مدلسازی ساختاری تفسیری ریسک در نهادهای مالی با تأکید بر شرکتهای تأمین سرمایه
فرزین رضایی
1
(
عضو هیات علمی دانشگاه آزد اسلامی واحد قزوین
)
سارا سلطان دوست
2
(
گروه حسابداري، واحد قزوین، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قزوین، ایران.
)
حسین کاظمی
3
(
دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی قزوین
)
کیومرث بیگلر
4
(
گروه حسابداری، واحد قزوین، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قزوین، ایران.
)
کلید واژه: مدیریت ریسک, نهادهای مالی, شرکتهای تأمین سرمایه,
چکیده مقاله :
هدف تحقیق مدلسازی ساختاری تفسیری ریسک در نهادهای مالی با تأکید بر شرکتهای تأمین سرمایه است. این پژوهش از لحاظ هدف کاربردی، از لحاظ ماهیت اکتشافی است. مشارکتکنندگان در تحقیق را صاحبنظران شرکتها تأمین سرمایه به تعداد 14 نفر تشکیل میدادند که با استفاده از نمونهگیری هدفمند از نوع قضاوتی انتخاب شدند. در پردازش اطلاعات از روش تحلیل اثرات متقابل ساختاری نرمافزار MICMAC استفاده شد. براساس نتایج به دست آمده 15 معیار (کمیته ریسک، مدیریت ریسک بازار، مدیریت ریسک اعتباری، مدیریت ریسک سیستمی، مدیریت نظارتی، عوامل ریسک اعتباری، عوامل ریسک نقدینگی، عوامل ریسک بازار، عوامل ریسکهای عملیاتی، انعطاف پذیری، کیفیت اعتبار و نرخهای نکول، شرایط مقرراتی، شرایط مدیریتی، شوکهای سیاست پولی، سیاستهای حاکمیتی در 6 سطح دسته بندی شدند. مدیریت ریسک در شرکتهای تأمین سرمایهها باید بهعنوان یک عامل حیاتی در فعالیتهای آنها در نظر گرفته شود. این شرکتها باید استراتژیها و سیاستهای مناسبی را برای شناسایی، ارزیابی و کنترل ریسکها اتخاذ کنند.
چکیده انگلیسی :
Abstract The aim of the research is to structurally model the interpretation of risk in financial institutions, with an emphasis on investment companies. This study is applied in terms of its objective and exploratory in nature. The participants in the research consisted of 14 experts from investment companies, selected through purposive sampling of a judgmental type. The MICMAC software was used for processing the information through structural interaction analysis. Based on the results obtained, 15 criteria were categorized into 6 levels (risk committee, market risk management, credit risk management, systemic risk management, regulatory management, credit risk factors, liquidity risk factors, market risk factors, operational risk factors, flexibility, credit quality and default rates, regulatory conditions, managerial conditions, monetary policy shocks, and governance policies). Risk management in investment companies should be considered a vital factor in their activities. These companies must adopt appropriate strategies and policies for identifying, assessing, and controlling risks.
Akiyoshi, F. (2019). Effects of separating commercial and investment banking: Evidence from the dissolution of a joint venture investment bank. Journal of Financial Economics, 134, 703-714
Allen, F. & Gale, D. (1997). Financial Markets, Intermediaries, and Intertemporal Smoothing. Journal of Political Economy, 105(3), 523–546
K. Krttli, M. & McCabe, P. (2019). The Shift from Active to Passive Investing: Potential Risks to FinancialStability? Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS), 4, 23-39.
Anand, B.N.& Galetovic, A. (2006). Relationships, competition and the structure of investment banking markets. The Journal of industrial Economics, (2), 151-199.
