded and deep-rooted: How ISIS makes its millions,” CNN, 7 October 2014. http://edition.cnn.com/2014/10/06/world/meast/isis-funding/
Bunzel, Cole. From Paper State to Caliphate: The Ideology of the Islamic State, The Brooking's Project on U.S. Relations with Islamic States, Analysis Paper, No. 19, March 2015. http://www.brookings.edu
Byman, Daniel. et al., Trends in Outside Support for Insurgent Movements (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2001). http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monograph_reports/2007/MR1405.pdf
Caris, Charles C. and Samuel Reynolds. "ISIS Governance in Syria," Middle East Security Report 22, Center for the Study of War, July 2014. http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/ISIS_Governance.pdf
Chulov, Martin and Paul Lewis, “Isis jihadis using captured arms and troop carriers from US and Saudis,” Guardian, 8 September 2014. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/08/
Dicharry, Nichole. “Iraq Situation Report: August 13, 2014,” Institute for the Study of War, August 21, 2014. http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iraq-situation-report-august-13-2014
Dickinson, Elizabeth. “ISIS advance in Iraq forces Gulf donors to rethink their patronage,” Christian Science Monitor, 18 June 2014. http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2014/
Dilshad Hamid, “What is behind the Islamic State’s decision to reopen banks in Mosul?,” al-Akhbar, 12 September 2014. http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/what-behind-islamic-state
Fahim, Kareem. “In Brazen Strike, Sunni Militants Storm Central Iraqi City,” New York Times, June 5, 2014. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/06/
Fordham, Alice. “For Extremists in Syria, Extortion Brings Piles of Cash from Iraq,” National Public Radio, 21 April 2014. http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2014/04/21/
Hafez, Mohammed. Suicide Bombers in Iraq: The Strategy and Ideology of Martyrdom (Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 2007).
Haykel, Bernard. "On the Nature of Salafi Thought and Action," in Roel Meijer (ed.) Global Salafism: Islam's New Religious Movement (New York: Columbia University Press, 2009).
Holmquist, Erika. ISIS and Hezbollah: Conduits of Instability, Swedish Defense Research Agency, February 2015. http://www.foi.se/en/Top-menu/Pressroom/News/2015/ISIS-and-Hezbollah-creating-instability
ISIS:Portrait of a Jihadi Terrorist Organization, The Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center, The Israeli Intelligence and Heritage Commemoration Center, November 2014. http://www.terrorism-info.org.il/en/article/20733
Jansen, J.G. The Neglected Duty: The Creed of Sadat’s Assassins and Islamic Resurgence in the MiddleEast (New York: MacMillan, 1986).
Kirdar, M.J. "Al-Qaeda in Iraq," AQAM Futures Projects Case Study Series, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, D.C., June 2011. http://csis.org/files/publication/110614_Kirdar_AlQaedaIraq_Web.pdf
Knights, Michael. “Iraq’s City of Orphans,” Foreign Policy, August 14, 2014. http://foreignpolicy.com/2014/08/14/iraqs-city-of-orphans/
Knights, Michael. “The Resurgence of Al-Qaeda in Iraq,” testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, December 12, 2013.
www.washingtoninstitute.org/uploads/Documents/testimony/KnightsTestimony20131212.pdf.
Lahoud, Nelly. "Metamorphosis: From al-Tawhid wa-al-Jihad to Dawlat al-Khilafa (2003-2014)," in al-‘Ubaydi, ed., The Group That Calls Itself a State:Understanding the Evolution and Challenges of the Islamic State, The Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, December 2014. https://www.ctc.usma.edu/v2/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/
Leigh, Karen. “ISIS Makes Up To $3 Million a Day Selling Oil, Say Analysts,” ABC News, 2 August 2014.
Lim, Richard. "Terrorists, Insurgents, and Lessons of History," National Security Watch, The Institute of Land Warfare, 22 December 2014. http://www.ausa.org/
March, Andrew F. and Mara Revkin, "Caliphate of Law: ISIS' Ground Rules," Foreign Affairs, Council on Foreign Relations, April 15, 2015. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/syria/2015-04-15/caliphate-law
McCoy, Terrence. “The apocalyptic magazine the Islamic State uses to recruit and radicalize foreigners,” Washington Post, 16 September 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2014/09/16/
McClure, Sean M. "The Lost Caravan: The Rise and Fall of al- Qaeda in Iraq, 2003–2007" (MSc. Dissertation, Naval Postgraduate School, 2010). www.dtic.mil/
MEMRI: Special Dispatch no. 884 - The Iraqi Al-Qa'ida Organization: A Self-Portrait." Middle East Media Research Institute. http://www.memri.org/
Mroue, Bassem. “Syria, Iraq Oil Controlled by Islamic State Group,” ABC News, 25 September 2014. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com
Napoleoni, Loretta. The Islamist Phoenix: The Islamic State and the Redrawing of the Middle East (New York: Seven Stories Press, 2014).
