بررسی اثرات متقابل نابرابری درآمد، اشتغال و رشد اقتصادی
محورهای موضوعی : دانش سرمایهگذاریمحمدرضا رادفر 1 , غلامرضا زمردیان 2 , مسعود کریمخانی 3
1 - دانشکده مدیریت ، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ، واحد تهران مرکزی ، تهران ، ایران
2 - عضو هیات علمی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی- واحد تهران مرکز
3 - دانشجوی دکتری مالی ،گروه مدیریت مالی ،واحد تهران مرکز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
کلید واژه: رشد اقتصادی, اشتغال, روش برداری خودرگرسیونی (VAR), نابرابری درآمد,
چکیده مقاله :
پژوهش حاضر به بررسی اثرات متقابل نابرابری درآمد، اشتغال و رشد اقتصادی می پردازد. برای انجام این پژوهش داده های اقتصاد ایران بین سالهای 1368-1395 گردآوری و با استفاده از روش برداری خودرگرسیونی (VAR) تحلیل شدند. همزمان با آزمون اثر تورم و مخارج دولت بعنوان متغیرهای کنترلی آزمون شده است. نتایج نشان داد که بین نابرابری درآمد و رشد اقتصادی اثرات مثبت وجود دارد. بدین معنی که با رشد اقتصادی بطور متوازن در اقتصاد کشور توزیع نشده است و آثار آن منجر به بهبود درآمد خانوارها نشده است. همچنین بین اثرات متقابل اشتغال و رشد اقتصادی رابطه معناداری مشاهده نشده است که می توان این را ناشی از وجود پدیده رکود تورمی در اقتصاد دانست. بر پایه نتایج به دست آمده از شواهد موجود و نتایج پژوهش حاضر ، می توان پیشنهاد نمود تا در تدوین برنامه های توسعه اقتصادی -اجتماعی کشور سطح نابرابری کشور مورد توجه باشد . تلاش در جهت کاهش و یا اصلاح نحوه مصرف هزینه های دولتی در کاهش تورم و در نتیجه نابرابری موثر خواهد بود.
The present study examines the interactions between income, employment and economic growth inequality. To do this research, Iran's economic data was collected from 1989 to 2016 and analyzed by self-regression analysis (VAR). Simultaneously with the test of the effect of inflation and government expenditures as test variables.The results showed that there is a positive effect between income inequality and economic growth. This means that economic growth has not been distributed in the country's economy in a balanced way, and its effects have not led to the income of households. Also, there is no significant relationship between employment interaction and economic growth.Which can be attributed to the phenomenon of inflationary stagnation in the economy. Based on the results of this study, it can be suggested that, it is suggested that the level of inequality in the country be considered in the formulation of economic-social development programs of the country. Efforts to reduce or modify how governments spend on reducing inflation and resulting inequality will be effective.
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