Bowers, H. & Miller, R. (1990). Choice of Investment Banker and Shareholders’ Wealth of Firms Involved in Acquisitions. Financial Management, 19(4), 34–44
Creutz, K. (2023).Multilateral Development Banks as Agents of Connectivity: the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). East Asia 40, 335–356
Crowin, S. Laracque, S. & Stegemoller, M. (2017). Investment banking relationships and analyst affiliation bias: The impact of the global settlement on sanctioned and non-sanctioned banks. Journal of Financial Economics, 124, 614-631
Gemici, K. & Lai, K.P.Y. (2019). How global are investment banks? An analysis of investment banking networks in Asian equity capital markets. Regional Studies, 54 (2), 149-161
Goodhart, C. & Schoenmaker, D. (2016). The global investment banks anre now all becoming American: does that matter for Europeans? Journal of Financial Regulation, 2(2), 163-181
Hai, T. (2022). Development Of Investment Banking Model In Capital Market. Journal of Positive School Psychology, 6, 5856-5867
Hasan, I. Peng, E. Waisman, M. (2024). The effect of bank organizational risk-management on the pricing of non-deposit debt. J Financ Serv Res
Huong, D. (2020). Entrepreneurship: Risk Mitigation Strategy. Journal Of Advanced Research In Dynamical And Control Systems, 12(SP3), 991-998
Iqbal, J. & Vähämaa, S. (2019). Managerial risk-taking incentives and the systemic risk of financial institutions. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 53(4), 1229–1258
Ivanov, K. (2021). Credit enhancement mechanism in loan securitization and its implication to systemic risk.Review Of Financial Economics. Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, 40(4), 418-437
Jabari, P. & Rostamkhani, H. (2023). The Contribution of Systemic Risk in Banks and Non-Banking Financial Institutions Across Frequencies (Iran's Experience). Master's Thesis, Roozbeh Higher Education Institute. [In Persian]
Kauffman, R. & Howcroft, B. (2003).Thought leadership in investment banking: The beginning of a new era. J Financ Serv Mark 7, 214–218
Kedarya, T. Elalouf, A. & Cohen, R.S. (2023). Calculating Strategic Risk in Financial Institutions. Glob J Flex Syst Manag, 24, 361–372
Li, L. (2022). Research on the transformation of commercial banks under the background of financial technology. Modern business, (07), 101-103
Liu, S. & Xu, J. (2024).Enterprise Risk Management, Risk-Taking, and Macroeconomic Implications: Evidence from Bank Mortgage Loan Management. J Financ Serv Res
Mamatzakis, E. & Bermpei, T. (2015). The effect of corporate governance on the performance of US Investment Banks. 24 (2-3), 191-239
Marzban, H., Khajavi, S., & Karvani, R., (2020). Analyzing the Performance of Investment Banks Globally and comparing it with Investment Banks in Iran for Capital Market Financing Development. Economic Journal, 9, 5-30. [In Persian]
Pan, X. Liu, J. & Xing, J. (2020). The causes and consequences of the Fed’s unexpected interest rate cut. The spectrum of problems in Finance, 06, 46-47、
Papaioannou, G.J. (2002). Internet application in investment banking: Implications and Significance. Journal of Financial Education, 28, 56-69
Qashqaei, Z., Dehghanpour, M., & Mahmoudi, M. (2021). Examining the Impact of Risk Management Methods on the Financial Performance of Bank Melli (Case Study: Bank Melli, Abadeh City Branch). Master's Thesis, Imam Javad Higher Education Institute. [In Persian]
Ramdani, B., Binsaif, A., Boukrami, E. (2022). Business models innovation in investment banks: a resilience perspective. Asia Pac J Manag, 39, 51–78
Reddy, G. D. & Thaiyalnayaki, M. (2022). Risk management in investment banking. International Journal of Health Sciences, 6(S1), 12975–12988 Rzayev, R. & Aghajanov, J. (2023). Risk Management in Bank: Fuzzy Inference Based Process Model. In: Shahbazova, S.N., Abbasov, A.M., Kreinovich, V., Kacprzyk, J., Batyrshin, I.Z. (eds) Recent Developments and the New Directions of Research, Foundations, and Applications. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, Springer, Cham. 422
Salari, A., Vakilifard, H. & Talebnia, G., (2023). Proposing a Model for Measuring Credit Risk in Bank Melli of Iran (Using Artificial Neural Networks). Empirical Accounting Research. [In Persian]
Schöder, M. (2012). The role of investment banking for the German Economy: Final report for deutsche Bank AG, Frankfut/Main. Zew-Dokumentation, 12-01
Stolbov, M. & Parfenov, D. (2023). Credit risk linkages in the international banking network, 2000–2019. Risk Manag 25, 21
Sun, Z. & Lu. A. (2022). Environmental regulation, green Finance and environmental protection enterprise investment, China, Financial Development Studies, (1), 22-28)
Tameradi, F., Bashiri Manesh, N., Kaab Amir, A., & Aref Manesh, Z. (2023). Presenting a Model of Effective Components and Financial Consequences of Corporate Risk Management: A Hierarchical Analysis and Extended Rough Theory. Empirical Accounting Research, 13(3), 133-146. [In Persian]
Wójcik, D. Knight, E. Neill, P. Pazitka, V. (2018). Economic Geography of Investment Banking since 2008: The geography of shrinkage and shift. Economic Geogrphy, 13, 1-24
Zachosova, N. Herasymenko, O. & Shevchenko, А. (2018). Risks and possibilities of the effect of financial inclusion on managing the financial security at the macro level. Investment Management And Financial Innovations, 15(4), 304-319
Zhang, P. (2019). Research on the current situation and countermeasures of Investment Banking of Chinese commercial Banks. Open Journal of Business and management, 07 (01), 330-338