سطوح توسعه‌یافتگی دهستان‌های شهرستان اردبیل با بهره گیری از مدل‌های تصمیم گیری چند معیاره
محورهای موضوعی : مطالعات برنامه ریزی شهری و منطقه ای
بهرام ایمانی
1
(استادیار، گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران)
کلید واژه: توسعه, توسعه روستایی, شهر اردبیل, روش های تصمیم گیری چند شاخصه,
چکیده مقاله :
شناخت و بررسی امکانات و توانایی ها و به دنبال آن تعیین سطوح توسعه یافتگی نواحی روستایی گام نخست در فرآیند برنامه ریزی و توسعه به شمار می رود. از این رو پژوهش حاضر با هدف سنجش سطوح توسعه یافتگی دهستان های شهرستان اردبیل بر اساس تکنیک های تصمیم گیری چند شاخصه انجام شده است. این پژوهش بر اساس هدف کاربردی و بر اساس ماهیت توصیفی- تحلیلی است. جامعه آماری شامل 10 دهستان شهرستان اردبیل است. اطلاعات مورد نیاز شامل 76 متغیر در قالب 7 شاخص از طریق سرشماری عمومی نفوس و مسکن و سالنامه آماری 1390 فراهم گردید. برای سنجش میزان توسعه یافتگی از تکنیک های تصمیم گیری چند شاخصه ویکور، الکتر و تاکسونومی بهره گرفته شده است و با استفاده از آزمون همبستگی تاوکندال در محیط spss به آزمون فرضیات اقدام گردید. نتایج حاصل از تکنیک های تصمیم گیری بر اساس میانگین رتبه ها بیانگر این موضوع است که دهستان های شهرستان از لحاظ شاخص های توسعه در وضعیت متعادل قرار ندارند، به گونه ای که از بین 10 دهستان شهرستان اردبیل، 6 دهستان برخوردار از توسعه، 2 دهستان نیمه برخوردار و 4 دهستان محروم از توسعه بودند. همچنین نتایج حاصل از آزمون تاوکندال نشان داد که بین دو متغیر جمعیت و نزدیکی مرکز هر دهستان به مرکز شهرستان و میانگین رتبه ای بدست آمده ارتباط معنی داری وجود ندارد و این دو مؤلفه تأثیری در توسعه یافتگی دهستان ها ندارند؛ ولی بین متغیر اشتغال و میانگین رتبه های هر دهستان رابطه مثبت و معنی دار وجود دارد و درصد اشتغال بر سطح توسعه یافتگی تأثیر مثبت دارد. در نهایت راهکارهایی جهت تهیه و اجرای برنامه ها به منظور توسعه یکپارچه و متوازن روستایی در سطح شهرستان ارائه گردید.
Recognizing and surveying facilities and abilities and determining the levels of development in rural areas are the first steps in planning and developing process. To this end, this study aims to assess the levels of development in Ardabil villages by utilizing multi-criteria decision making methods. This research is based on the functional goal and descriptive analysis nature. Statistical population includes 10 villages in Ardabil. The required information includes 76 variables in 7 criteria that were taken from General Population and Housing Census and statistical yearbook 2011. Vikor’s multi-criteria decision making method, Electra and Taxonomy are used to assess the rate of development. Furthermore, we tested the assumptions by using Kendall tau rank correlation in SPSS software. The results of the decision making techniques based on average ranks revealed that villages were not in a balanced situation in terms of developmental criteria, so that out of 10 Ardabil villages 6 of them were developed, 2 of them were semi-developed and 4 of them were not developed. Also, the findings of Kendall tau test showed that there was no significant relationship between two population variables and adjacency of the villages to the county and the obtained average rank. These two components had no effect on rural development, but there was a significant relationship between the employment variable and the average rank in each village which brings the employment percentage with a positive effect on levels of development. Based on the results, some strategies are presented to make and perform the plans in order to have an integrated and balanced development in the county.