Neriah, Jacques. "The Structure of the Islamic State (ISIS)," Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, 8 September 2014. http://jcpa.org/structure-of-the-islamic-state/
Ollivant, Douglas A. and Brian Fishman, “State of Jihad: The Reality of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria,” War on the Rocks, May 21, 2014. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com
Pollack, Kenneth. “Iraq: Understanding the ISIS Offensive Against the Kurds,” The Brookings Institution, August 11, 2014. http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/markaz/posts/2014/08/11-pollack-isis-offensive-against-iraq-kurds
Price, Brayan, Dan Milton, and Muhammad al-Ubaydi. "Al-Baghdadi’s Blitzkrieg, ISIL’s Psychological Warfare, and What It Means for Syria and Iraq," CTC Perspectives, 12 June 2014. https://www.ctc.usma.edu
Razzouk, Nayla. “Militants Hold Seven Iraq Oil Fields After Syria Blitz, IEA Says,” Bloomberg News, 12 August 2014. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-08-12
Riedel, Bruce. The Search for Al Qaeda: Its Leadership, Ideology and Future (Washington D.C.: The Brookings Institution Press, 2008).
Scales, Robert and Douglas Ollivant. “Terrorist Armies Fight Smarter and Deadlier Than Ever,” Washington Post, August 1, 2014. https://www.washingtonpost.com
Shapiro, Jacob. "Smuggling, Syria, and Spending,” in Bombers, Bank Accounts, and Bleedout: Al-Qa`ida’s Road In and Out of Iraq, ed. Brian Fishman, CTC Report, 14 July 2008, Chapter 3. http://www.princeton.edu/~jns/publications/Sinjar_2_July_23.pdf
Sherlock, Ruth. “Inside the Leadership of Islamic State: How the New ‘Caliphate’ is Run,” Daily Telegraph, July 9, 2014. http://www.telegraph.co.uk
Soguel, Dominique. “Heard at Syria's border: Life in the Islamic State is orderly, but brutal,” Christian Science Monitor, 21 September 2014. http://www.csmonitor.com
Tomlinson, Lucas. “Welcome to Islamic State TV: US officials battle to counter ‘slick’ ISIS media arm,” Fox News, 11 October 2014. http://www.foxnews.com
Varghese, Johnlee. “Islamic State 'Army Police' Takes Charge of Security in Mosul” International Business Times, 19 September 2014. http://www.ibtimes.co.in
Vitale, Heather Marie and James M. Keagle, "A Time to Tweet, as Well as a Time to Kill: ISIS’s Projection of Power in Iraq and Syria," Defense Horizons, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, Singapore, October 2014. http://www.isn.ethz.ch
Vlasic, Mark. “Islamic State sells ‘blood antiquities’ from Iraq and Syria to raise money,” Washington Post, 14 September 2014 https://www.washingtonpost.com
Wagemakers, Joas. "The Transformation of a Radical Concept: Al-Wala' wa-l-Bara' in the Ideology of Abu Muhammad Al-Maqdisi," in Roel Meijer (ed.) Global Salafism: Islam's New Religious Movement (New York: Columbia University Press, 2009).
Windrem, Robert. “Who’s Funding ISIS? Wealthy Gulf ‘Angel Investors,’ Officials Say,” NBC News, 21 September 2014. http://www.nbcnews.com
Aaron Y. Zelin, “Up to 11,000 Foreign Fighters in Syria; Steep Rise Among Western Europeans,” ICSR Insight, 17 December 2013. http://icsr.info/2013/12
Zelin, Aaron. "The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria Has a Consumer Protection Office," The Atlantic, June 13, 2014. http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/06
Al-Dulaimy, Mohammed and Hannah Allam, “Witnesses Describe How Islamists Leveled Sunni Village as a Warning,” McClatchy Newspapers, July 11, 2014. http://www.mcclatchydc.com
Al-Khalidi, Suleiman. “Here’s How ISIS Uses Oil to Fuel Its Advances,” Business Insider, 18 September 2014. http://www.businessinsider.com
Al-Khatteeb, Luay, and Eline Gordts. “How ISIS Uses Oil to Fund Terror,” Brookings, 27 September 2014. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/27/isis-oil_n_5877008.html
Al-Qarawee, Harith. “Al-Qaeda Sinks Roots in Mosul,” al-Monitor, 24 October 2013. http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/10/al-qaeda-mosul-iraq-sunnis-minorities.html
Al-Ubaydi, Mohammad. "The Group That Calls Itself a State: Understanding the Evolution and Challenges of the Islamic State," The Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, 2014. https://www.ctc.usma.edu
Al- Zarqawi, Untitled Letter, 2004, http://www.cpa-iraq.org/transcripts/20040212_zarqawi_ full.html (accessed January 7, 2010).