شناسایی عوامل کلیدی پایداری اجتماعی در محلات شهری (مطالعه موردی: شهر اردبیل)
محورهای موضوعی : معماری و شهرسازی و سکونتگاههای انسانیمریم حافظی فر 1 , فرح حبیب 2 , حسین ذبیحی 3
1 - دانش آموخته دکتری شهرسازی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 - استاد گروه شهرسازی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
3 - دانشیار گروه شهرسازی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
کلید واژه: توسعه پایدار, پایداری اجتماعی, تحلیل تفسیری ساختاری, نرمافزار میکمک, محلات شهر اردبیل,
چکیده مقاله :
با گذشت نزدیک به سه دهه از طرح مبحث توسعه پایدار، پرداختن به پایداری اجتماعی نسبت به دو بعد اقتصادی و زیستمحیطی بسیار کمرنگ بوده است اما در سالهای اخیر ادبیات مرتبط با این بعد از توسعه پایدار نیز گسترش یافته است. مطالعات نشان میدهد که بهترین مقیاس برای ارزیابی و سنجش پایداری اجتماعی محلات شهری میباشند اما نکته مهم تعدد و تنوع شاخصها در سطوح و مقیاسهای متفاوت با روابط درهمتنیده علی-معلولی میباشد؛ بنابراین هدف این پژوهش تحلیل روابط علی- معلولی و شناسایی عوامل کلیدی پایداری اجتماعی در مقیاس محلات شهری در شهر اردبیل میباشد. بدین منظور از تحلیل تفسیری ساختاری در نرمافزار میکمک استفاده شده است. بهمنظور تهیه دادههای ورودی مدل، متناظر با 47 شاخص بدست آمده یک ماتریس 47*47 در اختیار 25 نفر از کارشناسان امور شهری اردبیل قرار گرفت. نمونهگیری در این پژوهش با استفاده از روشهای نمونهگیری هدفمند و متوالی در قالب دلفی دومرحلهای انجام شده است. نتایج پژوهش نشان میدهد که شاخصهای پایداری اجتماعی به چهار دسته متغیرهای پیوندی، تأثیرگذار، وابسته و مستقل قابلتقسیم هستند و با توجه به ماتریسهای روابط غیرمستقیم شاخصهای وجود مؤسسات دموکراتیک، پاسخگویی سیاسی و نهادی و سطح دموکراسی که شاخصهای مدیریتی و نهادی محسوب میشوند، بیشترین تأثیرگذاری غیرمستقیم را در شبکه روابط بین متغیرها داشتهاند و متغیرهای کلیدی جهت ایجاد پایداری اجتماعی میباشند.
Regardless of Over Three Decades in Emerging the Concept of Sustainable Development, Social Sustainability Compared to Two Other Dimensions of Sustainability: Economic and Environmental, Has Been Neglected, However in Recent Years Related Literature to This Dimension Has Also Expanded. According to The Studies, The Best Scale for Assessing and Measuring the Social Sustainability is Urban Neighborhoods. But the Point Is Multiplicity and Variety of Indicators at Different Levels and Scales with Causal Relationships. Therefore, the Purpose of This Research Is to Analyze the Causal Relationships and Recognize the Key Factors of Social Sustainability in the Scale of Urban Neighborhoods in Ardabil. For this Purpose, Structural Interpretation Analysis Has Been Used in MicMac Software. In Order to Provide the Basic Data of Model Corresponded 47 Indicators, a 47*47 Matrix Was Provided to Experts in Urban Affairs of Ardabil. Sampling Method in This Section, Has been Targeted and Sequential Sampling in a Two- Step Delphi Format. Research Results Show that Social Sustainability Indicators Can Be Divided into four Categories of "Linked", "Effective", "Independent" and "Dependent" Variables. According to the Indirect Relationships Matrix, "Existence of Democratic Institutions", "Political and Institutional Responsibility", "Democracy Level" as "Management and Institutional" Indicators, Have the Most Indirect Influence in the Network of Relationship between Variables and Are Key Variables for Social Sustainability.
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