Adinarayana, J., Azmi, S., Tewari, G. Sudharsan, D. (2008). A distributed collaboration model for rural development planning. computers and electronics in agriculture 62.
Amanpour, S., Mokhtari Chelcheh, S., Hosseini Kahnoj, R., & Veisi, E. (2015). Spatial Analysis and Evaluation of Rural Development (Case Study: Counties of Chaharmahal & Bakhtiyari). Journal of Research and Rural Planning, 4 (32), 97-110. (In Persian)
Ameri Siyahoui, H., Rostam Gourani, E., & Beyranvandzadeh, M. (2011). Degrees measure sustainability and rural development in the city of Qeshm Shahab. Quarterly Journal of Human Geography, 3 (4),159-178. (In Persian)
Amiri, M., & Darestani Farahani, A. (2013). Decision Making with Multiple Metrics. Tehran: Kian University Press. (In Persian)
Anabestani, A.A., Roosta, Mojtaba., & Sayadi Abbegli, M. (2014). Comparative Comparison of Rural Equity Level by Using the Morph coefficient and feature model, Case study: Meymand, Firoozabad city. Geography and Urban Planning of Zagros Landscape, 6 (19), 99-119. (In Persian)
Asgharpour, M. (2008). Multi-criteria Settlement. Sixth Edition, Tehran University Press. (In Persian)
Asghari zadeh, E., & Jamkhaneh zabihi, M. (1392). The evaluation and ranking of rural development level Using multiple attributes decision making methods (Case study: rural districts in Sari County). Journal of Research and Rural Planning, 2(3),27-48. (In Persian)
Azkia, M (2002). Sociology of Development and Non-Development of Villages in Iran, Information Publication. Sixth Edition, Tehran. (In Persian)
Barrios, E. B. (2008). Infrastructure and Rural development: Household perceptions on rural development. Progress in Planning 70.
Bhatia. V. K., & Rai. S. C. (2004). Evaluation of Socio-Economic Development in Small Areas. New Dehli UNDP. Human Development Report. New York. 1991, 110-213.
Bingham, R.D., & Robert M. (2007). Theories of Local Economic Development, Newbury Park, California, P: 85.
Chandra, R. (2004). Industrialization and Development in the Third word. Routlege, P: 1-3.
Cranwell, M. R. (2005). A model food entrepreneur assistance and education program: The northeast center for food entrepreneurship. Journal of food Science Education, Vol. 4, 56-65.
Ebrahimzadeh, E., Eskandarei, M., & Esmaeilnegad, M. (2010). Factor Analysis Application in Explanation of Spatial Pattern of Developed and Under- Developed Urban- Regional in Iran. Geography and Development Iranian Journal, 8 (17), 7-28. (In Persian)
Faraji Sabokbar, H., Badri, S.A., & Vazin, N. (2013). Improvement of numerical taxonomy model. Journal of Applied research in Geographical Sciences, 13 (28), 113-136. (In Persian)
Feyzabadi, Y., & Maleki, F. (2016). Comparison and Comparison of Development of Rural Areas of Iranian Provinces. Rural Development and Agricultural Development, Volume 1 (1), 71-82. (In Persian)
Ghanbari, S., Bazrafshan, J., & Jamali Nejad, M. (2012). Comparison and Analysis Level of Development Based on Integrated Rural Development Strategy (Case Study: Khanmirza Rural District-Lordegan Township). Journal of Urban Management, 9 (28), 175-192. (In Persian)
Ghanbari, Y., Barghi, H., & Hejarian, A. (2011). The analyze spatial distribution industrial parameters in districts of Isfahan province about development levels. Journal of Spatial Planning, 1 (1), 17-36. (In Persian)
Gilg, A. (1996). Countryside Planning, London, Routledge. (In Persian)
hajializadeh, J., mahdavi, M., & Kardavani, P. (2011). Use of Mauritius's Development Model to evaluate the performance of conductor designs in Bonab villages. Quarterly Journal of The Studies of Human Settlements Planning, 5 (13), 1-11. (In Persian)
Heshmat Kaboodvand, B., Mirdamadi, M., Farajollah hoseini, S J., & Pasban, F. (2014). Measuring the Sustainability Levels of Rural Development in Karaj County. Quarterly Journal of Village and Development, 17 (12), 69-86. (In Persian)
Heydari Sarban, V. (2012). The Prioritization of Dehstans of MeshkinShahr County in tems of Agricultural Development Surfaces. Journal of Geography and Planning, 16 (40), 75-96. (In Persian)
Hodder, R. (2000). Development geography. Routledge, London.
