صادرات صنعتی و رشد بخش صنعت در ایران
محورهای موضوعی : اقتصاد کار و جمعیت
کلید واژه: صادرات صنعتی, صنعتی شدن, توسعة صادرات,
چکیده مقاله :
چکیده در این مقاله اثر صادرات صنعتی بر رشد بخش صنعت کشور در دورة 1386-1338 مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. بدین منظور با استفاده از روش تصحیح خطای برداری و انجام آزمون یوهانسن مشخص گردید که میان متغیرهای موجود در تحقیق دو رابطه بلندمدت وجود دارد. با تحمیل یک رابطة بلندمدت و برآورد ضرایب مشخص شد که رشد بخش صنعت علاوه بر تاثیر پذیرفتن از رشد عواملی همچون سرمایه و نیروی کار از رشد صادرات صنعتی نیز از دو طریق افزایش بهره‌وری در بخش‌هایی که به تولید به منظور صادرات می‌پردازند و همچنین از طریق اثرات جانبی صادرات بر بخش‌های غیر‌صادراتی، تاثیر پذیرفته است.
Abstract In this paper we test the relationship between industrial export and industrial sector growth over the period 1338 to 1386 by using VECM. We carried out Johansen test for finding cointegration relations. This test shows two cointegration Equations the first relation represents the effect of industrial export on industrial sector growth and second indicates the effect of industrial export on employment of industrial sector. Results of coefficient estimations show that the growth of industrial sector in addition affected by factors such as capital and labor, also importantly affected by industrial exports which act through increasing productivity in sectors producing for export and through externalities of export for non-export sectors.
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