اثرات متقابل حمل و نقل، رشد اقتصادی و انتشار دی‌اکسیدکربن در ایران
محورهای موضوعی :
اقتصاد کار و جمعیت
مهسا کلانترزاده
1
,
فاطمه زندی
2
,
محمد خضری
3
,
بیژن صفوی
4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، واحد تهران جنوب، دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 - استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران جنوب، تهران، ایران
3 - استادیار گروه اقتصاد، واحد تهران جنوب، دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران،
4 - استادیار گروه اقتصاد، واحد تهران جنوب، دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران،
تاریخ دریافت : 1399/04/02
تاریخ پذیرش : 1400/05/31
تاریخ انتشار : 1400/06/01
کلید واژه:
Iran,
Economic Growth,
O47,
Environmental pollution,
JEL Classification: Q51,
R40. Keywords: Transportation,
چکیده مقاله :
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the interrelationships between transportation (rail and air), economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in Iran during the period 1362-1397 using time series data and the system of simultaneous equation approach. The findings show a positive correlation between transportation (rail and air) and economic growth, as well as between transportation (rail and air) and carbon dioxide emissions. Another finding of this study is that economic growth has a significant effect on increasing carbon dioxide emissions, but increasing carbon dioxide emissions has no effect on economic growth. Based on the results, the creation and development of infrastructure related to the type of transportation in order to improve the country's economic growth is proposed.
چکیده انگلیسی:
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the interrelationships between transportation (rail and air), economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in Iran during the period 1362-1397 using time series data and the system of simultaneous equation approach. The findings show a positive correlation between transportation (rail and air) and economic growth, as well as between transportation (rail and air) and carbon dioxide emissions. Another finding of this study is that economic growth has a significant effect on increasing carbon dioxide emissions, but increasing carbon dioxide emissions has no effect on economic growth. Based on the results, the creation and development of infrastructure related to the type of transportation in order to improve the country's economic growth is proposed.
منابع و مأخذ:
بهرامی، الهام، بهبودی، داوود، سلمانی بیشک، محمدرضا، شکری، مصطفی (1398). نقش توسعه مالی و آزادسازی تجاری بر انتشار گاز دیاکسید کربن در ایران. فصلنامه سیاستهای راهبردی و کلان، 141-124:(10)7
صدیقی، اچ. آر و لاور، کی.ا (1386). اقتصادسنجی رهیافت کاربردی. مترجم: دکتر شمسـالله شیرینبخش. انتشارات آوای نور.
علیشیری، هدیه، محمدخانلی، شهرزاد، محمد باقری، اعظم (1396). مطالعه عوامل مؤثر بر انتشار دی‌اکسیدکربن در کشور (با رویکرد تحلیل تجزیه لاسپیرز اصلاحشده). فصلنامه علوم و تکنولوژی محیطزیست، 62-51:(2)19.
مرکز آمار ایران (1397). دادهها و اطلاعات آماری: اطلاعات مربوط به بخش حمل و نقل.
مهدوی، شیوا، الماسی، مجتبی، سهیلی، کیومرث (1398). بررسی تفاوت انتشار دیاکسید کربن در بخش حمل و نقل استانهای ایران: رهیافت رگرسیون چندک. فصلنامه مطالعات اقتصاد انرژی، 154-131:(62)15.
Ang, J. B. (2008). Economic development, pollutant emissions and energy consumption in Malaysia. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(2): 271-278.
Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2009). Co2 emissions, energy usage, and output in Central America. Energy Policy, 37(8): 3282-3286.
Bleaney, M. & Gemmell, N. & Kneller, R. (2001). Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation and growth over the long run.Canadian Journal of Economics /Revue canadienne d'économique, 34(1):36-57.
Bougheas, S. & Demetriades, P. O. & Mamuneas, T. P. (2000). Infrastructure, specialization, and economic growth. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 33(2): 506-522.
Chapman, L. (2007). Transport and climate change: a review. Journal of transport geography, 15(5): 354-367.
Chi, J. (2016). Exchange rate and transport cost sensitivities of bilateral freight flows between the US and China. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 89, 1-13.
Fisch-Romito, V. & Guivarch, C. (2019). Investment Needs for Transport Infrastructures along Low Carbon Pathways. Background paper prepared for this report, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Foxon, T.J. (2011). A coevolutionary framework for analyzing a transition to a sustainable low carbon economy. Ecol. Econ. 70, 225-256.
Georgatzi, V. V. & Stamboulis, Y., & Vetsikas, A. (2020). Examining the determinants of Co2 emissions caused by the transport sector: Empirical evidence from 12 European countries. Economic Analysis and Policy, 65, 11-20.
Georgescu-Roegen, N. (1971). The Entropy Lawandthe Economic Process Cambridge 1971. Georgescu-RoegenThe Entropy Law and the Economic Process1971.
Gujarati, D. N. (1995). Basic Econometrics. 3rd edn McGraw-Hill. Inc., New York.
Holdren, J. P. & Ehrlich, P. R. (1974). Human Population and the Global Environment: Population growth, rising per capita material consumption, and disruptive technologies have made civilization a global ecological force. American scientist, 62(3): 282-292.
Hung, M. F. & Shaw, D. (2004). 13. Economic Growth and the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Taiwan: A Simultaneity Model Analysis. Human Capital, Trade, and Public Policy in Rapidly Growing Economies: From Theory to Empirics, 269.