kalantari, K. (2010). Spatial Planning and Land Reconciliation. Second Edition, Tehran: Farhang Saba Publication. (In Persian)
Kardovani, P., & Sharifi, S. (2012). The Level of Development in Subdistricts of Marivan County. Quarterly Journal of Village and Development, 15, (3), 115-130. (In Persian)
Li, y., & wei, y.h. (2010). The spatil-temporal hierarchy of regional inequality of china. applied geography, 30, 303-316.
Mahdavi Hajiloui, M, & Mohammadizadeh, G. H. (2012). The levels of education and employment indicators municipalities in the central part of Dezful city using the Morris. Journal of Territory, 9 (36), 15-28. (In Persian)
Momeni, M. (2014). New Issues in Operations Research, Sixth Edition, Tehran: Tehran University Press. (In Persian)
Momeni, M., & Ghahari, G. (2012). Analysis of the development situation of Fars province. Regional Planning Quarterly, 3 (9), 53-66. (In Persian)
Nazmfar, H., Bakhtar, S., & Alavi, S. (2015). Ranking Development Level of Rural Areas (Case Study: Rural Districts of Kermanshah Province). Journal of Geography and Environmental Studies, 4 (14), 181-192. (In Persian)
Omidzadeh, H. (2013). Measure the Level of Development of Village Razan Using the Composite Index of Human Development(Hdi). Quarterly Geographical Journal of Chashmandaz-E-Zagros, 5 (16), 97-106. (In Persian)
Ramnema, M., & Zabihi, J. (2011). Urban Public Facility Distribution Analysis for Spatial Justice with Integrated Access Model in Mashhad. Geography and Development Iranian Journal, 9 (23), 5-26. (In Persian)
Rezvani, M. (2002). Rural Development Programming, Concepts, Strategies and Processes. Journal of Faculty of Literature & Humanities, 164, 221-240. (In Persian).
Rezvani, M.R. (2008). Introduction to Planning of Rural Development in Iran. Tehran: Publication of Qomus. (In Persian)
Riddell, R. (2004). Sustainable Urban Planning Tipping the Balance. Blackwell publishing.
Sadeghi Arani, Z., & Mirghafouri, H. (2009). Analysis of the developmental status of sport in the provinces of Iran during 2005-2006. Journal of Research on Sport Science, 3 (12), 103-120. (In Persian)
Sadrmousavi, S., & Talebzadeh, H. (2013). Determining and Analyzing Levels of Development in Rural Areas of Chaldran County. Journal of Geography and Planning, 17 (44), 215-235. (In Persian)
Shahrokhi Sardo, S., Mahmoodiberam, M., Moolai, A., & Agha abasi, N. (2016). Evaluating the Development Levels of Rural Areas in Koohrang County. Journal of Rural Development Strategies, 2 (4), 383-400. (In Persian)
Shamsoddini, A., & mahdavi, M. (2011). The performance of masiri city in spatial equalization for surrounding villages, case: central district of rostam county Iran. African journal of agricultural research, l6 (26), 5793-5799. (In Persian)
shamsoddini, A., & Rahimi, A. (2014). The level of rural settlements of Mamasani city using the techniques of organizing spaces. Journal of Regional Planning, 42 (14), 87-102. (In Persian)
Spears, J. (2002). design of a model sustainable village. London: rurledge.
Taghvaei, M., & Ahmadian, A. (2011). Spatialanalysis and development survey of districts in Miandoab County by Using Topsis-fuzzy model. Journal of Spatial Planning, 1 (3), 131-154. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., & Bahari, E. (2013). Assessing Development Degree and Ranking Townships of Mazandaran Province by Using Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis. Geography and Environmental Planning, 23 (4), 15-38. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., Hasaninezhad, A., & Talebi, K. (1393). Determination and Analysis of the Levels of the Rural Districts of the Province Aanjan, Using the Centrality Index and Preston Models. Journal of Geography and Planning, 23 (4), 15-38. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., Tahmasebipour, R., & Moradi hossin, N. (2011). Dterminig and Analyzing of Enjoyment Levels of Booshehr’s. Geographical Planning of Space Quarterly Journal, 1 (2), 59-74. (In Persian)
TavakkoliNia, J., Kanoni, R., Khavarian Gharmsir, A., & Pasban Isloo, V. (2015). Analysis of Regional Development Inequalities in Health-Therapy Sector (Case Study: Ardabil Province). Regional Planning Quarterly, 5 (18), 1-14. (In Persian)
Yi-Chung Hu. (2009). Bankruptcy prediction using ELECTRE-based single-layer perceptron, Neurocomputing ,72, 3150-3157.
Zarabi, A., Abolhasani, F., & Eizadi, M. (2011). Determination of the level of development and priority of spatial planning in rural districts of Isfahan province. Geographical Researches Quarterly Journal, 26 (101), 1-18. (In Persian)
Ziari, K., Zanjirchi, M., & Sorkh Kamal, K. (2010). Evaluation and ranking of the developmental level of the cities of Khorasan Razavi province by using Topsis Technique. Human Geography Research, 42 (72), 17-30.(In Persian)
_||_Adinarayana, J., Azmi, S., Tewari, G. Sudharsan, D. (2008). A distributed collaboration model for rural development planning. computers and electronics in agriculture 62.
Amanpour, S., Mokhtari Chelcheh, S., Hosseini Kahnoj, R., & Veisi, E. (2015). Spatial Analysis and Evaluation of Rural Development (Case Study: Counties of Chaharmahal & Bakhtiyari). Journal of Research and Rural Planning, 4 (32), 97-110. (In Persian)
Ameri Siyahoui, H., Rostam Gourani, E., & Beyranvandzadeh, M. (2011). Degrees measure sustainability and rural development in the city of Qeshm Shahab. Quarterly Journal of Human Geography, 3 (4),159-178. (In Persian)
Amiri, M., & Darestani Farahani, A. (2013). Decision Making with Multiple Metrics. Tehran: Kian University Press. (In Persian)
Anabestani, A.A., Roosta, Mojtaba., & Sayadi Abbegli, M. (2014). Comparative Comparison of Rural Equity Level by Using the Morph coefficient and feature model, Case study: Meymand, Firoozabad city. Geography and Urban Planning of Zagros Landscape, 6 (19), 99-119. (In Persian)
Asgharpour, M. (2008). Multi-criteria Settlement. Sixth Edition, Tehran University Press. (In Persian)
Asghari zadeh, E., & Jamkhaneh zabihi, M. (1392). The evaluation and ranking of rural development level Using multiple attributes decision making methods (Case study: rural districts in Sari County). Journal of Research and Rural Planning, 2(3),27-48. (In Persian)
Azkia, M (2002). Sociology of Development and Non-Development of Villages in Iran, Information Publication. Sixth Edition, Tehran. (In Persian)
Barrios, E. B. (2008). Infrastructure and Rural development: Household perceptions on rural development. Progress in Planning 70.