2018. Statistics. IEA, Paris.
Judge, G. G. & Griffiths, W. E. & Hill, R. C. & Lütkepohl, H. & Lee, T. C. (1985). The Theory and Practice of Econometrics. Wiley.
Khan, M. Z. & Khan, F. N. (2020). Estimating the demand for rail freight transport in Pakistan: A time series analysis. Journal of Rail Transport Planning & Management, 100176.
Kustepeli, Y. & Gulcan, Y. & Akgungor, S. (2012). Transportation infrastructure investment, growth and International trade in Turkey. Appl. Econ, 44 (20): 2619-2629.
Lakshmanan, T. R. (2007). The wider economic benefits of transportation: an overview (No. 2007/8). OECD Publishing.
Lean, H.H. & Smyth, R. (2010). Co2 emissions, electricity consumption and output in ASEAN. Appl. Energy, 87 (6): 1858-1864.
Lee, J. W. (2013). The contribution of foreign direct investment to clean energy use, carbon emissions and economic growth. Energy Policy, 55, 483-489.
Lesley, W. & Chijioke, O. (2013). The Green Economy and the BRICS Countries: Bringing Them Together. Economic Diplomacy Programme. Occasional paper, (170), 54.
Liddle, B. & Lung, S. (2013). The long-run causal relationship between transport energy consumption and GDP: evidence from heterogeneous panel methods robust to cross-sectional dependence. Econ. Lett. 121 (3): 524-527.
Listiono, L. (2018). The relationship between transport, economic growth and environmental degradation for ninety countries. Sustinere: Journal of Environment and Sustainability, 2(1): 11-23.
Lv, Z. & Xu, T. (2019). Trade openness, urbanization and Co2 emissions: Dynamic panel data analysis of middle-income countries. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 28(3): 317-330.
Maparu, T. S. & Mazumder, T. N. (2017). Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?. Transportation research part A: policy and practice, 100, 319-336.
McCann, P. (2005). Transport costs and new economic geography. Journal of Economic Geography, 5(3): 305-318.
Mirzaei, M., & Bekri, M. (2017). Energy consumption and Co2 emissions in Iran, 2025. Environmental research, 154, 345-351.
Muhammad, B. & Khan, S. (2019). Effect of bilateral FDI, energy consumption, Co2 emission and capital on economic growth of Asia countries. Energy Reports, 5, 1305-1315.
Munir, Q. & Lean, H. H. & Smyth, R. (2020). Co2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: A cross-sectional dependence approach. Energy Economics, 85, 104571.
Nasreen, S. & Mbarek, M. B. & Atiq-ur-Rehman, M. (2020). Long-run causal relationship between economic growth, transport energy consumption and environmental quality in Asian countries: Evidence from heterogeneous panel methods. Energy, 192, 116628.
Pao, H. T.& Yu, H. C. & Yang, Y. H. (2011). Modeling the Co2 emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia. Energy, 36(8): 5094-5100.
Phang, S. (2003). Strategic development of airport and rail infrastructure: the case of Singapore. Transport Policy, 10, 27-33.
Pradhan, R.P. & Bagchi, T.P. (2013). Effect of transportation infrastructure on economic growth in India: the VECM approach. Res. Transp. Econ. 38 (1): 139-148.
Raghuram, G. & Babu, M. R. (1999). Alternate means of financing railways. Vikalpa, 24(1): 13-26.
Rehermann, F. & Pablo-Romero, M. (2018). Economic growth and transport energy consumption in the Latin American and Caribbean countries. Energy Policy, 122, 518-527.
Romer, P. M. (1994). The origins of endogenous growth. Journal of Economic perspectives, 8(1): 3-22.
Saboori, B. & Sulaiman, J. & Mohd, S. (2012). Economic growth and Co2 emissions in Malaysia: a cointegration analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve. Energy policy, 51, 184-191.
Short, J. & Kopp, A. (2005). Transport Infrastructure: investment and planning policy and research aspects. Transport Policy, 12, 360-367.
Song, Y. & Zhang, M. & Shan, C. (2019). Research on the decoupling trend and mitigation potential of Co2 emissions from China's transport sector. Energy, 183, 837-843.
Stern, N. & Stern, N. H. (2007). The economics of climate change: the Stern review. cambridge University press.
Tervo, H. (2009). Centres and peripheries in Finland: Granger causality tests using panel data. Spat. Econ. Anal. 4 (4): 377-390.
Tong, T. & Yu, T. E. (2018). Transportation and economic growth in China: A heterogeneous panel cointegration and causality analysis. Journal of Transport Geography, 73, 120-130.
Wang, E. C. (2002). Public infrastructure and economic growth: a new approach applied to East Asian Economies. Journal of Policy Modelling, 24, 411-435.
Wang, Y.& Zhang, C.& Lu, A. & Li, L. & He, Y.& ToJo, J. & Zhu, X. (2017). A disaggregated analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve for industrial emissions in China. Applied Energy, 190, 172-180.
Wang, Z.H.& Yin, F.C.& Zhang, Y.X.& Zhang, X. (2012). An empirical research on the influencing factors of regional Co2 emissions: evidence from Beijing city, China. Appl. Energy 100, 227–284.
Wasti, S. K. A. & Zaidi, S. W. (2020). An empirical investigation between Co2 emission, energy consumption, trade liberalization and economic growth: A case of Kuwait. Journal of Building Engineering, 28, 101104.
_||_