Bhatia. V. K., & Rai. S. C. (2004). Evaluation of Socio-Economic Development in Small Areas. New Dehli UNDP. Human Development Report. New York. 1991, 110-213.
Bingham, R.D., & Robert M. (2007). Theories of Local Economic Development, Newbury Park, California, P: 85.
Chandra, R. (2004). Industrialization and Development in the Third word. Routlege, P: 1-3.
Cranwell, M. R. (2005). A model food entrepreneur assistance and education program: The northeast center for food entrepreneurship. Journal of food Science Education, Vol. 4, 56-65.
Ebrahimzadeh, E., Eskandarei, M., & Esmaeilnegad, M. (2010). Factor Analysis Application in Explanation of Spatial Pattern of Developed and Under- Developed Urban- Regional in Iran. Geography and Development Iranian Journal, 8 (17), 7-28. (In Persian)
Faraji Sabokbar, H., Badri, S.A., & Vazin, N. (2013). Improvement of numerical taxonomy model. Journal of Applied research in Geographical Sciences, 13 (28), 113-136. (In Persian)
Feyzabadi, Y., & Maleki, F. (2016). Comparison and Comparison of Development of Rural Areas of Iranian Provinces. Rural Development and Agricultural Development, Volume 1 (1), 71-82. (In Persian)
Ghanbari, S., Bazrafshan, J., & Jamali Nejad, M. (2012). Comparison and Analysis Level of Development Based on Integrated Rural Development Strategy (Case Study: Khanmirza Rural District-Lordegan Township). Journal of Urban Management, 9 (28), 175-192. (In Persian)
Ghanbari, Y., Barghi, H., & Hejarian, A. (2011). The analyze spatial distribution industrial parameters in districts of Isfahan province about development levels. Journal of Spatial Planning, 1 (1), 17-36. (In Persian)
Gilg, A. (1996). Countryside Planning, London, Routledge. (In Persian)
hajializadeh, J., mahdavi, M., & Kardavani, P. (2011). Use of Mauritius's Development Model to evaluate the performance of conductor designs in Bonab villages. Quarterly Journal of The Studies of Human Settlements Planning, 5 (13), 1-11. (In Persian)
Heshmat Kaboodvand, B., Mirdamadi, M., Farajollah hoseini, S J., & Pasban, F. (2014). Measuring the Sustainability Levels of Rural Development in Karaj County. Quarterly Journal of Village and Development, 17 (12), 69-86. (In Persian)
Heydari Sarban, V. (2012). The Prioritization of Dehstans of MeshkinShahr County in tems of Agricultural Development Surfaces. Journal of Geography and Planning, 16 (40), 75-96. (In Persian)
Hodder, R. (2000). Development geography. Routledge, London.
kalantari, K. (2010). Spatial Planning and Land Reconciliation. Second Edition, Tehran: Farhang Saba Publication. (In Persian)
Kardovani, P., & Sharifi, S. (2012). The Level of Development in Subdistricts of Marivan County. Quarterly Journal of Village and Development, 15, (3), 115-130. (In Persian)
Li, y., & wei, y.h. (2010). The spatil-temporal hierarchy of regional inequality of china. applied geography, 30, 303-316.
Mahdavi Hajiloui, M, & Mohammadizadeh, G. H. (2012). The levels of education and employment indicators municipalities in the central part of Dezful city using the Morris. Journal of Territory, 9 (36), 15-28. (In Persian)
Momeni, M. (2014). New Issues in Operations Research, Sixth Edition, Tehran: Tehran University Press. (In Persian)
Momeni, M., & Ghahari, G. (2012). Analysis of the development situation of Fars province. Regional Planning Quarterly, 3 (9), 53-66. (In Persian)
Nazmfar, H., Bakhtar, S., & Alavi, S. (2015). Ranking Development Level of Rural Areas (Case Study: Rural Districts of Kermanshah Province). Journal of Geography and Environmental Studies, 4 (14), 181-192. (In Persian)
Omidzadeh, H. (2013). Measure the Level of Development of Village Razan Using the Composite Index of Human Development(Hdi). Quarterly Geographical Journal of Chashmandaz-E-Zagros, 5 (16), 97-106. (In Persian)
Ramnema, M., & Zabihi, J. (2011). Urban Public Facility Distribution Analysis for Spatial Justice with Integrated Access Model in Mashhad. Geography and Development Iranian Journal, 9 (23), 5-26. (In Persian)
Rezvani, M. (2002). Rural Development Programming, Concepts, Strategies and Processes. Journal of Faculty of Literature & Humanities, 164, 221-240. (In Persian).
Rezvani, M.R. (2008). Introduction to Planning of Rural Development in Iran. Tehran: Publication of Qomus. (In Persian)
Riddell, R. (2004). Sustainable Urban Planning Tipping the Balance. Blackwell publishing.
Sadeghi Arani, Z., & Mirghafouri, H. (2009). Analysis of the developmental status of sport in the provinces of Iran during 2005-2006. Journal of Research on Sport Science, 3 (12), 103-120. (In Persian)
Sadrmousavi, S., & Talebzadeh, H. (2013). Determining and Analyzing Levels of Development in Rural Areas of Chaldran County. Journal of Geography and Planning, 17 (44), 215-235. (In Persian)
Shahrokhi Sardo, S., Mahmoodiberam, M., Moolai, A., & Agha abasi, N. (2016). Evaluating the Development Levels of Rural Areas in Koohrang County. Journal of Rural Development Strategies, 2 (4), 383-400. (In Persian)
Shamsoddini, A., & mahdavi, M. (2011). The performance of masiri city in spatial equalization for surrounding villages, case: central district of rostam county Iran. African journal of agricultural research, l6 (26), 5793-5799. (In Persian)
shamsoddini, A., & Rahimi, A. (2014). The level of rural settlements of Mamasani city using the techniques of organizing spaces. Journal of Regional Planning, 42 (14), 87-102. (In Persian)
Spears, J. (2002). design of a model sustainable village. London: rurledge.
Taghvaei, M., & Ahmadian, A. (2011). Spatialanalysis and development survey of districts in Miandoab County by Using Topsis-fuzzy model. Journal of Spatial Planning, 1 (3), 131-154. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., & Bahari, E. (2013). Assessing Development Degree and Ranking Townships of Mazandaran Province by Using Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis. Geography and Environmental Planning, 23 (4), 15-38. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., Hasaninezhad, A., & Talebi, K. (1393). Determination and Analysis of the Levels of the Rural Districts of the Province Aanjan, Using the Centrality Index and Preston Models. Journal of Geography and Planning, 23 (4), 15-38. (In Persian)
Taghvaei, M., Tahmasebipour, R., & Moradi hossin, N. (2011). Dterminig and Analyzing of Enjoyment Levels of Booshehr’s. Geographical Planning of Space Quarterly Journal, 1 (2), 59-74. (In Persian)
TavakkoliNia, J., Kanoni, R., Khavarian Gharmsir, A., & Pasban Isloo, V. (2015). Analysis of Regional Development Inequalities in Health-Therapy Sector (Case Study: Ardabil Province). Regional Planning Quarterly, 5 (18), 1-14. (In Persian)
Yi-Chung Hu. (2009). Bankruptcy prediction using ELECTRE-based single-layer perceptron, Neurocomputing ,72, 3150-3157.
Zarabi, A., Abolhasani, F., & Eizadi, M. (2011). Determination of the level of development and priority of spatial planning in rural districts of Isfahan province. Geographical Researches Quarterly Journal, 26 (101), 1-18. (In Persian)
Ziari, K., Zanjirchi, M., & Sorkh Kamal, K. (2010). Evaluation and ranking of the developmental level of the cities of Khorasan Razavi province by using Topsis Technique. Human Geography Research, 42 (72), 17-30.(In Persian)